Predictions on health care ruling
All-Star panel weighs in
- Duration 5:40
- Date Jun 27, 2012
All-Star panel weighs in
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We've made it pretty clear I'll make it clear -- worked -- -- -- the court does not strike down an entire wall.
-- the house will move to repeal what's left we should all it takes some time tonight did.
-- -- little to make sure that.
The Supreme Court does come -- -- another 54 decision weeks.
What's again but masks.
Its political tendencies more than it's.
Desire to have both of us.
Washington and arguably the entire nation on pins and needles waiting for 10 AM eastern time tomorrow morning when the Supreme Court will announce the decision.
On the case against the president's health care law some people.
Hate that when we focus on polls but we're going to do it again this is the new Fox News poll out about health -- favor oppose they receive 49%.
Oppose the same number earlier in June.
The next question the president's handling of the issue of health care.
Disapprove 51% not much change there -- from April 2010.
And then how should the Supreme Court rule on the new health care law.
And this is where gets sticky overturn the whole lost 38% this down a bit.
Uphold -- constitutional 30% keep most of it but he invalidate the mandate 21%.
There are a number of things the Supreme Court could do we're back with the panel.
-- where you -- Its head and into tomorrow well.
If you -- -- guess my guess would be that they might invalidate the the mandate and leave the rest intact because it would be like they're thinking.
That the conservatives thinking to say this is unconstitutional.
Removing the mandate would -- a mess but it's a message congress created in the first place and it's up to congress and not the Supreme Court.
To fix it so I think that's that's kind of almost a middle way for them.
Wasn't there -- -- ability issue though with the actual bill you know the experts I talked to say yes that the congress did not include December ability clause.
But the experts have talked to basically said the Supreme Court is going to do what it wants to do no matter what and -- say yes and there will not do something simply because congress for whatever reason didn't put that clause.
I think that anything that's overturned is -- for the president.
Although the one case that I can imagine -- if the mandate was overturned but the two issues that are supposedly connected to it which is community rating and guaranteed issue that's the -- ban on pre existing conditions and not being able to charge women more than men.
If those are not removed also then you really give congress a huge headache because they have a choice they can stick it to the insurance industry and do nothing.
Or they can vote to overturn two very very popular provisions.
-- -- I think it's as you said not a great day for the -- if any part of -- -- -- -- because.
As we were saying not.
People don't often respond to -- process issues that on the constitutional issue between sixty and sometimes 70% of -- American people believe that it is unconstitutional so in that way.
Are great for -- I do think.
That there's a chance that they had knocked on the mandate and possibly guaranteed issue and community ratings along with -- solicitor general gave them a pretty clear line of where to cut off what they would take out.
I think there's an outside possibly they could take the whole thing Al they've done broader things in the past like for Citizens United and I Kennedy -- on -- so.
It's -- out there.
There's all of the speculation and really that's what it's -- -- -- -- -- as we wait for this big ruling about.
Reading the court decision on immigration and somehow that translates to health -- it seems like it's apples and oranges to me.
But people were reading into it take a listen again to Justice Kennedy in the oral arguments.
And this particular sentence really caught people's here.
Here the government is saying.
That the federal government has a duty to tell that individual citizen that is.
Must act and that is different.
From what we have in previous statements.
Well it changes the relationship of the federal government to the individual.
In a very fundamental way.
Now people who watch this and listen to it said.
Boy it's tough to imagine that this court doesn't shoot down at least the mandate but people watch the immigration.
Oral arguments and listen to those thought it was going that the other way too important -- also.
Made the point that was that maybe mandates are OK depending on the goal at hand whether the big national goals -- there may be some -- that he could do on that issue after that.
Yeah I think it's almost impossible to figure out especially from immigration what you might want to do some people have suggested that scalia's dissent was so cranky.
And the miserable maybe -- lost on health care and was just thinking about who knows a 'cause summing -- that's also an oval exactly what for the political ramifications of this.
I haven't talked to a single pollster who can predict.
Who who was gonna benefit from -- except for the most simplest broad brush Obama loses.
Well beyond that who signed as an energized more what's entering in this poll is that -- big blue fox did ask.
If this whole thing we're not down what would you like to see would you like this -- smaller piecemeal reforms or another big one.
And that one of them most decisive.
There's any question was they wanna -- -- they're not -- an uneven uneven and listen to present an idea listen the President Obama he's given form.
Campaigns -- in the last two days and all he talks about our.
Pre existing conditions leaving kids on their parents' insurance to 46 and subsidizing prescription drugs he talks about obamacare.
As if it really was the smaller package of reforms instead of the law that actually pass threat for well we shall see less than sixteen hours from now that's -- for the.