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And this is a look at the week that may change the trajectory.
Of the 2012 presidential -- with nineteen weeks ago president is going to be dealing with Supreme Court decision on health -- law.
Have a decision today -- Arizona law on immigration.
You've got a showdown looming at the end of the week over a couple of months past items in the house.
And economic worries continue to drive people absolutely -- And this is power play that's quite a -- the president's got that he's looking at as he tries to shift into smoother.
Sailing for the the remainder of this election.
And let's talk about how he may or may not do that it is -- very good fortunate back with us today for an arms.
You reach him at the weekly standard and moreover this used to be his games when this was a Beltway Boys -- studio three.
We're gonna watch -- -- do that so he has he has kindly meant to bring us through the process I hate to tell you we referred to this -- the dungeon the I want you to know Internet I've never use -- term like that we're very happy to be here in studio three anything anything we can take.
And Tony well she's friend viewers.
And he is also the former Press Secretary for the DNC he's -- democratic strategist and communicate work.
Will be joined later by Shannon -- who will tell us what's what.
This decision on Arizona.
-- it but the shorthand is its partial win partial loss the Supreme Court upheld.
What -- -- federal government does said which was -- the ones that have the right to make immigration laws not the states but.
They led Arizona keep the most controversial provision the biggest controversial are the biggest -- inside the legislation which is.
Stop or detain people for other crimes they're obliged to find out their immigration status.
Does this affect the discussion -- -- was barbs.
The the immigration thing doesn't affect the discussions the way the health care a decision will.
Actress Sharon and if if it's upheld that would be a big bump obamacare the president's health -- along well that would.
Upheld by the Supreme Court particularly when I think most of the betting on is at least the mandate -- And they'll -- again.
It every individual purchase health insurance if that's upheld it will be -- -- for the president on the other -- -- -- -- to be unconstitutional that will be.
-- a disastrous loss for him I mean I think this can affect the race at least in the short run here you know 45 points either way.
Police say about the immigrants from first on immigration -- does this affect the race and somewhat.
I think perhaps an Arizona okay.
Okay I think I think folks are paying close attention there right I think it matters in the present and the provision that was upheld -- interest in the grounds that or whatever side which is that the -- ostensibly working to support the federal government.
Well that's why -- allowed to do it so than the so called papers please is -- and he asked for court papers that that type of -- you can ask for things like that.
That's ruled unconstitutional because that was them over over seven.
-- -- somewhere in Arizona.
Gender or try to spin it as a win for her.
As the president's looking to play in Arizona what is don't -- -- -- -- -- No I believe that we understand margin of victory ever bushels but Arizona's it was like an Election Day in 2000 forcing it to -- -- -- -- -- -- -- in California -- -- -- I was in Texas would be -- -- -- the counterparty that -- I'm sorry Derrick do do we know we've seen what can -- we'll talk more about the content of the race later but the other this week is it is big in nineteen weeks away from the election we're now in to do this summer stretch -- -- to do what -- -- now essentially to the conventions.
At the end of August.
And this week as we as we really get into the heart of this aside from what the supreme -- doing.
At the end of the week.
There is necessarily going to have to be some kind of legislation or.
Two things will happen one.
The -- -- Transportation bill which has been bogged down this is what funds.
Ongoing road construction projects this is -- had to have been shut down.
Of I'm going transportation spending.
That occurs nobody wants to -- either -- -- in -- having in the summertime.
The work crews getting laid off the road repairs and road construction problem projects stoppage also by the way the federal gasoline tax which is some forty cents I think.
How much is as many teens about eighteen cents a disappears and then -- that's disappeared -- who.
Good luck trying to get it done -- -- so.
They have the president's gonna have to deal with -- -- on that then there's the president's push four new.
College loans going forward to continue to receive a subsidized.
Three points and three and change rape and we don't -- it would go back to the old rate which was six and change.
How does the battle play out on the hill.
I think they're both gonna pass.
And I think that we'll.
No Republicans don't want to give President Obama further argument.
The Republicans are blocking everything he's trying to do.
There's an interest they angle to the transportation building and how -- they pass these.
-- -- -- -- highway bills in the past you know what was essential to -- Earmarks were essentially -- -- There are people who didn't want to vote for the bill but if he gave them some project some special project in the industry he could easily put together -- a majority of Republicans and Democrats did that but without earmarks.
It makes it much harder to pass.
Yes that the beltway for elm grove West Virginia and all of a sudden instead way to made this this bill has some merits I didn't -- -- -- Now the Republicans.
Tony has passed their own version in the house of the president's call for the extension of that.
Lowered interest rates on student loans but they have a different pay for for it.
What how does that play estimate call poison for them they weren't going to play along.
What and I think if it's pushed back to them that he forces there -- residences will.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Just like my -- in my daughter who's rumored overload this is new.
Exactly -- middle class families in this is this an extension isn't just the student play all the students care very much about it.
In their long term but now they did something that resonates so they will bend.
Now the other thing that's happening this week kids in -- sort of having every week that this week we're seeing an intensification of it.
Is this is the time of the year this quarter of the year is a time when voter attitudes about the economy.
Really firma and that was down today there's a lot of anxiety out there now about but -- -- the recession.
And obviously can be -- -- prophecy because -- the electorate and consumers feel like things are going the wrong way.
Then they did it intensifies that cycle.
Click back a little bit Fred what's the we talk about things that affect this let's embraces its all about the economy.
How much -- get me wrong percentage how much of this election is about the economy and how much is about it.
-- -- if you take one into a world what go to say the first is the economy and the second is jobs jobs is also the right -- that's about 6070%.
-- what people say is the biggest issue.
And I think it's an issue that at the moment anyway.
-- President Obama we've had that very low level of job creation and it.
In all the numbers now.
The to the extent that they predict the economic future that don't look very good even the Federal Reserve you'll remember just a few days ago.
Made it's a projection on unemployment.
The it was a very.
Movie when they took their GDP and in April they hadn't forecasted two point 9% GDP growth rate which is not exciting but is at least moves forward.
Day last week Clinton -- a full point and -- it's going to be one point which is what economists -- a growth recession we're technically -- growing need but you're not -- enough to keep pace with you got to -- got to clear to to get out of -- to really get out of recession.
What what's your percent.
I think what we'll have.
-- you're presented I've had.
I may be closer to 50% in the -- that high because -- -- it doesn't matter different from Gaza City.
It didn't matter do something as solid with interest and and and gets to Mitt Romney's investment in this learned and it's the -- of Latino Americans see whose penis.
-- the number one issue with health care.
Really yes with help it was closely economy but.
Forget the numbers let's say it's off let's say that it really is -- -- it was close enough that it matters the other -- saying it was too.
Well one of them couldn't agree more why he does have to.
Say more than that just because.
Of the -- important it's not just the kind -- he's doing great so far by not saying anything.
It's so I mean so far he's been advantage hugely right read that there there and all this news we've been talking about everything from Eric Holder to Syria to everything else.
And Mitt Romney hasn't been in the dunking Booth when I wouldn't I wouldn't predict.
That he's going to have.
Every week Romney's gonna have as -- -- weeks is he's had the last few weeks it never only campaigns never work that way and he needs to be ready.
What other things to talk about.
And not just the economy and jobs -- in the.
-- so well being asked five times about a policy specific policy issues and -- five times.
Everybody sees that that's not a good that's a good thing for not writing in the -- but that's in the signal when people were number on the other hand.
We have -- slightest idea what president Obama's gonna do in a second term except raise taxes.
And -- and and that was the point there isn't it fascinating exchange I wish I had it where -- fascinating exchange on Bob Schieffer show on CBS.
Between -- firs Strom who is new message -- for.
And -- cutter who is the how do we say polish woman we didn't point woman.
For the Obama campaign and those who are those who are.
Both these days -- hard.
And the question that baffled them bit -- dropped on both of them was how come you people don't talk about anything how come you're having an election about beating each other.
How come you're not talking about anything don't the American people deserve a better discussion and they both look like somebody just ordered -- with the way this -- yeah it's early it's a.
Certainly that's -- best viral Fredricka because earlier we'll get to that stuff later don't worry about it but I and I I think there's -- you guys make a very good point in that.
For Mitt Romney he's playing sort of like -- real national league baseball not a lot of run production -- but his pitching is strong he's he's got -- he's he's holding the other team to a bunch of runs and if the pitching slumps and the other guys start hitting he's going to be in the presidential campaign you cannot get through it playing small ball right which is what this is.
Not that there's anything -- especially baseball.
And and -- stayed -- mature mature approach is to say nothing because it will be used against you well that doesn't work here this is -- what are you afraid of you bashing your opponent with everything that you've got me going back to when he was a kid for that matter.
Tell us what you wanted to do again you gotta get back behind defended its been heard of people -- -- in debates the thing that I -- I -- -- Romney's issue here is that if you if you've been supportive of everything one of the reasons he won't be -- health care law.
Because he wrote -- you beat the op Ed saying oh by the way you need an individual mandate yeah that's that's.
Problem problem for him telling us that's why you like him because he.
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