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Poll: Obama, Romney in virtual tie

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    Bret Baier looks at latest election numbers

  • Duration 4:30
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But new nationwide poll shows President Obama in a virtual tie with Mitt Romney.

Romney is one point ahead 4847.

In the latest Politico George Washington University battleground.

Poll.

And essentially yep it's a -- joining us now special report anchor.

Bret -- I suppose both sides will look at these numbers and find something to like -- them I'm Bret.

Definitely John of the Romney campaign can look at the independent.

Number and in this poll -- Mitt Romney is up ten points.

Over President Obama with independents that's a significant number also look at the full 91% of conservatives.

Who now support Romney -- by today.

Turmoil during the primary process -- a lot of people saying that the conservatives wouldn't come around this poll suggests that they are.

-- behind Romney and even more so than the base behind President Obama.

The Obama campaign can look to numbers where President Obama has a ten point edge over folks who the question who shares your values.

And he has 23 point edge over Mitt Romney.

On who stands up for the middle class so those are points that you heard the president numerous times over recent weeks talk about.

Paying their fair share representing the middle class and if these numbers are any indication you're likely going to hear a lot more of that from President Obama on the stuff.

The USA today Gallup out today with a very similar kind of poll in twelve -- states they are starting from scratch is the headline 47%.

For the president 45%.

For Mitt Romney the amazing thing to meet Brad.

Is that you know them the power of the incumbency is so strong.

Here you have a guy who's been in office for three years -- viewers.

You know the voters have seen him.

Every single day trotting around the world are doing whatever presidents do.

And yet to be tied with a Republican challenger who has been beaten up pretty badly during this prop primary process.

And that doesn't bode well for the president.

Well no it doesn't but again as you look into the internals of this poll there are bright spots and the Obama administration could see that.

But your right at this point.

After what the the primary process that Mitt Romney went through.

You'd expect him to be trailing a little bit more than he he is in the overall number.

But for example on foreign policy issues.

This president a Democrat.

Is leading over Mitt Romney pretty substantially on who would handle foreign policy better and that's a significant plus for the Obama administration.

It's so interesting that these swing states will essentially decide this election we always talk about it but there are about 34 counties.

In this country that will be bombarded by ads because it's believed that those counties in all of these swing states.

We'll turn the tide -- where enough.

And that George Washington poll 59%.

Say the country is headed down the wrong track it's very hard for a president to win reelection with numbers like -- Right by the time I ask you about time -- get to August.

Depending on how the economy is by the middle of August.

That becomes kind of baked in the cake traditionally.

When the economy the economic numbers are out there depending where the economy is and where that right track wrong track number is.

At that point.

Mostly you don't see a lot of movement in the next couple of months but you know any any election can be different.

All right well and I guess he gets -- were doing better than Spain at least in the you know unemployment numbers.

-- -- quit fearing job about that on Paul you UT's Ron Paul oh yeah yeah this this thing is really something he is winning these states.

With these state and district conventions and he is racking up delegates and it is continuing.

Nevada.

Maine you're gonna have a challenge from the Romney campaign I -- up in Maine about the specific rules there but you're going to see.

Accumulation of delegates.

For the Ron Paul campaign and he is going to be a major factor.

In Tampa.

Come Plano Santorum and Gingrich was suspended but not Ron Paul still plugging away.

Still don't going to be interest it.

More on that on now special report on her 6 PM eastern time each and every weeknight prepares to host Brett thank you thanks to.

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