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On Iran and surpassed more -- word on a possible concession today.
That rogue nation announcing it will allow -- United Nations inspectors inside.
What is said to be a secret military complex.
Course we've heard that before Michael Hanlon is with -- now senior fellow.
At the Brookings Institution Michael what are we to believe here.
I Shepard well it's possible that Iran will let these people and we're not even sure that Iran is actually doing a lot of ongoing research on how to build a bomb right now perhaps because it already knows how.
And the real issue is when does -- get enough highly enriched uranium to build it.
Which means that going to this particular weapon site.
May not tell us a lot it may.
Wind -- getting a little information that confirms our suspicions they used to do some research.
Or maybe there's a little bit still going on.
But -- the real issue is how much highly enriched uranium does Iran have and that's gonna happen at the centrifuge facilities that.
As you know we're talking about potentially bombing or not.
Rather than the particular site that was mentioned today.
So it's it's an important issue why this wouldn't read a whole lot into it because it's probably a secondary issue the highly enriched uranium is the primary issue and I guess if we decide to tell the truth we can say.
We don't know how much highly enriched uranium area.
Well you -- we don't know any other sites that they have tried to hide from us but we do actually have a pretty good handle on how much they have at these two declared sites that's the advantage of having the monitors.
I think for President Obama.
For example the time he might use American air power to strike is if and when Iran ever kicks out those inspectors for good.
And -- we have no eyes and ears on what's going on because at that point Iran could not only make more highly enriched uranium but it Richard up to full bomb grade.
You know percentage right now it's going up -- some -- between 5% and 20% depending on the day depending on the batch of uranium.
-- -- -- probably have to make 90% purified uranium to 35.
To have a bomb they could do that without us knowing at the inspectors have been kicked out so watch for when the inspectors it kicked away from the uranium centrifuge facilities for good.
That's going to be for I think the United States the big.
That the president has said repeatedly that there is a window here for diplomacy and sanctions to work.
Of course the sanctions don't fully kick in until June it'll take till the end of the summer from everybody I talked to for them to really have any have any real effect.
And that is if China and India and the rest don't.
Make up for whatever was lost there I mean what what is your degree of of certainty that they will help at all.
-- might it might -- he's not hide but I think if they help even somewhat.
And we let's say cut 20%.
Of Iran so oil revenues that's enough to make a substantial difference in an economy that's already suffering.
Now it's not gonna prevent them from building a -- It does not have a physical capacity to prevent them from doing that it's essentially a punitive strategy.
Trying to make Iran realize that the world's pretty united against -- -- they keep going down this path we can hurt them economically even more.
But it's not a policy to prevent their acquisition per -- So that's the real dilemma that -- -- you know I don't think there's any good option let me be clear I actually support what the president's trying to do because bombing those facilities isn't going to be a permanent solution either.
Iran can and -- weapons inspectors out for good and go build new facilities even deeper underground so we're talking about delaying strategies for the most part not permanent strategies.
The only permanent strategy.
Would be if Iran's government changed and I don't see anybody proposing an invasion to do that -- Michael O'Hanlon from the Brookings Institution.
Author of a new book -- history.
Barack Obama's foreign policy Michael him -- live from Washington will insurance experts say.
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