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How close is the 2012 race?

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    Our 'Campaign Insiders' weigh in on new poll numb ers

  • Duration 4:12
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This transcript is automatically generated

-- -- On the set.

Well -- pillars -- that three plus one let's put it that way.

Bob Hackwear campaign insiders here again -- -- impacted Allentown ability it all right let's put on the screen the electoral map.

Real clear politics poll average.

These are individual states and look at this and we -- make sense of this you know the president has a substantial.

Lead here right.

-- here's what I would say.

The bottom line is -- 250.

Odd votes that he's now getting.

Are all at risk states like Florida states like Missouri State's like.

Ohio.

All in play now because of the deteriorating economy and because of gay marriage so.

The electoral map is effectively a lagging indicator.

That doesn't reflect the weakness in his numbers and what pat said before has to be emphasized.

Governor Romney has yet to make a positive.

Case for himself which is why the race is as close as it is -- -- and let me just say it would talk about the economy first second.

You know we're -- -- before we do that North Carolina.

Look that is up on the screen I believe North Carolina which the Obama campaign is staked a great deal of trying to hold on one of my 141000 votes.

They've been they've been closer even there I think they're -- gonna lose it in North Carolina on the air and go to your -- -- gay marriage.

In the counties that Obama carried the -- which of the heaviest African American counties.

In the state with the highest and supported the amendment the past 6040 but look at getting married 645 it's -- -- that.

Right and then when the president under 50%.

With patent issue having been passed that is adverse to the president's interest you have to say that he will lose that state.

And this is after they put their convention -- -- he has spent enormous Amani put offices all over the state they've got -- -- -- also is that he got -- get out the vote operation there he was pounding on -- really invest in that state heavily and I think David I wanna put up big Gallup he has on economic problems and who can best solve them.

Take a look at this president -- 52.

Bit wrong.

Only 61%.

That this is this is they let me explain the audience to view.

This is this is how they will do in the next -- their elected prime only by eight points to people think the president will do good.

Romney is by 6133.

That he is -- that that is a huge -- almost to the one saying he will do a good job of that balance.

What you're seeing is an indication what do you think about the future.

And yet they're they're very close -- about three point gentleman that's the most important issue don't why isn't Romney way and because it is a yet to articulate hope a vision like Ronald Reagan.

Like Bill Clinton did you don't have a sense where governor Romney is going.

He's got the advantage I -- his vision in the wrong efficient it's been raked over the coals as favoring the rich and hurting the poor -- he -- -- And away from that by coming up with a plan a better plan -- they plan not a 59 point plan that I don't know.

But that might might might they hesitation about -- -- That because he's doing as well as you ask him showing these polls he doesn't think he needs a plan he thinks that if I'm riding that Obama's mistakes and the bad economy -- -- gonna get a.

Case of the for -- reels and he's gonna get pounded really hard this is the moment for him to elevate himself up and we've spoke about this for several weeks.

To be more presidential to start laying out program for putting some meat under these numbers were being visionaries the president.

Is being more divisive by the way caring more negative attacks than any incumbent president in history this time got a got an opportunity guy probably hasn't taken.

Always great the campaign insiders -- absolutely -- pat -- Doug -- thank you so much the way you can catch more of the campaign insiders every Monday.

10:30 AM live.

At live dot com foxnews.com.

They'll be back here of course as always every Sunday.

Follow them also on Twitter at at and inside.

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