New threats from North Korea
Assessing current risk of rogue nation
- Duration 6:01
- Date Apr 25, 2012
Assessing current risk of rogue nation
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-- big time Saber rattling from North Korea today as his top military chiefs is the rogue nation is is armed with powerful walked modern weapons.
That could target the United States the north is also threatening to reduce its neighbor to the south South Korea.
To ashes all this amid fears in north could conduct another nuclear tests very soon as a lot of news -- -- North Korea wants is an expert of that.
That area the world is an international security expert and MIT's.
Security studies program Jim nice -- back with that's.
It's always good be with you Jim you know -- -- talked a few weeks ago about a failed missile test at a North Korea and now we're getting and let me just quote him correctly.
It did this this military.
Top military chiefs saying that the koreans' people army is armed with powerful modern weapons that can defeat the US imperialists at a single blow.
-- what are we to believe of that.
Well you know I love North Korean rhetoric it's still one of the last bastions of over the top rhetoric.
We hear a lot of that and then the question is when do -- mean it would do they don't but in this case.
You know if I was a betting man I'd bet that they probably will have a nuclear testing you never know but I would say yes why.
It fits the pattern of history in the past they've had a missile tests followed by a nuclear test.
Of that missile test did not go well so this is a way for them to recoup and save some face.
They're talking about modern weapons you know that can't be code for nuclear weapons and then they're bonjour for some reports of activity at the nuclear test site and then at a North Korean official telling Reuters there would be a test.
-- that up altogether I think it's more likely than not that there will be one sometime soon they did have a test what does that mean tax.
You know I really don't think it means that much.
People you'll have to look at what the data says we'll have seismic data will have air samples.
The last two nuclear -- I don't think went very well for them.
I think this is more about their internal needs an external stuff I think the real danger here is not that they're suddenly going to be able -- Go from a test to a weapon and they're gonna launch at the danger is.
South Korea's gonna feel -- compelled to respond to the test they made me feel we spoke compelled to respond to that.
And then someone can make a mistake there can be an accident a miscalculation.
And then you could have a shooting war.
That starts -- no one really wants that's my concern not so much the nuclear itself.
As the response -- for Tess -- and fourth.
That Michael -- I don't think it's time to remind our viewers at least 30000 troops there are right the DMZ so we are in the cross -- -- this day of that type of unexpected or accidental.
And that's a tough word to use but an accidental concepts to -- the two sides.
Do you see salute you see it really coming to a boiling point right now -- compare your work over the last several years -- How does this time with North Korea -- the same or different -- other time.
-- question I think it's different because there's a leadership change in North Korea so you have Young Kim Jong-un.
Doesn't have a lot of job experience is in the middle trying to consolidate his position.
But in the same time in South Korea it's undergoing a presidential election so there are a lot of uncertainties at a time when there are tensions that's why say it might be easy for people to make a mistake or miscalculation so I -- think.
The job is really get through these next couple of years without an incident with -- an error because -- leadership in both countries it's gonna be an experienced.
Of course we're in the -- event presidential election is about that as a whole other dynamic into this.
Let's just front -- on -- that conversation a little bit we also have news -- -- Pakistan today.
That Pakistan successfully launch an upgraded ballistic missile that's in response some say to India's rocket tests just last week.
See you -- India and Pakistan testing missiles and yet North Korea.
Testing missiles on the verge of -- nuclear test -- Iran is working towards the nuclear weapon.
-- all of these things work together -- in your mind.
Yeah I think -- -- They're they're separate -- each happen in their own little domain.
I think that the North Korea South Korea they're gonna do what they do regardless of what the rest of the world is about.
The Indian Pakistan thing is a little more complex because.
-- special essentially -- three player game.
-- launches -- -- as a message not to Pakistan but it Sean they test today Intercontinental ballistic missile.
Capable of carrying -- nuclear warhead that can reach where Beijing right so the Chinese are paying attention to that.
But then I think Indians do that the pakistanis feel the need to respond because there are -- -- -- with Pakistan and they fought.
With India Pakistan yeah.
Says -- -- -- gets everyone's attention we show the video we're showing the India video right now so when you bring this these conversations back home.
You know worry and it -- to disarm.
Quite a bit of our nuclear weapons and I know we've talked in the past and you said that that did -- that is something on the table we should look at that.
You should should we -- minds of the world as well about our military strength.
Well I think people know where the overwhelming dominant military power on the planet earth.
We spend more and our military than the next can't attend countries combined and those ten are our allies so I think there's no question.
In that and governments and capitals around the world that the US is the number one military power on earth bar none and number two is not close.
I do agree with you -- though that.
As Iran at me not Iran but -- India Pakistan continue this back and forth it does make it more difficult to talk about reducing -- a nuclear weapons in.
Now India Pakistan and earn a good place right now they've but the leaders of both countries met this month but you don't know how long that's gonna last you know terrorist attack.
Launched from Pakistan into India -- change all that overnight so I you know I worry about North -- -- -- and most folks think if there's going to be a real nuclear war sometime soon its Indian Pakistan because.
There -- cheek to jowl and they don't like each other and there's a bad history there.
And and we don't know the total number a nuclear weapons in Pakistan but we know -- much higher than that and we believe it's much higher than North Korea is interesting perspective today -- as -- taking.
And consider all these different countries in their moves nice to have you back with us to work through that off and look for having back.
Look forward to it as well thank you.