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Will Arizona and Michigan races affect Super Tuesday?
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John Geer discusses candidates' momentum after Arizona and Michigan primaries
- Duration 3:51
- Date Feb 29, 2012
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John Geer discusses candidates' momentum after Arizona and Michigan primaries
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Professor John -- gear is with Vanderbilt University.
And we're gonna talk about momentum.
As we turn now to Super Tuesday professor greater good -- rather good to have you.
Thank you for having -- you -- in Nashville Tennessee.
Let's talk Super Tuesday anything that we can take from last night that -- think was maybe a forecast what will say.
Well I think you saw we know Romney obviously having a pretty good night he's gonna get a lot of favorable covered so obviously it'll be a few doubters out there.
And with this fluid race you could see a state like Tennessee the right now has Santorum in the lead at least according to the Vanderbilt poll that lead shrinking you could see Ohio changing.
From I think this is a dynamic race by any standard and Romney's and hadn't he probably put himself in the a little bit stronger standing -- last night's performance.
It's all right the Super Tuesday at.
Generally at this point and and we saw this with the Democrats is their lead up and and my goodness see Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were still fight it out in late may.
Some Super Tuesday generally is a big deal -- Are you seeing though that that was written will still be the same as Super Tuesday going to be that big -- a -- because a lot of people are saying well now.
The lead up to the GOP presidential nomination looks like a one man race.
Well I don't know that it's a one man race I mean I think Super Tuesday is gonna matter a lot I think that at this point delegates are gonna start counting more so for example.
Romney years ago and -- a get a lot of boost from Virginia.
But he'll get all those delegates and that'll start coming towards them and the states like Massachusetts and Vermont which he can probably count on probably Idaho as well.
So he really needs to focus on a state like probably Ohio and do reasonably well gets more delegates and then -- can come out of that might even a stronger position.
You know I thought it was interesting last night I watch the the speech and I slot Mitt Romney take on President Obama and and compare himself but I never heard him say and and correct me if I'm wrong.
-- -- is the best candidate in the GOP right now to take on President Obama like I saw that maybe is a missed opportunity for him.
Well I don't know if it was a missed opportunity because what he wants to do is get the focus on him and talk about Obama vs Romney.
If he says best that implicitly talks about sent former Gingrich -- all.
And he doesn't wanna do that so he wants people to accept him as an anomaly -- as the nominee -- the presumptive nominee.
And let's start talking about the fall campaign and how he and the Republicans are going to be Barack Obama.
You I love about talking with the professor professor.
You can educators think I mean it's it's more than just giving us an opinion so would you educate us police couldn't say was on the -- cap this morning.
Good teachers what a brokered convention would look like.
Well the I've laughing because there's lots of speculation about a brokered convention.
And there hasn't been one Sicily 1952 and it's not likely to happen again.
But basically.
A brokered convention means -- nobody goes in to the convention with a majority of delegates.
The delegates and cast their ballot nobody gets a majority and then the second round of balloting because there be multiple bouts or somebody gets a majority.
Those delegates that are technically.
Basically free to vote for who they wanted it becomes kind of a free for all and so the candidates who didn't do very well probably pack up and go home and then they throw their support to various candidates.
-- -- chaos and the Republican Party does not want chaos to define their message on that important set of nights in.
Still in what they keep talking about it happening.
What are not sure who they are mean there's a lot of people in the news media who would love of brokers and all of you what they -- yeah now.
And so you know I think that's what it's about it I just don't see it happening I mean it -- -- obviously.
You know one can I could easily be wrong but it's really been since 52 in the party has an incentive to make sure that it's all squared away before -- -- meet in Tampa or in the democratic case in the in Charlotte.