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-- all right mr.
Goodell who the most.
Arab -- a member of our panel is trying to do when all political consultants do slot hall played.
-- blame and other pop up somewhat got to ask him a question of how does 48.
As a number of listeners and viewers have.
Has a putt is 48 compared specifically.
Janet -- question these are very -- -- question is isn't Romney making the same mistake.
Tom -- made in 1948.
When do we dare to be Carson's interstates.
As you know I was there are forty at our folks I was for many years the youngest person ever in politics.
Now become the oldest I don't know what it means but.
But in 48 this is an interest being a metaphor great.
Truman was considered unelectable then he had -- -- -- it right in his party into his life.
And heat in the Republicans won a huge victory in 46 they -- both houses after the war that this could happen.
Warning change it was gigantic.
And he went and took on the congress.
But here's the important -- com do we was told he had this thing locked up from day one.
And he acted like -- and Alice longworth -- Alice Roosevelt almost comedy looks like -- may have on the wedding cake.
There which was a devastating but accurate statement to some extent Romney keeps -- looking like he will not make himself bigger.
Took them to -- that as we discussed some time I got to give it to somebody.
Cut -- class six girl concert girl Margaret -- ever -- apologize that's very good question -- we keep saying Romney needs a plan.
As the only Republican.
On our parent.
Can you tell me what the plan should be how do you reach base Republican.
What should be done what should Romney be doing that he's not -- personally I like an idea that.
That addresses everything in one fell swoop -- how to reduce the national debt over a period of time that the right cares very much about that.
But also spurs some level of economic growth that -- not happen and that's through.
A long term.
Plan of spending reduction tax reduction closing loopholes wherever it is an and -- got to get it and -- -- down to something like we said yesterday.
Herman Cain was the only guy in the primaries and had a plan that he -- talk about one rate flat tax.
What -- -- difficult in some circles.
A fair tax go to -- only 3% 24% had no deduction -- -- -- -- whenever that's been tried politically initially -- polls very well and then when the public looks at it and runs the numbers for themselves they don't get interest mortgage interest deduction charitable deductions.
It won't work you have to charitable deduction so -- -- charities are going out of business you have to have.
Mortgage interest deductions at least for the middle and upper middle class of -- was -- housing market crashes so we can't have no deductions.
But we could reduce -- that something like that.
Is where we're -- -- -- isn't.
It -- Jerry Brown poses -- 92.
Being an eclectic -- with -- and but it was a vote was to attack the tax code there's a way to do this whereas.
That makes -- and you know what would make an incredible pat.
When he does if he doesn't I don't think -- what is he's got to do something in there to socket that the rich well one thing to go against his own.
To -- a credible it might he's got to say.
That this you know look we have a tax code this for the outsider Romney needs to be altered the message need to be need to be more the outsider the new racing to be the Republican establishes it in inside -- -- -- whether it -- it's important.
He needs to be -- -- your question when he needs to say is all of this this cronyism that goes on Washington which both parties engage.
In terms of that tax code is loaded with stuff that is the ball lobbied -- Bryant.
And he needs to say.
Take that away from businesses and upper income people make you wanna cut exemptions you wanna make him pay their fair share you'll help the economy in they will you -- of that stuff.
And that would help him but that argument John last word on this point -- wanna.
Turn to the electoral map -- this is the way to go this is what they should be sitting around a table in Boston and the headquarters right now talking about us but.
My instinct is Romney will not do anything bowl like the civil.
-- split up the electoral map the real clear politics electoral map it's a little bit.
Tough to see but -- count now is 227.
For Mitt Romney.
And my question gentlemen.
Is what's really going on.
Is it is at 857.
-- Electoral vote lead for Obama is that real easy ahead when you allocate the electors -- the race -- out John.
Well -- to may when I look at this and I've been studying this for a week.
It's worrisome for Romney barring more economic deterioration because there's so many states here.
I know their close these states that are toss ups.
What the root people were Obama -- is only -- 43 more electoral votes and he can get him in that list in the metal would you all the little religious.
Cries -- I could to look ahead.
We are Romney State's right the blue are Obama states in the grave.
With a dart are yet -- -- are the.
Toss -- state targets of the tossup states -- three of us talk about that here they are Arizona Colorado.
-- Iowa Missouri.
New Hampshire North Carolina.
Pennsylvania and Virginia.
You can go through things and see where there's trouble can I can I just say when human should look at there's.
As -- refused to look and you look at some of the leading states for an entire final hard to believe.
Indiana only in South Carolina only leaning leaning -- Romney Indiana South Carolina are gonna go forward Georgia anybody running -- and it's crazy.
What the fact is that even that they're listed at this point coach -- Problem to have Arizona at 1111 electoral votes now.
In the tossup category I don't think -- I don't -- it.
But the other thing is is the president has.
There are some weaknesses he's C he has I've seen polls in Wisconsin and -- -- better for Romney than they are in Ohio and Florida.
Merely because he didn't have to run in them you know a tough -- had a primary but he -- But they've won it in it wasn't his broom and a little recall election in the fact that while it's going to be critical -- look the recall -- -- -- Al -- next week we need to get a unity of my detail because the primary will be next week.
But I just posted an Electoral College everything is still up in the air.
There are many states and -- up in the -- and -- this is a whimsical thing intelligent that Romney is further behind in the Electoral College.
You're the aliens in the in the overall -- limit -- the let's understand and it's some little holes we have seen in the states.
Strictly ones -- Romney won like Ohio and Florida.
His primary campaign seemed to -- damage -- not -- -- not enhance the general election situation.
-- let me try to allocate.
A couple of mistakes here you guys can disagree if you think I'm wrong I think Pennsylvania will ultimately.
Go democratic if I had that I also think.
And perhaps Virginia as well are more likely this point to go Republican as well as would Arizona.
I think Ohio is absolutely.
It true tossup may be leaving slight.
Slightly democratic because of the unpopularity.
Of John -- -- and Florida I see is either a toss up we're leaning Republican John do you think.
That play number one that I -- gut tells me is North Carolina they've worked it super hard in the mayor's races last fall that having the convention there they've got to -- this is Obama talked about.
They are going hard for north -- -- -- it is interest into this if you wanna think that Romney is gonna win and he needs to move north Kennedy needs to move North Carolina soon.
And he should be able to because look what happened in 2000 can't -- extremely unpopular governor the -- Republicans Democrats were wiped out congressional legislative elections.
The revulsion against health care and so -- -- great.
And yet and yet and Obama is -- reported in there.
See Obama as long as -- Virginia and North Carolina or even in the heat in the contest whole category but Ronald is the underdog right that's a plus for Obama so what does he -- Because -- we've had something about the -- -- these critical site.
That there is way too much and politics these days about thinking of politics is a bullet or run in twelve state -- let me tell you something new presidential politics move on.
A national basis they moved everything around we're getting close to predictions -- wanted to give us all -- compliment from cuts for sex girl.
Said Romney campaign people on their campaign and watch this show.
They have read our comments I've seen changes in his campaign on the same day comments were posted following days after.
And then another point on the electoral map.
From Charles race.
Guys you've got to be kidding.
That Obama has that great of a lead in the electoral count well let's not ours is real clear politics with that is -- an average of polls is I let that.
Reese makes the point that Missouri will not go to Obama that's a good guy actually we -- that's only ten electoral votes.
Our economy is and then a tossup column that we don't like hurry -- -- broad movement here when I was trying to say.
Is whoever -- his campaign and it's Romney's disease if he wants right now.
You -- you could move.
Board's lead the country it will move the critical statement this notion that you move this from the presidency from the bottom up is predicted his.
But let let's start with predictions.
I'm gonna lead off studies on predicting that all -- for awful this week about Osama bin -- anniversary.
-- big deal this week will be talked about for this week only a week for now we'll be talking about the new unemployment report that comes out Friday.
No more Osama bin Laden during the camp.
Condit partially disagree -- I think.
That the whole issue of national security because it's an area the president has had some success and he talks about Iraq Afghanistan.
Obviously Osama bin Laden.
Which we all hope happens of al-Qaeda I think national security is going to be a much.
Bigger part of the full general election campaign that anyone could -- has anticipate.
And I will tell you that and I think that all the tall -- the political class symbols some of these reporters -- told us -- -- corporate at all it's it's the president's issue.
Well I made the example about 1992.
I am telling you that I have seen numbers in their convincing numbers that on defense cuts the cutting the defense budget does have believed Obama's done.
The issue overall brand the threat to Israel and -- in the -- the idea of their brand new nuclear weapon the president is behind the curve he is actually weak but some Republicans have abandoned the field here's my prediction.
They will get back in the field on one policy and the president's no job.
Which he's convince everyone the -- way including a lot of Republicans will fail.
Well that about wraps it up.
Forward today I think.
Pat we've done something today and John.
That is important we've gotten into the electoral map when I'm gonna suggest we try to do as we go forward is to respond to our listeners concerns to try to get.
Drill down on a number -- -- -- yet look at them with the kind of experience that we all have to give our viewers what there.
Looking for and what idea they only get.
On campaign insiders for Pat Caddell for John -- where I'm Doug -- thank you for joining us thank you especially.
For your informative comments and suggestions will be back here 1030 next Monday and of course 525 next Sunday on the Fox News Channel thanks for tuning it.
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