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Tennessee now in play?

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    Michael Barone's Super Tuesday preview

  • Duration 3:56
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Tennessee is just one of ten states holding contests tomorrow there are more than 400 delegates up for grabs.

1144.

Needed to win the Republican nomination so.

Which states hold the keys and for whom what is now Washington -- examiner senior political analyst Michael Barone.

Hope of course he is also a Fox News contributor Michael which state are you watching more than any of the others tomorrow.

Well one state I'm watching the more that I was last week is the state of Tennessee which you just mentioned.

It's been generally assumed that Rick Santorum was gonna win Tennessee and polls that were taken a couple weeks ago he would seem to be way ahead.

But the latest polls in Tennessee show it tightening up there's one -- by a firm called we ask America that's got Mitt Romney ahead by one point.

And Romney showed some strength in Tennessee four years ago him the relatively affluent suburban counties that ring around Nashville -- most nationals Davidson county.

I think that that could be a very close one.

In the Romney campaign has been put a lot of money -- Obviously the other state we're really following this Ohio.

That's the second biggest delegate haul of the -- Of the evening.

The polling has been very tight there we've been seeing Rick Santorum up two points Mitt Romney up one point in other words within the statistical margin of error.

Santorum's at a disadvantage there though John about delegates because he did not file full delegate slates -- a number of the congressional districts and under legal power Republican rules he's not eligible to win delegates from them.

Well I think we have a quinnipiac poll from Ohio that shows just how tight that race is.

Yeah they're the numbers -- 2012.

Race Mitt Romney at 34%.

Rick Santorum at 31% it's inside the margin of error so essentially.

This thing shows them tied but I think Mitt Romney has been coming on fairly strong there hasn't.

Well Mitt Romney is got a money advantage over Rick Santorum.

In Ohio he's got.

An advantage from support from.

More of the politicians all the state attorney general and former US senator Mike to wind switched from Romney is Santorum that.

Got a lot of attention obviously.

So.

You know the the money and momentum advantages seem to be going Mitt Romney's way but the fact is Rick santorum's.

Support in public opinion polls has been staying in the thirties he's obviously got done.

A brink of support he got 38% at Michigan.

Ohio's Republican electorate is slightly more down scale -- Michigan's that would seem to favor Santorum.

He did this Mitt Romney did in Florida as well as Michigan no I mean he was.

Down substantially in the week ahead of the primaries there and came roaring back to win.

That's right Romney did come roaring back to win part of that was money.

Part of that was mistakes.

Or -- debate performances by some of his opponent's sudden Newt Gingrich did not duplicated South Carolina debate performances in Florida.

In his candidacy just sort of the air went out of the balloon.

-- he had Rick Santorum has spent much of the last.

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