Life After Qaddafi in Libya
Middle East experts give their analysis
- Duration 7:23
- Date Oct 20, 2011
Middle East experts give their analysis
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Ferris is going to join us now from DC via satellite.
He is a Fox News Channel Middle East and terrorism analyst and author of the coming revolution struggle for freedom.
And the Middle East and boy I don't know if you had a crystal ball that now's the time for this book to come out.
fairest thing with us.
I am with you thank you for having me this morning absolutely I think you can hear the last couple of minutes I've seen -- Jeff Taylor is here and Judith Miller is here in New York comments at this point.
-- first before this is meeting the end of a regime the final and of the final chapter of the regime of Qaddafi because unlike in Iraq and you know He doesn't have a political body.
So his supporters the remnants of those are going to be in asset behind the south.
Those who said Ben what lead in the west and those eleven to -- -- when He was killed.
I probably got tried to do some action against the regime but it would be terrorists and it won't be any more any real big insurgency the concern I have.
It's basically for the transition on national council.
To be split between those two forces that you you know trying to discuss one on the former -- -- bureaucrats.
Diplomats of the Qaddafi regime those who started this.
And then Gaza on the one hand the second there's a -- on those with whom we did business and Islamist militias what I see on the ground.
Is that over the past six months to seven months the Islamist militias have the upper upper hand and most of the places in Tripoli and we gonna see -- -- -- -- Struggle between those two forces until every team will emerge and took everything.
Okay I want to interject with some breaking news right now -- is our sister network in the UK.
Is reporting a live interview now with the Libyan ambassador to the UK say that Qaddafi is dead.
How does that change things all of.
When French king was killed in in the after the -- during the French revolution nobody yet knew what was gonna happen I mean he's he's gone.
And that the Qaddafi is history.
A new order will emerge but is not yet clear what order will emerge and unfortunately it may well emerge in the context of the use of force.
As opposed to a democratic unfold Monday.
Embracing liberal values as we're concerned about throughout the -- Right I had just tweeted out I'm alive iChat everybody I'm not ignoring your post but this would be a different type of a thing.
If Qaddafi is dead again this is coming from our sister network via their live reporting having all you have to do sometimes we'll take sky news.
In the newsroom and we'll put it on the -- will watch it ourselves they were just interviewing Mahmoud -- A Libyan ambassador to the UK saying that Muammar Qaddafi is dead.
And that would absolutely be consistent with what -- in Holland and I can sandwiches this stream is ending.
The real problem now is what takes place it's place and how is that going to be decided.
Right now we don't even know.
Absolutely who speaks for the military counsel for people who are supposed to be.
Governing the country and maintaining lawn harder there is -- -- -- -- there are independent militias and every single town and city of Libya.
So no one knows how this fight is going to come out but we are entering what I predict just going to be the most dangerous period that we've seen in Libya since this began.
Wally Ferris Judith Miller said a mouthful and she certainly got the live chat going on that she said that we -- put boots on the ground American troops earlier and that now.
It's possibly too late you know we've we've heard from so little and so many Middle Eastern countries that they don't want our troops on the ground.
They don't they don't want -- think Oakland -- -- donation will go.
I I that's not what I said what I said was that's one of the options we -- -- what I said was a more assertive position.
At the very beginning the problem with what the Obama administration did.
It waited two weeks and then another two weeks before deciding.
It was going to kind of connect consensus within NATO so that we could provide air cover.
How do we eat tipped her hand earlier and said -- favor -- -- this regime and we favor the stepping down.
Or the arrest.
It wouldn't be -- over much earlier that's my view I don't know that boots on the ground would have been -- answer you.
Think we should end up more -- -- earlier Wally your thoughts.
What -- is right on two counts at least one is that we are actually now a very critical era in Libya there's no doubt about that.
There are Islamist militias across the country they seem to have most of the power.
I'm not sure if god divided or you know projecting the picture that they are divide in fact they -- not and on the other hand.
You're gonna have a right is of I'm projecting now.
Autonomy areas in the west of Libya the -- -- -- armed or part of this event again in the south and just gonna.
Name -- -- group we're gonna hear about in the future that -- is more African more black than the north all of that is gonna come to play in the next few months.
But most important -- -- that in the beginning.
Our strategy within about Libya was missing a big big component and -- get a feel it.
Who is our partner.
You know what when we when we started to hell -- with NATO we took down the regime strategically speaking.
But we did not engage within minutes she -- gonna become the next army of Libya.
And remember that was a very important incident assassination of the chief of staff of that army when it wasn't even god got that you and us.
He would have been our strategic ally and most likely those who killed him.
-- the Islamist militias so we don't have legs and Libya we are in the air we are on the waters but we have no real partners at this point and ominous.
Holland Taylor with us this morning -- steady Islamic extremism.
-- -- -- Charles thought.
I'm sitting experience in this -- -- -- I would unit.
Or better -- -- Saudi Arabia and I'm watching this on full what that exit I'd be thinking that.
Well the United States is not an effective force influencing change and development in the Middle East we're completely divided politically internally.
With regards to Islam we have no coherent national consensus regarding the Muslim Brotherhood regarding the islamists.
And we have no strategic vision for the Middle East so if I were any Muslim leader within the Middle East if -- -- an ally of the United States have been very concerned.
Because that United States is obviously not support been supporting its allies -- an enemy the United States that would not be worried about the United States as an effective factor.
Well what does that mean for that won't that we well I think we please don't fear you any.
Friends theory you -- well -- Here that's very well well -- because that is the problem right now.
-- -- our people they -- regimes that should be allies.
Are don't think they can count on us.
And I think the real problem right now for the United States the -- state of the Obama administration's kind of individual approach to the region.
This situation is different in each country Saudi Arabia power in Saudi Arabia is probably not going to change hands at any time soon.
And the saudis have supported the box trainees and -- said to the Obama administration don't even think about attempting to intervene here to help.
The -- the Shia opposition don't even think about it but the situation in Libya was ripe for change Syria.
It's going to be a fight to the death it looks like.