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Afternoon and welcome to the fox hole I'm your host James Rosen -- as -- -- in the Twitter verse -- James Rosen FNC.
This is a brand new -- the foxhole with the debut of a bold and quite possibly dangerous cutting edge experimenting media and journalism.
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-- let's -- deeply into foxhole politics and bring in our guests Lynnwood Brooks is a former senior staff aide to senator Roger -- he's the man on the left.
Other Republican from Mississippi he is now policy director mr.
For the independent nonprofit public notice on Twitter he's -- -- Brooks Jarvis Stewart immediately to my right is the former chief of staff to congressman Harold Ford.
The Democrat from Tennessee.
He is now chairman and managing partner at the DC based consulting firm -- read LLC.
His Twitter handle is that Jarvis Stewart.
Okay thanks you both for joining us first game could be here -- them all either one of few years your sense of the state of the presidential race right now another we're past the primaries and we have at least a nominee looking like it on both sides went.
Well there's a long way to go to November so things are gonna change a lot about the most people agree this race is going to be very close.
It is going to be decided by the independent voters in the swing states and as we saw -- -- Fox News poll that came out this week independents are very.
But you know upset with the direction this country not much is happening here in Washington -- a lot of talk to not not much action when the economy really struck.
Well I mean I think it was right you know the reality is when you look at and the -- came out there is a third of Americans which we know to be independents are still quite.
But that's not a usual we find that every four years.
I like to call in the battleground voters those that quite frankly the president and and the nominees -- mr.
Romney will the soon to be nominee.
Will aggressively go after come the fall elections so it's not unusual.
That they are the 20% in the middle of the otherwise polarized collateral if it is then imperative for -- candidate simply to win 11% -- -- -- -- percent to win the election.
I mean I think that's a fair assumption but I think one thing that I think fox is polls -- this week is for the campaign managers in the folks that are running the super facts.
How much money Dana throughout -- track these voters -- mean there's a reason they're independents is because they have a hard -- Making up their minds -- they also don't like to be associated with a particular party so there's going to be huge amount of advertising to try to win these voters.
But you know what's really interesting about the in the independent -- this time around.
I think he's opposed that -- -- he's gonna have the toughest time -- I mean for the last 63 months he is aggressively.
Tried to demonstrate his Republican conservative credentials.
And now he's by himself in position where he has to move slightly to the middle one in the same thing set of Barack Obama absolutely but what you just four years ago let's celebrate those chase him for years he's believe he can run he wanted to time -- well I mean considering that the source and we ran against the McCain.
While McCain was quote formidable candidate.
The message should be the our mission ended the lead in the history.
A historical significance of a Barack over Obama and his mission.
Any candidate -- okay so let's take a look at some internals from the Fox News polls that you just referenced.
Maria and -- in our control room let's bring up number one.
And I wanna ask Jarvis Stewart about this the main everything they asked -- Obama supporters -- be.
This was just less than a week ago.
Why what is the main reason you're supporting Barack Obama 25% said doing a good job.
Let's hit that home for a sec 25%.
Of his own supporters said the reason they supported -- he's doing a good job positions on the issues 13%.
And an 11% each for he's -- Democrat and he's not Romney not exactly the kind of voter enthusiasm you wanna see the stages and.
You know what I'm have to go back in in reference the comment made by my friend -- here it's still early.
I think the president who was dealt a pretty tough they have from the very beginning with the economy has done the best he can whether that would -- yes.
I think he's been moving aggressively -- although he's taken a great deal little punch and counterpunch from.
From within his own party -- as well as Republicans across the country.
He I think give the team he is a message that -- -- the only problem is -- -- it's it's early and meets or I don't think he has a problem with the bases at all I mean you know when you look at the point 5% that number will grow.
You know 7810%.
Before you know it all right I'll -- after the committee.
-- -- -- now for you when what I want to basically give you the equivalent poll from the Fox News poll again this was asked exclusively of Romney supporters.
And earlier this week with a margin of error 5%.
That's not gonna come into play here as you'll see.
The main reason you're supporting Mitt Romney was asked of these Romney supporters 43%.
Said he's not -- -- -- -- 14% said he's identified him as their major reason he's a Republican.
10% set his positions on the issues and the perhaps most damning for Mitt Romney.
8% jobs -- economy that's supposed to be his wheel house is this the kind of voter enthusiasm the Republicans won't -- into November.
Well no there's no question -- more enthusiasm but we are long way away they have quality of Tom to define their message but I think president Obama's big problem.
Is yes he did get dealt a bad set of cards but he's had three and a half years to address it I'm -- big football fan.
And when my football team loses and we get a new coach the new coach -- one or two years to turn around.
You can't always blame it on the last got some point you have to stand up and take responsibility but.
That being said Obama is going to be very tough opponent for Mitt Romney in this going to be close all right 22 new polls to more pull through one for you each.
Let's go -- a number two Maria and Chris in the control room if we can.
If starting a small business.
Registered voters in America were asked earlier this week who would you pick as your business partner 48%.
Said Mitt Romney.
39% said Barack Obama the president Jarvis was on the view earlier this week saying.
Jobs in the economy -- -- be the number one issue everyone acknowledges that small businesses are the engine of the American economy creating 75% of new jobs -- So when asked who would you pick to start a small business with the -- Mitt Romney got -- by big margin isn't that kind of a damning thing for the president.
I think it's I don't know that I would consider to be damning but I think it's telling that the president who has worked actively to him to demonstrate to small business owners into the American public as a as a whole that he is committed and focused on their agenda.
I think he should do more of it -- me not being critical of the administration many -- I think they should do more event.
-- more of getting out of talking to small businesses demonstrating that they his commitment whether it's tax cuts.
Low interest loans.
A new market development you name it.
I think he's done a great job and then within Washington and do it in in getting that message out I just don't know that it's moving.
Into the salute to the communities into the heartland where it really needs to be our so as a whole lot to be done well.
-- in this one is for -- And again -- -- voters were surveyed earlier this week.
And they were asked which best describes your view.
Of this year's election a choice began between giving President Obama a second term -- -- 40% said so -- choice between President Obama and Mitt Romney.
52% sets up.
What -- I think might be of concern to the Romney camp about those numbers -- Is that they want to frame this is solely as a referendum on the president and only 40% of registered voters see it that way.
52% see is a choice selection which is working -- wanna frame and us.
No question about it I mean that's the two -- you run a campaign is that a referendum on the record.
There's a choice between me and the other guy right and the -- people -- -- make it a referendum long on the on the incumbent and only 40% see it that way well you know one reason I think the numbers are there is we're just getting out the commerce case.
And that was an attack between all the Republicans but now we shift.
The general election I think you know when when those ads come out the -- Obama and his record.
I think we're gonna see that move but you don't want Tom between now and November lots of -- -- gonna come out I think that number's gonna change.
He's one of the things about the economy we have to remember it's about confidence.
And I think when you look at the poll numbers more and more Americans are feeling more confident about the economy doesn't mean -- is it's it's come back a 100%.
But I think they're filling in zip we're on the right path the economy's on the right path.
And so why would you want to pull a guy like Barack Obama the White House and replacing -- Mitt Romney who is still untested -- granite.
He -- -- he may have -- 400 million dollars well that's not a bad deal but that's at the end of the day he is not run anything that remotely looks like the federal government great.
So I think when you're just like they don't Massachusetts well armed with public message boards and -- listen a little while it did four years ago correct but -- again is a different time different place I mean you know and we see what he did in Massachusetts he was a moderate Republican at the time and now.
He wants you forget all about that so -- he needs to decide what.
Which side of the line he's going to play on and I think that's been his problem with like ability.
And message that he's trying to get out as we go forward and -- Brooks and Jarvis do we have to leave it there thank you both for coming they were absolutely here.
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