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Ron Paul impact on Romney, Obama matchup

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    A look at latest poll numbers

  • Duration 3:34
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-- -- a brand new -- showing governor Mitt Romney with a five point lead over President Obama if Texas congressman Ron Paul decides to run as a third party candidate the national survey about Rasmussen Reports finds governor Ronnie wood.

Win at three way contest.

Getting 44% to president Obama's 39% Ron Paul -- can see right there are double digits.

13% of vote.

Independent pollster Scott Rasmussen is president of Rasmussen Reports he joins us now says Scott.

You know the conversation is always been if Ron -- stays in the race is -- -- spoil things for the GOP that's.

What you found -- -- -- -- these numbers really tell us.

What Jenna first we have to peak provide little context only 6% think it's very likely that Ron Paul will -- so this is largely hypothetical at this point in time.

But what this tells us is that Ron Paul -- support from.

Both Mitt Romney and President Obama and he also picks up some support from those who say they couldn't vote for either man.

The results don't change that much.

That's surprises people what we found the exact same dynamic for years ago when -- Ron Paul's a third party candidate in the Obama McCain -- -- And did he get as similar result in the double digits -- below 20%.

Yes okay did and what I was curious about that that 13% whether or not as a poster you thought -- well hey that's still significant he seems like he's still.

In there which -- has by the way officially still in the race.

Sure well it's it's a big number typically third party candidates do better early in the cycle their numbers Begin to fade as you get closer to Election Day.

You got to remember there's an awful lot of people out there who when the Republicans play the Democrats they want both teams to lose and that's part of where this is coming from.

But it's also important remember that Ron Paul has a number of positions that appeal all across the political spectrum.

We talk about his views on the right.

But for people on the left many are attracted to his views on on the military and the lack of to support for a lot of our military interventions.

There's also support for his positions on drug legalization so.

Ron Paul does not have a firm based in either party but does draw a lot of people disaffected -- -- You know I was I was curious do it look at your head to head matchups and you look at governor Romney and the presumptive nominee's going up against President Obama.

I you still have a cranked chair pulling Romney with -- a five point lead on the president I was curious what happens when you take.

Ron Paul out of the questions.

Where that 13% that he gets when he's in the -- goes so.

Where we did do those 13% or is just not -- when they see the two guys that are on the screen or are today.

-- due date align themselves accordingly.

While -- what happens is Romney support goes from 44 to 49%.

-- our polling today.

Obama's support goes from 39 to 44% so ten of those thirteen points who say vote for Ron Paul gets split even between the other two candidates.

In 3% say.

We're not sure we're not gonna vote for either of these guys.

The bigger store right now in terms of the race is that Mitt Romney is doing pretty well this week in our poll and than many other polls.

It may have something to do their jobs report that came out last week may have something to do with the turmoil in Europe.

Lot of concerns about the economy and the economy is the main issue in this election.

That's very interesting was he would it it looks like when we look at your polls next week.

Because men now we have this terror plot and and that's often thought of that foreign policy being strained to the president so we'll see if we see it.

And -- shifting Scott I look forward to having you back from more as always thank you very much.

Thank you Jenna.

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