2012 race tightens in key states
Our Campaign Insiders weigh in
- Duration 9:03
- Date Jun 4, 2012
Our Campaign Insiders weigh in
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President Obama's lead over governor Mitt Romney in the polls is slowly dwindling take a look at this right now the real clear politics average of polls.
Shows that the president is edging out governor Romney by about one and out points -- -- a look at this the contest that really counts the Electoral College in -- numbers perhaps showing eight shifting dynamic.
According to real clear politics -- our Electoral College map showing president along with 237.
Votes to ordinance seventy needed to win the White House but.
That's actually a drop from just a few weeks ago when he was it 253.
Many states used to be blue.
Are now in the yellow column that's a toss up there and play what happened the president's lead.
Bring in our campaign insiders don't show on Fox News contributor former pollster for Bill Clinton packet -- he to a Fox News contributor former pollster for president Jimmy Carter.
-- absolutely aides of former Republican congressman for New York I can tell by your body language -- You really wanna get into this right now pot so what's going on here why the drop.
-- I think where this is all precedes.
The economic numbers we have priority.
Present situation has been in decline for a few weeks we've seen it close up -- were the Republicans are.
And have really rallied behind -- much faster I think than anyone thought they would.
The president has had a very rough time I think -- pieces in June may prove to be -- cools multiple.
But we're now seeing not -- -- the national ship perceived Electoral College.
It is didn't jump all the right now.
Obama's not jumping quite -- -- he was.
And you know Doug at -- right I mean -- does not take into consideration.
What happened on Friday unemployment numbers went up.
And all the other unemployment numbers over the last couple of months.
Were revised down.
Were you and I saw that and pat is right Greg.
And the electoral map is moving dynamically.
We had three polls out this week showing Colorado Nevada and Iowa.
Coming down to dead heats Florida's a dead heat North Carolina slight Romney lead.
Virginia trending downward you take all of those states move them and governor Romney's direction and you have either a tight race or governor Romney lead -- close to it.
Two separate congressman what confuses a lot of people is if the president gets very low approval ratings as he does in most polls.
On handling the economy wise he -- Well he is the president.
Romney has come out of the Republican.
Primary somewhat damaged but that seems to be getting a little bit better.
There's goodwill towards Obama as a human being but believe he's under 50% so furniture comedies.
Going down and the lower forties.
I think we're gonna look back on last Friday.
The day the unemployment numbers as the day this race about made it maybe it's time now -- it's not a good standing on the.
I think this now of this race is now.
Changed dramatically in the last -- justice and numbers the economy came.
We see what's happening in the states the movement is he's still tied but the movement undecided is people moving I think that -- -- health Obama here but we haven't yet.
Passed on to Romney but there in motion and -- -- motion.
And whenever I want you guys hammering Romney saying he's way behind he's -- -- and -- -- -- -- on all of a sudden it's different what not what we've been saying consistently that three of us with you Greg every week is Romney that racist sitting there for him to take.
If he would come out and show what he will do as president he hasn't done again on Wall Street Journal yeah I didn't this body pain would do great you big long on criticism in short on some absolutely.
Right it's what we've been saying -- campaign insiders.
They are absolutely right we know what he's against which is Obama's policies we have no idea specifically what Romney's vision for America is.
What are his kids argument Colorado right -- well it.
He's doing is the president is criticizing Republicans saying you block everything I wanted -- in the opposite -- me get most what he wanted out every -- wanna the first few years when he had total control of the house senate and presidency.
The problem he doesn't talk about no it doesn't mention the other prop -- -- Qaeda is that he keeps wanted to blame bush.
You know probably we keep saying he should be positioned -- the outside of with the New York the Wall Street Journal article you reference and also the another there are several pieces on the ships aircraft -- just -- moderate everybody's saying the same thing he needs Hume.
Go beyond being cautious and spirited because it -- it.
Put it out there -- some more -- it is not a preacher and a I'm telling you this is what makes guys would challengers in the winter you can not play defense -- or hold the ball when you're when you're the -- I want your reaction from -- that David Axelrod and it in the state house up in Massachusetts are here it is here's the clip -- So ride and he's trying to make the case for Obama against Romney.
Right in front of -- He's former state now and it kind of ended up that would.
All it's a disaster it's most hair brained scheme.
Giving us an indication of what's going on inside the Obama campaign which is mayhem they don't know what they're up to really hold -- thing it's not -- I -- a great camp.
Pain for years forty years ago this -- -- the warheads but the wind behind his back he did run a great campaign Greg but the problem he faces now is he has no narrative for his own campaign.
Forward is a week slogan.
You can't just get reelected with negative ads and sending your chief strategist to Boston to attack your opponent.
Is a sign me -- -- -- desperation don't have circuits out there doing it from one thing.
But this was really bizarre.
They it in axle rod double down today.
Well in this morning -- when he was on Meet the Press doubled down it was in even more negative world all on on them on about this conflict of Barneys has been.
On Romney does this -- in this all takes place in the context of Bill Clinton.
Putting it torpedo.
Room the -- -- should be -- try to -- last week a huge blowing.
About -- when he talked about how spectacular.
The Romney's -- -- -- well -- -- -- be fair here because don't wanna play a clip but this is not a -- of Obama this is Romney himself the candidate take a listen.
I've noticed now that we've got to a number of events and you've been with -- as well and they send most of the events I go to our many of the events I go to their.
Large groups of if you'll Obama's supporters there -- made a bad day at some point just say you know -- sauce for the goose is us for the gander.
If they're gonna be -- guess what we're not gonna sit back and and play by a very different -- One of -- plays into.
Obama's hand because Obama is looking -- for a vicious negative campaign.
No argument on either side so we can use his turnout machine to get his vote out.
So run these tit for tat ultimately does -- this is the problem -- the Romney campaign which is that he seemed also believe like the Obama campaign.
That this is all about negatives -- attack attack back.
You know -- has a chance to step up and say humble leader.
Because what it's -- real problem right Lisa since -- -- and real leadership with swing voters especially good.
Look at the Washington Post ABC news people on favorability.
And favorability wanna play two of them heroes put him up on the screen.
-- -- here's the president's he's got a net positive.
Now flip to governor Romney who's got.
In down a net naked.
Here parents that's at a certain point right up and that is why in all the polls of the states that we were talking about a minute -- you look at Nevada Colorado Iowa.
As -- Doug said the voters have left Obama.
He's now around 41%.
They haven't yet gone to Romney there a parking themselves -- in undecided round.
Sitting there waiting to be sold by Mitt Romney now fund that Romney I wanna sit down with the American people and tell them face to face.
Here's why I wanna be your presidency what not dump on Obama.
Saying Gregg is with -- Romney negative that speaker and his positive by staying negative Obama can win I think it's but fallacious assumption that's what -- -- and -- -- Because first of all the president's job approval is is is reversed its negative presence could job.
Judge on the -- his favorable rating is coming down Romney's those those numbers are up substantially from what they -- But Romney has to do what what what -- but John was saying and Doug is saying he's got to go up their take advantage there's still time reshape his image.
This next six days since the critical period for Romney making key -- -- not again so lots more to talk about got to pause to.