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Alert on some brand new Rasmussen polling numbers and take a look at this Williams this is specific Iowa now Mitt Romney leading the Republican field among likely caucus goers -- nineteen days and today.
Followed by Newt Gingrich and then Ron Paul 23 -- forty and eighteen.
It's got rescues and as president of Rasmussen Reports he's with me -- -- good morning Q what is going on in this changing field.
You know this is amazing this is our fifth monthly poll in Iowa and the fifth front runner we -- Michelle Bachmann and Rick Perry Herman Cain Newt Gingrich down Mitt Romney but amidst all that volatility there are some signs of continuity.
Mitt Romney in every single poll has been between seventeen and 23% so he's clearly a significant player Ron Paul.
Doing a bit better now.
But he's been in double digits every time -- that third player at the top here that has been changing.
And right now we see that Newt Gingrich is following the path.
The earlier front -- now why why is -- why is that Scott because you're Poland so many others had him.
I mean he was fired off like a rocket over the past three weeks.
He was and by the way Rick Perry came in as the front runners -- Herman Cain I think -- Newt Gingrich's case.
He was the top because like the -- he was not Mitt Romney.
Public then there has been -- pretty blistering campaign against him -- -- by Ron -- some other challenges from people who worked with them in the house.
And people being reminded of some of the Gingrich past that they don't like so let it just -- people pause and rethink.
-- now another poll you did you asked that this is Republicans right.
Of likely caucus goers in Iowa phone survey is that what it is yes okay you asked this question who would be strongest.
Against President Obama you find Romney at 30% and Gingrich -- right behind him at 29 and Ron Paul and third what is this.
-- well this is pretty significant because a week or so ago we polled nationally about Republican primary voters and overwhelmingly they said Newt Gingrich.
Was the strongest 49% said Gingrich -- 2.4 percent said Romney you would have expected similar results in Iowa.
But right now it is a toss up even with a conservative electorate.
I think his gets to the core reason again why people are rethinking Newt Gingrich Republicans are looking for someone first who can be Barack Obama.
Second bring about the kind of change they want after that -- you know we have a team.
On the ground and Iowa big debate later tonight what they keep telling us.
Is that I would say they can change their minds and this is what you found because you asked that question also are you certain you would vote for that candidate.
40% say yes 52%.
Say they might change their minds.
With less in three weeks ago for the caucus.
And look you talk about that any talk about this debate coming up 25%.
Of caucus goers tell us.
That the debates are very important in determining how they will vote.
Say they're somewhat important so this debate tonight the last one before the Iowa Caucuses.
Will give Iowa caucus goers time to talk -- all -- their friends and family while they're enjoying the holiday season and then.
All of this volatility will come to an -- -- January for you you know Karl Rove has an.
Excellent piece out today in the Wall Street Journal.
And what he talks about is how this election cycle.
Is unlike anything he has ever seen.
At -- sounds a whole lot like what 2008 when everybody said repeatedly ever seen in we've -- to see anything like this before it the last line in his piece goes like this for good or ill this year is a record breaking massive debates has made the contest.
The most unpredictable.
Rapidly shifting and often downright inexplicable primary race I've ever witnessed and voting hasn't even begun that goes to your point.
Tonight's debate is critical isn't it for people -- -- It it sure is -- the debates threw out of shape this much more than the retail politicking we've seen in earlier elections.
Scott thank you.
Thank you -- rest -- shaken up the world again we'll see whether -- right on the first week of of January.
Make sure you tune -- later tonight Fox News Channel the only place you can see this -- city Iowa not o'clock eastern six on the West Coast.
And while you're on.
TV watch -- us later tonight you can be online watching foxnews.com slash debate.
And you can have interactive session with all of our analysts etc.
and now we've got accounting about -- -- you know without --
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