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Fox News he is America's election headquarters and right now brand new fox holes out on a hypothetical match up between President Obama and GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney.
If the election were held today President Obama would have -- Slight edge over Mitt Romney there you see the numbers 4642.
For the president another Fox News poll shows Romney tied with the president though.
Among a critical bloc of voters.
Let's talk about -- Joseph Trippi is former campaign manager for Howard Dean and a Fox News contributor so the president enjoys a slight edge over Mitt Romney in that first fox -- we showed -- given me the advantages of incumbency given the bully pulpit of the presidency.
Shouldn't he be doing a lot better.
Well you'd like to see if -- incumbent in either party wanna see those numbers above fifty at this point but the that the dynamics have been working for him lately -- consumer confidence.
Unemployment going down in the right direction so so a lot of these numbers particularly among independents Republicans -- had a bigger lead.
Among independents against the president just a number of weeks ago.
Those numbers that close now -- -- -- there and that trend continues he'll be in good -- by November though -- we still a long way to -- we don't know who the nominee as -- on the Republican -- well that's true but another poll among independents.
Showed the president actually losing.
To Mitt Romney 4941%.
If independent voters decide elections and -- you know -- they do on almost every circumstance.
The president's got a long way to go there.
But they they they they do independents will have a lot to say it in November but that again even that 4941.
Margin was bigger.
In most polls -- all just literally a month ago again that.
The train because I think because unemployment gunned down consumer confidence is -- people feel like the economy's turning -- that continues and you see these numbers with independents continue to close.
And the -- fight can you know go all the way to the convention.
That the president again and we could be in better standing -- -- -- even is today he's got a four point lead although that's.
Within the margin probably will it -- it's still it's still tough.
Road to hope.
For either party mean it's going to be close election that's what those numbers tell me the the if the economy may have to be improving and the unemployment situation may be improving but -- gas prices going through the roof.
You know well a lot of people's.
Surplus income is gonna get spent.
At the gas station.
That's John -- -- -- president you did you John he has put your finger on the real big unanswered question out there it and keep gas prices are the one thing.
They could make those numbers with independents -- -- other way start going back.
Towards Romney in the GOP those gas prices are going up.
Again this is all about how people are gonna still going in that November election about the economy about their about their job situation about being able making ends meet on everything else is going in the right direction right now on the economy the one thing going in the wrong direction is gas prices.
And maybe that turns this -- around -- and independence starts slipping.
One other thing that could potentially be a problem for the president and I wanted to get your take on this is just the overall enthusiasm.
You know that people turn now young people Democrats turned out.
In record numbers for Barack Obama's candidacy for years ago.
Fox asked how interested are you in the elections this time around.
Of Democrats say they're extremely 40% of Republicans Republicans.
Seem to have the edge there in pretty much every category forty say -- that.
That's one that's true it's been true all year long but here strangely again that.
Margin is gone -- Republicans were much much more interest in much more excited about the 2012 election the Democrats were at the beginning of last year and through most of last year and that's been going -- -- -- longer this GOP.
Nomination fights bingo have been going on the last excited Republicans seem to be about.
November now so silly doubt our heels fighting with -- public and yet had a big party or fighting is taking and told you're saying as a Democrat.
Yes yes it definitely is all right Joseph Trippi Joseph thank you thanks.
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