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Importance of Ohio and Florida voters

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    'Campaign Insiders' weigh in on swing state poll numbers

  • Duration 7:38
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The race for the White House looking razor thin today the latest Rasmussen national poll possible Obama Romney match -- shows the president with.

45% of registered voters Romney with 46%.

But well within the margin of -- the latest.

Real clear politics average of polls give president Obama's slight edge with a little over 47%.

-- about free points higher than Mitt Romney let's bring in our campaign insiders.

Don't show on Fox News contributor former pollster for Bill Clinton -- -- he to a Fox News contributor and a former pollster for president Jimmy Carter.

John -- -- a former Republican congressman for New York.

Right look it's been an ugly nasty bruising battle among Republicans the president.

You know skating he had no opposition.

He has many advantages of being an incumbent shouldn't -- -- ahead.

Well.

If -- -- president -- -- I'd be worried that I'm not farther ahead of a damaged Republican.

Leader you know for presumptive nominee.

There is a lot of ammo for Obama to use against Romney but with the economy I think every week we talked about it on our segment here that.

That the economy is a little weak.

This week more than last week Obama's numbers go down -- is a good week on the economy he goes up -- -- it's very tied together.

And he has to be worried to death of the economy is softening.

And if it doesn't improve by Election Day he could be defeated -- -- you got into.

Well I think that -- -- mean we know Gallup has had data showing.

They too far greater correlation between how people see the economy and their vote for president than any time.

They have measured in history of Gallup has our historical -- physical back the -- -- -- I think that is true I think the president what I would be worried.

Because if you look inside the polls he has such advantages.

On a lot of came in lot of intangibles like ability whatever.

But he's not getting a big enough lead he had bigger lead before.

And he's got a very damaged opponent.

This is about one thing definition is this a referendum on the president right -- -- the choice and right now it's when he gets his closest -- well.

Let Detroit and Doug -- just thinking of definitions.

I mean Obama has seen is sort of the protector of the middle class Romney is the guy can fix the economy.

Right and the problem for Obama is the economy is the issue.

Man to man Barack Obama.

Beats Mitt Romney but this is not a personality.

Choice much as the Obama campaign will try to make it that.

It's it's ultimately about the direction of the country.

And the polls you cited Greg.

Are critically important to the definition of the race but pat.

Touches on a key issue neither candidate has to finally -- the future where they want to take America hence we have a -- like.

All right I want to put up Ohio up holes right now the president has a six point lead but I want to show you this look at this.

71% of Obama voters say they're voting for and by contrast 63%.

Of Romney voters say.

They're voting against President Obama with just 29% saying -- I'm voting for Mitt Romney.

Almost the same thing in Florida let's put up Florida's numbers similar phenomenon -- majority of Romney voters are voting against.

Barack Obama pat what does that tell you.

It tells me that right now this is the reason we're seeing this close race.

Is it's pretty much right now -- referendum on the president.

And his performance.

Romney is is not getting people -- vote for him.

Because -- has real problems with that he is the alternative to a president who is.

-- mixed reaction from the American people and that's why the people voting for -- for him.

This is the open is -- -- -- say this is what needs to be changed.

There is room to -- the following.

This campaign.

One side -- the other I fear for Obama I don't -- for the but I just -- it appeared that -- but that they are.

They are so into what I saw and had to try to do in 1980 since in 2000 -- there's much more like 1980.

But they aren't walking away from what the future's going to be and pinning their hopes on what we've all talked about just a vicious negative campaigning and -- Are trying to make this choice let me put up one more.

Ohio.

Stat.

Almost 70%.

Of Ohio voters dissatisfied.

With how things are going in the country today.

It congressman given that unhappiness.

Should the president's disapproval.

Rating be a whole lot higher than media -- He's barely under water -- in the -- in Ohio but here's the dirty little secret.

Inside the Republican party of Ohio is a civil war's been going on between the governor in the state party they're very unhappy with both sides Republicans the name of the brand is damaged at the moment in Ohio.

Romney is inheriting some of that problem.

He needs a win Ohio you know -- -- it doesn't have to win and Romney must win it and he's in trouble there.

Right speaker John Boehner unleashed a I think it's fair to say -- fairly scathing condemnation of president Obama's sit down interview this week.

Saying quote he's still the -- he lacks any courage to help tackle economic problems here's more.

-- president checked out last labored.

He spent the last six months campaigning from one -- -- the country to the other instead of working with members of both political parties here in Washington.

To address with serious challenges that our country faces now clearly he's a partisan definitely been around the block -- -- A few times I can't -- call a speaker unleashing on -- president quite like that.

Now their two or three reasons why that's happening first.

Independents -- the key swing group.

In Ohio when Boehner is saying is look I tried to compromise we try to do a grand bargain.

He upped the ante by wanting to raise taxes he's also playing off the statistic.

You put up just now -- showing that 68% -- the country's off on the wrong track heading in the wrong.

Direction trying to make it clear it's the president's fault because what the Republicans and Romney are trying to do.

Not to find the race on their terms with the vision for the future but to say it's all Obama's -- this is the first time I've seen the Republican leadership.

Mount an attack on the president.

That I think was anywhere in the ballpark which is he's not leading we were willing to compromise instead of whatever they've been doing.

They went right at them -- the Achilles -- like field -- Obama who's known reliever content that that's why that sounded tough and effect but remember.

He has been attacking the Republican with such and the evidence this is this is hardly anything but -- Here's what's happened -- of the president's watch and I'm not saying it's all his fault but this is what's happened.

38 straight months of unemployment above 8%.

He's added five trillion to the -- or five truly has been added to the gas prices.

Have doubled in the Keystone Pipeline really beginning -- haunt him now.

Home sales are down housing markets in a free fall.

That's a tough thing to run on isn't it and so why shouldn't we Republicans be able to win we should be able to beat that guy that -- anxious you're way ahead right now we should well.

We don't have to be headed -- you have to be had in November then and it's not impossible that we will be ahead we've been talking the three of us if this has sometimes.

The feel of 1980 where Reagan was never ahead of Jimmy Carter till the end and then ultimately at the end and I think an explosion out of the -- -- landslide -- happen.

We're gonna plus take great how lots more to talk.

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