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Obama, Romney neck-and-neck in polls

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    Virtual tie in swing states

  • Duration 5:34
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-- the polls -- virtual tie between President Obama and governor Mitt Romney among key swing states.

But the national match -- tell a very different story now here to break down the numbers forced democratic strategist David Mercer.

And Republican strategists Ford O'Connell.

As on the thanks very much for joining us good to have year on the thank you miss being here today have him on Tuesday there -- -- bothers but I think it's great to my daughter was once thought okay.

Let's take a look at that some of these recent polls they really are intriguing.

First off let's take a look at the real clear politics average right now.

Which was done through April 27 through that tenth -- has Obama at 46 point.

7%.

And also Romney at 45 point 4% the Rasmussen tracking poll is a really interesting what it has Romney at 50%.

Obama at 43%.

Romney up by seven points there what are you guys read into this.

The way I see it is the polls -- polls but they're not the Electoral College vote and if you look at it 2008 with Obama.

In 23 of the 28 states that he ran -- he got more.

Of a percentage of vote in those states.

Then he did in the national.

-- get.

So -- in looking at that you got to look at Electoral College.

Where he is Armstrong.

Among swing states and those states is where it counts Virginia Ohio.

Pennsylvania all where he has now has leads and that's remove the where the campaign is gonna come down to and.

It is that's absolutely right this is gonna come down -- electoral college and come down to whether or not Mitt Romney can win North Carolina Virginia and Ohio.

If you can do that he'll be the next president has states but a big issue for Mitt Romney right now is electability gap that he has with President Obama president Obama's -- between nine point edge on him and it Romney needs to make that up.

We'll take a look at that the electability happened just secular person do wanna get to these a swing state polls USA today Gallup poll that -- won recently.

Which has -- -- at 47%.

Romney at 45 -- states Colorado Florida Iowa Michigan Nevada New Hampshire New Mexico North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Virginia.

And Wisconsin's within the margin of error neck and neck there.

Absolutely true and we knows that when you when it comes down to those margin error as you make it up with the ground forces.

Obama has 25 state offices in Florida.

There are only now in the Romney campaign beginning to get in there you're gonna see a new science brought to the heart of campaigning.

And for Obama.

You're also gonna see -- continuity between the good times in the Clinton Era and what we're trying to do in setting a course for recovery and having both Obama and Clinton.

Out there.

Instilling confidence.

And don't understand is very tight election I do is really -- but I do think the ground game is going to be extremely important but the reason why this is a very tight election is because of President Obama is abysmal economic record.

And the key for Mitt Romney that'll be essentially thirteen million swing state voters will decide the selection.

-- keep from Mitt Romney is to get those independents and moderates in his column.

-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- I'll say two things one.

It was an -- game and he blew them out with super pac money his opponents in the in the primary it was not necessarily a ground game that's one secondly.

And with regard to what.

What it was just -- by -- is that you know look when you're losing votes in the Hispanic community when you're -- -- gender gap with women and losing votes there.

Almost a 90%.

Gap between Obama.

And our Romney you know this is you got to gain votes and every time you goes out and I -- -- -- goes every time he goes out there.

He is losing votes the more they get to know Mitt Romney the less they like I'm going back to the -- -- -- -- it got -- look at that don't like ability gap right now this is the USA today Gallup poll that has Romney at only 31%.

To Obama's 60% -- how does it make up that that he's got to come out with a compelling personal narrative and that's really the biggest issue because a lot of independent and moderate voters really that he's not well defined in their mind.

The second thing yes it was into kids can -- dignified.

Patrician.

Like Mitt Romney do that in -- Lindsay Lohan culture.

Yes I think he can't but he he has to go back to why he was an American success story as a businessman he asked to discuss why he was a compliment governor most people don't know a heck of a lot about Mitt Romney if he can do that.

He's gonna closes like ability -- -- -- -- this is his second run for president and he's got electability of 30%.

The guy is in trouble and they got to find as -- did say a narrative that is compelling and they have been fumbling on that for.

Not only this election we -- national wildlife -- ability -- we just have to close that -- and if we can close that -- Mitt Romney is going to win this election but that is the job is right now President Obama staying -- because of like to billions of peer messaging that's the bottom -- correct I agree with that but -- -- -- -- -- really appreciate you coming in on this -- video we -- -- before Tuesday innocent and happy -- everyone.

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