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And welcome to FOX News Sunday panel plus what Bill Kristol AB Stoddard Liz Cheney and Juan Williams.
And we have decided because it's never too soon to get into the weeds when it comes to the presidential election to talk about various house for both candidates -- -- And the most interest -- analysis that I saw this last week and about fifteen states is apparently Karl Rove has something called a 321 strategy in the 321.
Is that first you have to take back -- and they're all writing this down like this means something.
Three states that a -- -- one that weren't.
A reliably Republican states that he won in 2008 and those are Virginia North Carolina and Indiana.
Then you gotta take two states that are the big swing states that go back and forth Ohio and Florida.
And then all that Romney would need to and that's going to be a tall order but all Romney would need is to win one.
More state of and their whole bunch out there from New Hampshire to Colorado to Iowa that.
But but it's -- 321 strategy what does that that makes sense via.
It doesn't I mean that what's interesting about the polls -- -- in national polls is that they're really close -- if you look at the battleground polls it does look more difficult for.
Mitt Romney he's gonna get Indiana no problem Virginia is looking problematic North Carolina.
The demographics are better for President Obama than they used to be but anyway it was close last time I think Mitt Romney 141000 there.
And I think that what is so great if if if Romney can't win North Carolina.
Right -- hi -- I would I would think he could get those two.
Virginia as I said democratic clearly favoring a president he has a solid lead there.
Ohio Florida probably.
A good chance.
And then he's got to take.
Some state.
Where -- people are counting him out now and those are the ones the Democrats are talking up.
-- -- president Obama's doing so well Wisconsin Colorado New Mexico Nevada all these Latino populations are really giving the president and -- The president is trying to play in Arizona.
Vatican also complicate things for President Obama because they have an attractive senate candidate there and there are also because of the immigration law there registering -- Latino voters like -- house on fire so.
The -- it looks a little tricky but it's interesting when you look at what the economy's doing of course the bigger picture what will happen for -- perhaps an international incident this summer.
And you look at those national polls Mitt Romney as he has a strong path.
Yeah I.
It's tougher though then then then Obama clearly and and you hear that it has now suddenly you're hearing.
They were Republicans -- a problem that we can take -- -- reliably reliably Republican state like Pennsylvania.
Or Michigan that's strikes me as a pretty.
-- -- I think Wisconsin will be the user of the normal democratic states to take especially if I don't what happens in this -- in June 5 on the recall but.
-- I stormed a Democrat this week and I think probably as part of which has two and actually with his line was do you.
Occasionally once every confidence -- -- And his line was out do you realize that our President Obama has to do businesses and he loses Indiana and North Carolina.
List -- was when one of the three Virginia Ohio Florida and it becomes extremely hard.
For Mitt Romney could even lose all three and still be -- to 7266.
If if Romney can't steal New Hampshire or Iowa Colorado one of those other states Nevada.
I think -- -- with all the other 50 to win a cup by the states but the fact the country does vote Morse a country and not as states I think the biggest mistake actually Romney could make.
Is by this line that it's just six different gubernatorial senate elections that.
You have to run voters watch national news they watched then that -- living in the same country at this point.
I think the swing will be natural and I think that it would be a state to get to tactical opportunity and -- -- -- money in the big states but of the state to get to in the states that are.
That are on the on the on the cost.
But I think you've got a runner compelling national campaign and Electoral College map takes care of itself.
-- I just I'm struck by this because Karl Rove in fact in his analysis says the president has -- easier path.
To victory that's and so I mean this is coming from -- -- -- and one way to look at it is to stay away here's mr.
Republican.
Trying to gin up the troops and say we're up against this -- not on the democratic side but in fact you know I think this is the proper analysis I think is pretty straight about it.
Is an easier route for -- President Obama.
Wiser president -- wiser needs your -- I think that if you look at these states that he was very lucky to win last time he's in better position in part because of demographic shifts.
But also ironically.
In many of these places guess -- in Ohio unemployment below the national average.
Are you look at Virginia right now it's not only the demographic shift.
But you again look at the economic development taking place in.
Virginia and you'd have to say oh my gosh you know what that these people aren't screaming bloody murder they're not upset with the current state of the economy which is.
-- reason for the Romney campaign you know it is just it's -- well -- -- elected Republican got a fair well hello Eric they elected.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Okay let me let me bring in endless no I know that you're on top of what's going on in Wyoming because of her.
Products -- victory she's very amusements theater voted against it looked like.
Parent yourself.
But yeah I -- -- just look beyond there -- what about what about the electoral map.
Look I think and frankly none of these numbers mean very much right now you know you've got Romney who's just coming out of a very bruising political primary.
Obviously President Obama didn't have to do that.
You've got -- -- -- a lot of intervening events that could happen here whether it's you know the continued.
Difficulties in the economy whether -- something on the national security front you know there's a long way between -- -- now and November so.
I think it is the case that an incumbent president especially one with the kind of political machine and skills.
And willingness to do just about anything to win that this one has is in fact gonna have an advantage.
But I think at the end of the day you can have an awful lot of people Republicans and Democrats who say.
When he confidence and you know -- money.
I think we all agree that this election is absolutely up for grabs and could go either way and it'll depend on the quality of the campaigns they run and what happens in the country over the next six months anyway thank you panel.
Please check and let us throughout the week give us your opinions -- where you think this race stands at this early point.
Look for my Monday edition of Wallace unplug -- -- at FOX News Sunday dot com.
We'll see you back here next --
