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Let's get a Christian white Mancini advised.
-- State Department official and senior advisor in principle with the DC international advisory joining us from our LA -- Christine good to see you.
Good to see there -- -- what's your what's your gut feeling Christian is this just -- is this a long day.
A -- mocking the land day anniversary -- do you.
Feel that as Leland was just saying that officials -- we are slipping towards a new Intifada.
That's always difficult to predict but you know I think that there are indications that this will be confined to -- -- there are some very new violence and and shocking.
Footage coming from Palestinian areas of Israel the border.
And the border between Gaza and Israel in the west bank and Israel but I don't think -- any indications yet that this is going to balloon into something bigger.
You have protesters making analogies to Arab Spring but if that analogy were to follow through that would actually be Palestinians acting up against their own leadership.
Which frankly has not served them terribly well I -- but.
No prospect -- seems Christian.
Of any movement in any sort of peace process between the Palestinians and Israelis.
I don't think so you know there is one notable take away I think from today.
You -- protesters active in jordin pro Palestinian protestors -- have an eleven onto but the police eleven on the police in Jordan are preventing them from contacting Israeli forces and camping down the more violent elements -- peaceful protests to you don't have the Palestinian police doing that they're they're standing -- -- egging them on.
And that I think is another indication that the Palestinian leadership isn't ready to come in from the cold.
You know the fact is they could have an agreement with Israel they can have their own country and they could serve their own people the start to pursue the -- of the -- of peace if you will.
But they just aren't willing to take that steps -- now I think you're gonna see frankly more of the same indefinitely in Israel and Palestine.
Nothing seems to change their or even move forward one -- hotel without pretty strong that.
US involvement about President Clinton moved the two sides closer together ultimately failed.
Other presidents of LC tried pretty hot item no prospect no really a President Obama getting involved in an election year in this is that.
Probably not I think the Obama administration is focused on -- you know what can be seen -- feel good agreements and progress between now and the election with North Korea of course north Koreans can go along with it.
But you know an agreement to resume talks and food aid for example things the president can point to his progress even though if you look closely you'll see the security situation hasn't changed.
Leo it's always a huge temptation if President Obama gets a second term to do to try and and solve this problem it's something.
President Bush -- something President Clinton did it really is something almost every president in modern times has tried to do.
But failed you know this is always the story that we have to get involved that it's important to our Arab allies in addition to the Israelis to get involved.
And have Washington helped bring the sides of the closer together but it never really works because you don't have a willing partner.
On the Palestinian side unfortunately you know they could really serve their people better by.
Making -- agreement Israel's willing to concede almost everything.
If they would just take yes for an answer but you just don't have willing parties so hopefully the Obama administration doesn't get more involved.
Then a minute -- has been.
Only strikes me Christian that they it's very much a second term priority with presidents as well they get like -- 1218 months into the second term.
And they stop thinking about -- -- -- -- was a legacy have a Middle East peace let's have a go at that and it rarely actually pans out the way they wanted to.
That's right certainly with Secretary Rice President Bush's second secretary of state.
That was the case you know -- been lame duck administration in its final year one that frankly didn't.
Have a lot of progress on foreign policy with the exception of the Iraq surge in a second term.
And Goldberg called the Annapolis process about process this -- a grand process by which we were going to solve what had been unsolved for decades before.
And it just didn't happen it's it's a huge temptation but it's 12 term presidents -- first term presidents for that matter.
Should avoid you know we should does support our allies and we should be sympathetic to the Palestinian people they get the Ross deal -- ball.
-- primarily from their own government but this is something where we you know until you have to willing parties you can't really.
-- find a solution.
Button Chris what I got to hear one another interesting -- policy story that caught our attention.
This week was the US ambassador to Russia Michael -- full fall fall -- -- -- pronounces it I'm.
Complaining that he believed his emails were being hacked and that everybody seemed to know exactly where it was gonna be at a key moment of the day.
Is that do what you would expect of the Russians to be doing all is he maybe a little paranoid.
Now I'm frankly shocked that he shocked I hate have complete confidence that.
Because email especially unclassified email anything you -- over the Internet.
Is being monitored by the Russians probably the Chinese to it would be it's of sort of utterly insane for him do expect otherwise.
Russia has no longer quite this Cold War adversary we had that there intelligence service remains.
-- -- highly active and highly adept and has immense resources at its disposal -- does.
The Chinese as -- the Chinese so.
No it's very surprising that he would he would conclude otherwise and it's awfully easy to wonder what the administration is thinking about Russia whether it believes its own.
At least implied rhetoric that this is someone who we can trust -- you saw the president.
President Obama with Medvedev saying they don't give me more space don't worry after the election things will be a lot easier.
Their negotiating with the Russians it's unclear what they're negotiating for and what they're gonna give away what they expect in return.
But the administration remains sort of I think -- -- on and on Russia and on Moscow's intentions.
All right Chris enlightened -- -- state of common official -- advise from principal with DC's national advisory great see you as always Christian have a great weekend at Baring California.
Thanks Jonathan -- -- -- -- I think.
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