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Welcome back this campaign confidential and probably a with Andrea tenth terrace and Doug -- we've lost packet dealt the rest of the -- spent a Great Smoky Mountains both -- have a good time.
Speaking of Great Smoky Mountains and the smoke coming out of them a lot of -- gonna come out of Washington -- 1 o'clock today.
The president has just announced he's coming out at 1 o'clock.
Probably in the Rose Garden to make a speech to the nation about the debt crisis I guess what I guess he's gonna try to calm the markets is that a.
-- -- -- Yes and if if history shows the -- be some subtle blaming in there look at a spyware the presidency maybe not -- some anger right.
I was being ninth but it if He really wants to be taken seriously.
Rather than go out and give a speech He should have summoned both parties to the White House.
Whether it in its window dressing like he's addressing this problem the only way as we've all discussed -- to get everybody in a room and agree.
And just simply giving a speech it's just not enough I mean I knew He had to come out and say something.
But just the words aren't enough and I think that's one thing that we've learned over the last.
You know three years almost that he's been in office it's just not enough if I -- him -- -- advisors I'd invite.
I'd go up -- -- I have a bicameral.
Bipartisan meeting of both houses to to seriously do something I think big.
I think that's right I think as I've been suggesting He needs to have a plan because the problem.
Is even if people see him as more reasonable more rational and more willing to compromise as you said.
All -- -- elections a referendum on incumbents and if there is no Obama planned no democratic plan.
Ultimately an unpopular Tea Party increasingly unpopular will drive the message and drive the agenda because you're not getting beat something with nothing else.
Well what we elected in Obama was a guy very good at reading the teleprompter.
He is not a guy that cuts deals negotiates doesn't like to get in the room and really get down and dirty and negotiate -- The savvy of a Clinton.
You know Bill Clinton was very very -- He knew -- to get into a debate He had a -- -- -- -- things politically.
And this president He just doesn't have that I mean I I think George Bush was the same I think they both.
Had relationships on Capitol Hill that they built and that's why they were able to get deals done.
This president doesn't and now.
He's devoid of any real staff.
That has relationships on the -- -- -- like Rahm Emanuel was his conduit to the hill he's gone and so now I think that He has one guy in -- Bill Daly who is.
The that bridge so I guess to Wall Street.
Even bill -- you know He -- I can't defend the indefensible not exactly the best message coming and deeper look let's get -- Let's just take that and much discussed 2012 from now.
Were all saying that this is gonna have a huge effect let's put up on the screen Rasmussen numbers where they asked people last week.
Will the president be reelected.
Not do you want a realignment will He be reelected 54%.
The medalist -- think it's likely he'll be -- elected.
To Doug let me ask you is it likely that He gets -- well.
I think there are two things to consider jar first there are seven -- Republicans running.
And so there really isn't any clear choice.
Second despite the fact that you a lot of people say oh people hate Obama in fact He has enormous goodwill.
And this reflects the fact that he's the incumbent He has good will the Republican field resident crystallize I think it's too early decide.
Right but I mean it feels to -- going back to my first campaign 787980.
The mood in America is the lowest it's ever it is so sour so pessimistic so and it not in a hostile way towards Obama.
It is towards the political class brands as you'll side.
But it's also worry about the future of the conqueror and who is going to be able to reach into people and say.
I can help make it better now of all the Republicans running -- -- only two people running who can even win the nomination.
Romney could win the nomination.
And Perry if He runs could win the nomination.
And none of the others to me can win the nomination.
You buy that.
I'd -- that with one caveat I would add Michelle Bachmann could win the nomination.
But I'm less skeptical about her chances in the general election.
I think that key.
Let's -- to a more -- to others -- -- spent more on our doorstep you know about her chances in the general election but I do agree with you with on the Romney and on the Perry.
I think they have a very good chance and I would say more Perry then -- -- -- We just said about bottlers -- I think that.
I don't think she can win it because I don't think she's any more able than Huckabee was to grow beyond the religious right vote I don't see -- she's getting out of that group.
She's doing well among that group but will say we haven't had any votes yeah.
Yeah IR CR Iowa at this point is -- was very breaks through and if -- breaks through and Iowa then it's Perry and Rami.
Damn the torpedoes.
And my sense is that Romney has a glass -- I don't see them.
As a particularly good candidate He could get nominated I guess but he's not to win Iowa I don't think He went South Carolina.
And if He loses South Carolina and Iowa and He has -- tepid victory in New Hampshire I haven't seen a little that -- look.
And the money and and the money issue too I mean I know his advisors of planet stories saying look He raised now this money in one day while.
That's because He had -- others come in Denton as a friend John -- to tease the supermarket magnate here in New York.
Orchestrate that they -- the news story on how campaigns are that.
Able to do that but remember money wasn't his problem in 2008 he's got the money will -- them and John McCain three to one in Florida -- who want an Ohio when He still wasn't able to really build.
A coalition that coalesced -- How many of us have run into anybody anywhere who says I really loved Mitt Romney I happen fairness mrs.
Romney -- fundraisers at.
A fund -- fund raisers and -- Step on how well -- -- like -- like -- but they stick that president He has erased as much as He did four years ago today He his compassion quotient is down right for years ago.
-- John McCain not to I guess launched the second part of his campaign.
It's a real opportunity -- -- He supposedly mr.
business and He came out to just add -- Africa.
And made a statement about the downgrade and I got Italian it was like watching a game show host who had taken too much you know sleep medication it was like a much cop and a -- He would -- Love my thought.
Where the fire you know Andrea what I think is missing and works to Michelle Bachmann is advantage and -- -- to Rick -- -- -- Is in these times.
You need people who have at least a world -- of commitment and a -- yeah that's the things that frankly I find totally wrong.
-- -- -- -- If you hear people speaking from the heart you can say I can connect with them.
But on the democratic side their precious few people who do that on the Republican side I think you're right Mitt Romney -- fails miserably.
-- so that's the Republican race as of today.
We've done Obama pretty much Obama's going to be unchallenged from eleventh we still -- -- -- sit still thinks I got that it ended downgrade the whole mess the national emergency national crisis.
Does it increase the likelihood of something we talked about you and let -- before Clinton.
Of a third candidate running against both parties next year.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- I do I do I do consulting for Americans elect so I have both they are ideological personal professional commitment to it but let's assume that.
-- Michelle Bachmann is denominator -- Rick Perry.
There will be a clamor for someone between a failed Obama.
And what will be seen as -- palatable Perry and or Bachmann.
And I think -- be a real desire certainly the electoral wants that they're radical -- -- sitting there waiting to be mind.
Will you -- that -- I I do buy that unfortunately I think if that happens it will hurts.
The the GOP candidate and -- probably secure another Obama turn.
The Internet service there argument I think they that's like -- collected so there wouldn't be across the board but Perot.
True John from both parties -- -- a fair point by.
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