What does unrest in the Middle East mean for elections?
Doug Schoen, Pat Caddell, and John LeBoutillier discuss rising gas prices, and the middle east crisis
- Duration 11:33
- Date Feb 27, 2012
Doug Schoen, Pat Caddell, and John LeBoutillier discuss rising gas prices, and the middle east crisis
Also in this playlist...
This transcript is automatically generated
Okay we're back this is campaign confidential for packet -- Doug shown and -- openly gay and what's go to -- comment to make you two guys feel well.
From bill who says Doug shown and Packard Dell have been too bright spots in political reporting this year.
And as you were friend let me say -- the reason you were bright spots is you are.
Objective in your analysis you're not carrying water for anybody or against anybody and you can't watch.
Most shows on T date forget what network it's on.
Reporters have not.
They don't report anymore they give their opinions all the time and they don't really have an informed political opinion is -- don't know about politics all proposals opinions -- supported bill probably works for officially inaugurated on -- -- -- -- now we want another one from king of politics -- can.
Says the American voter has a hard time believing millionaires.
In their RVs.
The stress at the pump.
Making the rent taking the kids to school -- Well that's that's absolutely true and what's happened and -- is right.
Ordinary voters feel that neither side.
Has an argument and narrative a rationale.
For their election that speaks to day to day concerns and and I've talked about it I think John you and I have also talked about it.
This campaign is disconnected to the economic and social realities of life -- 2012.
Yup absolutely and I I knew nothing nothing implies that more than what's happening with the gas prices.
And -- gas crisis going on.
-- -- soon as we passed support all of mark on average and get past the hype.
Point which I think was for eleven and in and away.
And we get the five dollar gas in -- -- seeing in some places all I think you're gonna have some real problems.
But you know what again -- -- -- there is no connection to a larger point.
Above President Obama gave his speech Friday that was but we've been -- the Republicans -- just -- the audience here this.
President was about as disingenuous as anyone about how he has made -- work this is managed from producing more energy than ever.
This is the man who was shut down drilling.
Filled with the keystone pipelines.
And about the money wasted on Green and our -- -- -- -- -- solar energy I mean this we found out from the Wall Street Journal street.
300 people in wind farm's been hired the cost has been over and it's been on average fourteen and a half million dollars a person.
Well we've been wasting money by the billions of the twenty million dollars spent on clean energy other stimulus program.
Billion has been reported as going to.
Edwards or supporters to the president's financially.
I -- we've got corruption here we've got a Middle East situation that's blowing up.
At this gasoline but again.
The president benefits because a Black America and they -- people are hurting right now because -- affects -- it affects transportation.
It affects every element of your life.
When these prices -- Okay who don't like -- and just go to something about what we were talking about before.
Santorum Enron we have the public policy polling favorability rating -- hit this for a -- To show and nine days what has happened to Rick Santorum this is only Republican voters.
His favorable over favorability has gone down from 67 to 54.
On -- really gone up sixteen points in a week.
So there are Republicans.
But he still is.
Quite favorable and he's ahead by fifteen points.
With all the stuff he's been site.
You know while he keeps this up in morning going to be even with the -- right -- I was -- with independents it's number I like -- one nice and -- and even Romney among independents have like 27%.
Unfair you cannot we're watching this one up.
They've thrown an election away and that brings up the question we get back to mr.
going to be another candidate even if Romney succeeds in being elected.
The question is whether or not.
The -- question is Yahoo! mobile present it.
And the reason -- the canary in the mine we're seeing is Republican enthusiasm for voting in Gallup which was 45 points more than Democrats because now you've got and is now even.
And look at the primary turnout in every primary but South Carolina.
Fewer Republican voters are voting now the voted for years and years ago and this is -- -- party that is very anti Obama right.
So you have to think that there is a giant vacuum sitting there saying.
We're not happy with Obama were not happy as you said with any of these Republicans.
We want another voice to come talk that only slight percent of Republicans say they want someone else in the right -- ask our our.
Our man from American select yes -- Not -- much about it lately because -- so much talk about it Republican race.
The primary is supposed to Begin at the end of April on America's product.
We don't really have any candidates declared it really we kind of a lot of Buddy Roemer sniffing around.
There are a lot of people sniffing around.
-- I think John.
That we are getting to the point where in the next two to four weeks.
There will either be a number of developments that will be prominent and arguably surprising.
-- there won't end.
Again there's a lot of sub terrain -- activity.
Going on but I think it's fair to say that what pat.
Articulated is absolutely the case -- -- a lot of room the voters want.
They want it now the only -- I've read or heard and they don't turn me on Buddy -- good guy former congressman.
Certain -- producer with means -- Democrats and and we -- Republican pad is and I'm not gonna dismiss -- Go back and -- well now look at what captain John -- last summer job and yet we weren't supposed to break that.
Pat is getting the Orioles right right right there you go okay so we've been we've heard -- Obama's name this is talking about third candidate -- -- Third candidate on the American select long -- a bloody Romans and name Tom Golisano whose name I've been bandied about former owner of the Buffalo Bills founder of the independence party in New York State it.
Not really -- -- -- just -- -- name -- -- let me unlikely with trump endorsing Romney it -- little -- that you might -- -- you want but he might that is three names so we got any other -- Gary Johnson they.
Governor Arnold has a libertarian look.
What you've got Huntsman out here talking about a third party you want to go to the question is and let me just say something about American life and the importance of the politically.
That probably our viewers the most pundits haven't understood.
The reason that the President Obama has stuff so close to his base.
Favoring me environmentalist.
Extremists on -- -- -- Pipeline was his fear.
That if they didn't they would run somebody against him and made a white candidate from the environmental movement.
The problems in a brand he has.
Undermining -- my opinion he's trying to keep Israel from doing -- -- partly because if we get sucked into some action in the spring time.
This is different for November October when I think October surprise could happen.
But in the springtime it from the American liked his open you'll get -- anti war movement going against him.
These are things -- president is terrified of what Americans elect to do.
They would love to see another Republican come in the races -- the -- The real issue is whether or not we can get a particular team of people who can speak to the 75%.
Of the American people who believe the government from Washington.
No longer operates from the consent of the people.
And -- -- days are harder to predict but I just ask this question the primary on the American -- is beginning at the scheduled to Begin at the end of April is that too early.
Yes shouldn't be moved to this summer once the Republican race is sort it out.
There -- as I understand that three.
Waiting is almost stages in the process and I -- checked and I think that there is the possibility.
Until the middle of may.
For additional candidates to answer but I would argue with -- John's point I think if I were American what do you hear this message are loaded up.
This is that they should.
Ball this process even further -- because a Republican primary thing -- subtle.
And I believe that by June we moved here bigger vacuum here you know the real question is is somebody to take -- management's.
-- -- -- -- why don't we don't have a lot of time before new prediction are we we gotta talk for one minute the three of us about Afghanistan it's escalating leader of the mayhem in the streets the killing of Americans the whole thing.
Is this gonna translate between now and November to be a politically.
She's unique vantage point -- you set up John.
There is strong anti war sentiment strong sense was should we out of Afghanistan at the same time.
The fact that we are pulling out of Afghanistan.
The fact that we had the -- -- -- burned and we had the attack inside the common of this comet in the ministry.
Suggest that the -- there's a level of chaos in Afghanistan.
That is very very disturbing same thing in Iraq.
And it's very possible the October surprise could and I hope it isn't.
Because it could become an October disaster all the in the me just say you're right because I think Iraq in the gulf of law they could blow up in Afghanistan minorities seeing it I said on January person on the first forward here but I sentinel near par.
About this this -- being a potential cause in the 1968.
What looked apparel was blown -- cat.
This could be -- -- this could be in terms decisively.
Moving Americans this could be -- -- camp opens.
We're gonna -- -- I think it could be a huge thing the whole Middle East could be the key to this election because it could if Iran blows.
Gas prices are gonna go even higher.
Iran could undo Obama the way it did you -- correct -- they look around senator now ready to go to predictions job I will go first today and say because we talked about a minute ago.
I am still predicting as I -- consistently there will be a no other candidate in this race either in the Republican race and if not.
In the general as a third candidate there's too much out there at stake and someone will -- John on my prediction is twofold.
Romney to win Michigan and Arizona.
But Romney then to go into Super Tuesday.
It weakened not a straight -- candidate.
Who will probably lose half.
The ten contests on Super Tuesday.
-- I'm very close your prediction for endorsing same thing I think he wins both contests.
And if he doesn't his -- into rural problem.
But I I think that he's got real problems I think winning both the will be enormous pressure among the establishment to shut this process down stop the bleeding.
I don't know I'm sure no I'm not sure what.
Okay now tomorrow night eating -- and watch the three of us as part of the election coverage here on foxnews.com.
We'll be on I believe -- 845.
Till about ten or so just before Michigan will be coming in some Arizona.
This is the biggest night so far.
You'll hear pat dug in -- and some others give insightful commentary that you won't hear anywhere else and we'll be back review next Monday.
Same time foxnews.com.
Campaign confidential have a great week.