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Our report says there's already talk of a new revolution in Egypt as citizens -- vote for their next president is the first election of its kind.
In the nation's history but turnout and enthusiasm are -- with some going.
Actually to the beach instead of the polls.
May disillusioned with the -- is a former member of the ousted regime.
Or religious extremist here's one voters' opinion.
-- -- -- -- here in in an Islamic country I believe in a -- country I'm almost -- -- give my full blown -- brother a good candidate.
So is voter unhappiness enough to cause new trouble no matter who's elected Aaron David Miller is a former -- is six secretaries of state.
I often can America have another great president and he joins us with some insight thank you for joining us first of all.
Pleasure to January 25 2011 it was a Tuesday.
Nationwide protest against the government and the Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak began.
Tens of thousands of protesters gathered in -- thousands -- cities.
Throughout Egypt by that Saturday and Sunday Greg and I were here on the air covering it Egyptian air force at sixteenth.
Flying over to -- square as a show of force -- -- cried an image so it is Egypt on the brink of another full on revolution.
What we see that happen all over again.
Well he had Aaron I'm not sure the initial set -- -- was a revolution I mean it was more we actually regime change.
And what the last year plus -- shown.
Is that dumb.
The regime change opened up some political space where the best organized parties the -- parties.
The Islamist Muslim Brotherhood and and the military maneuvered.
And continue to maneuver for power and in this situation.
Which in which Egypt is probably less secure now.
And less prosperous than it was -- -- Mubarak and I'm not here to write a brief for Hosni Mubarak.
But the reality is hardly a revolution it's a competition.
And I think many egyptians are tired of it many want stability and security.
And perhaps are willing to surrender or trade off some of the enthusiasm.
Of -- square.
Not for not to return to the bad old days but you returned some measure of hope and prosperity and that's what I think explains.
The lack of voter enthusiasm.
Some what role should the US play if any as we watch these events unfold this time.
Well we were never central actor in this drama we write a check one and -- half billion dollars to the Egyptian military and have.
Seen in it since the at Camp David accords in order to secure the peace.
And to create -- strong and close relationship with Egypt and the debate in Washington will be.
How do use that money whether or not there's already a waiver attached to.
It's it's provision.
But whether or not -- the Egyptian military does not -- evolve.
Power to a civilian government new legislative elections.
Whether or not to use that money to withdraw to hold it.
As a lever and it's going to be a very difficult.
Choice we're gonna trade almost no influence.
For less than that so I think congress is -- have part of part of this.
The Israelis are gonna want -- leading us to continue that military assistance.
The president and the United States over -- over the near term is going to be faced with a very difficult situation these transitions Syria.
Are going to be long movies out there any -- going to be awhile.
Before we get to Syria I'm gonna ask -- that Syria and Iran as well -- with what's going on today.
You know a lot of what you just spoke about is contingent on what happens today -- -- Supreme Court ruled on Thursday to dissolve the newly elected parliament.
That was dominated by the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood and to allow as -- said.
Ousted leader Hosni Mubarak's last prime minister to run and this week's presidential race.
So we have this divisive presidential election taking place without -- parliament or a new constitution in Egypt what do you think -- happening.
And that what will be the results.
We -- gonna have a president.
And that president if the elections are certified to be free and fair and -- perhaps they will.
Is gonna face a situation.
In which you're gonna have the military to contend with and let's be clear.
The military is the dominant power in this country Egypt is still very much a -- -- -- military controlled anywhere from ten to 30% of the economy.
They control all of the national decision making in the country and they're also responsible for security.
So the new president is gonna be sandwiched between a powerful military.
And an Islamist movement.
That feels itself cheated and deprived.
Out of what they consider to be and rightly were fair and free election so.
The maneuvering will continue and the victim here is gonna be most of the Egyptian people.
And hopes for peace and prosperity in this country -- suspect.
Now okay so we're running out of time but quickly and nobody wanted to talk about Syria US involvement there and also Iran coming up tomorrow -- talks continue in Moscow.
About their nuclear ambition.
-- -- there it's again it's a tough one and the options are stark.
A military option or accept the proposition that Iran will continue to have the capacity to enrich uranium.
Because the Iranians have that capacity today.
And no agreement in Moscow frankly is gonna stop that -- -- the situation frankly -- is gonna get worse.
Before it gets worse and the options for an American president to stand and watch massacres.
And these wars on television.
Going to be harder and harder to resist we just -- -- clear.
If we decide to intercede militarily.
We're talking about thousands of peace keepers and billions of dollars -- to put Syria back together -- I'm not sure anybody frankly.
Once that man but in the meantime we're watching -- upwards of 141000 people by some counts killed.
Many women and innocent children thank you so much for your insight we appreciate it today.
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