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Debunking VP selection myths

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    Who will Romney pick for number two spot?

  • Duration 3:40
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Yeah -- your election headquarters and who -- governor Romney choose as his vice president.

We're hearing -- -- to name some of the folks believed to be on the shortlist include.

Ohio senator Rob Portman.

Ex Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty.

Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan.

Louisiana governor by the -- in doubt.

And Florida senator Marco Rubio but there are a a lot of myths about the selection process myths like it's better to pick a boring.

Running mates today that crystal ball debunks some of those -- -- Saturday as the director.

The center for politics at the University of Virginia and that's when we hear all the time Larry pick someone -- -- some and it's not punishing the boat too much why that -- Well it's a myth that it always applies it may be right for Mitt Romney but there are plenty of vice presidential candidates.

Who weren't at all boring in both parties.

So you have to apply the myths to particular years that -- may apply to Romney but it doesn't apply generally.

Ari have at this met the big swing state selection -- work.

We get everybody in Ohio today so that that name Portman comes out of course being a lawmaker from Ohio so.

What about that strategy pick someone from swing state that's gonna help -- Well Portland would help Romney there's no question about it but if you operate on the theory that Romney does want to pick.

-- -- candidate but somebody who's very well qualified as Portman is.

He could pick senator John Thune from the small state of South Dakota he could pick former governor Tim Pawlenty.

Minnesota's unlikely to go Republican but Pawlenty would add some of the same things that.

Portman in tune -- so there -- a lot of considerations that go into picking a vice presidential candidate.

Not just electoral votes that they they are critical.

As we all know.

Of course if we can't underestimate -- and and we've we've diskette that many a time Larry.

This one no one votes for vice president and care so -- the ballot box think they're gonna vote for the second Dyer are one and that's in line.

Is that -- too.

It is absolutely -- -- there are exceptional years where that doesn't happen but.

People always cite just Lyndon Johnson saying that only -- Johnson made a difference for John F.

Kennedy in 1960.

That's on true even for losing candidate's vice presidential nominee sometimes made a difference for example -- senator Ed Muskie.

Helped Hubert Humphrey closed the gap with Richard Nixon in 1968.

Al Gore did a considerable help considerable aid for Bill Clinton in the border states in 1992.

And Dick Cheney.

Was considered an adult someone who knew.

National security and defense policy.

He eleven -- young governor of Texas in 2000 and restored some voter trust in any young candidates so.

The vice presidential candidates do matter a lot they do affect votes sometimes it's tough to separate -- -- -- fact.

From the the votes that the presidential nominee is receiving anyway but I think they're under sold as important in an election that.

Very important RAI I have about thirty seconds here when do you think we're gonna find out in his this -- -- election to be a little bit different than other elections finding out sooner or later about -- with BP.

The hot rumor is that the Romney folks are going to do this sooner than expected the norm is to do within ten days of the convention.

There's talk they'll do it in late July early August.

-- on solidly opposed to this because it will totally cut off the speculation.

And those of us in the speculation business our business will be right damage that's not good for the economy.

They don't have that hot rumor and say that's not exactly -- runs out page is always thank you very much very nice have you with thank you John.

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