Obama support collapses among blue collar voters
Chris Stirewalt and his guest discuss President Obama's
- Duration 8:05
- Date Jul 12, 2012
Chris Stirewalt and his guest discuss President Obama's
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-- is the key -- We're and our home.
Lord and any -- in the country.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- And this is power play and -- -- all.
He's here -- this Thursday.
-- states is this.
Tour President Obama he has -- serious problem that he's.
Getting more serious by the second.
With the white.
Working class voters and guess who lives in those Rust Belt states that's right a lot of white working class voters and as you see Mitt Romney continue to perform well in polls in states that are generally not Republican friendly -- Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin.
You start to get the idea.
That this divide could put the president in a little bit of trouble.
We are going to sort that out today.
And fortunately thank goodness -- in free -- Whose chief congressional correspondent for the Washington examiner also my friend and former colleague at Washington -- with us today Susan welcome back great to be here.
OK so you've been out on the road with Willard M Romney has and I for a few days.
Watching him go around out there.
What is your sense of the race at this moment just give it -- out to 30000 feet before we come in and start talking about white working class folks.
To -- it's the economy.
-- the economy.
When I was -- that was only one -- and and -- So we got there -- doesn't and heat and -- goes right after an economic issues that are really important people -- targets areas where unemployment is high where people what really matters.
About -- people are working at all or they're clinging to their jobs and he's talking about how he can right the economy this is a winning message for Mitt Romney.
And now Obama needs to answer back -- needs to get out there and talk about how he's going to fix the economy.
Instead while Romney is saying he's doing which is just coming on attacking him in trying to knock him down.
That to me is -- sign.
And Obama knows the economy is not going well enough for him to campaign on it right he's got to go after Romney trying not about a few pegs meanwhile -- is going out there saying.
I'm going sixty economy he took that message all the way to the N double -- was not well received there.
But he days -- again.
-- -- telling this is a medicine we need to help get the economy going again this is -- the campaign has spent about it's going to be with the campaign will be about unless we see a big change any time.
We're gonna talk -- your body speaking at the NAACP today he didn't even right now he's he's kind of upset -- Mitt Romney he's expressing some misgivings perhaps about governor honey to this crowd.
But we talk a lot in politics now with you know -- love to slice and -- the demographics and we love to do to slap -- world where you're pulling out the cross tabs -- -- well.
You know women between 35 -- fifty who have -- childhood are divorced their -- so we do all that.
But what often gets overlooked is we talk about Hispanic voters African American voters is.
You -- for and let's take a look at.
Poll from Quinnipiac University which is Obama vs Romney among white voters.
Male voters without collar white voters across the board without college degrees that's 33.
The president trails Mitt Romney.
And yes it is -- -- run he's only doing about a 30% among Hispanic voters but this is dire when you talk about whites without college degrees that's that the president can't win like that right.
It's so predictable too because he's of people are out of work in the places -- Please answer is yes these are the areas where that I unemployment rate is really high and these are the folks that are really struggling.
Right now and so why would they want to reelect somebody who has not led them into economic prosperity he is in real trouble in fact.
Some people believe his recent announcement taxes is sort of a sign -- saying.
I'm just gonna go after my base I'm not gonna go after some of the people that I think.
Are more independent voters because why should I when you know I need to really go after my base at this point and you look he's going to get 96%.
Or at least of the black -- sure he can go after some of -- lower income people.
In urban areas and just try to get to turn -- high there but.
It's not a winning strategy in these key areas busy trying to make up for and some other places you know he didn't even the score up.
But when you look at these states in Everett about this before and you look at the states that are basically in the Rust Belt between them more than a hundred electoral votes that are in play.
As present let's talk about Colorado and Nevada and all of that stuff but this is like.
The whole election is in these states that have do the heavy preponderance of these Ron Brownstein who writes for National Journal had a very Smart piece today very Smart.
He's today -- as much as I do not want to ever -- anything but Fox News or of course.
-- -- -- -- I recommend it really highlight.
And what Brownstein talked about was Obama doing worse with this block of voters with white male role.
Voters without college diplomas than any Democrat.
Going back to Fritz Mondale then going back to 1984 Obama's polling in the Washington Post on the quinnipiac poll 28.
With these voters that's a that's a -- that is it that is an incredible blow out so the question is.
Can't -- continue to make this argument as we've -- you heard him make it Colorado.
Extremely liberal when the words extremely liberal slipped to Romney's -- I thought there is the new strategy.
Well he's playing I argument that you need to decide where the country should go going forward more government programs more regulations more taxes -- to kill jobs that you could be happening right now -- -- my plan which is let's turn things around fewer regulations lift up some taxes which everyone loves to hear.
Fewer taxes who does a -- When you're hurting right now -- knew we knew how many money coming innocent insisting any tax less.
They're going to be a more appealing candidate and he has a winning argument and he can take that message all the way it was Rust Belt states.
And he can't cruised to victory on and this is looking reminiscent of the Carter Reagan race and in many ways and people are comparing it to if you look at the poll numbers now off the -- -- close at this point.
-- very similar.
Now could be -- could be -- George W.
Bush to -- Well I don't think.
Larry was doing as well as Romney's doing in Florida this time.
They were -- I mean if they're they're close enough that for comparison the difference of course is this and I think this is very significant.
President Bush had fairly low job approval but he could not have the control into when you look inside the numbers that deep dissatisfaction with the direction of the it was an ST yeah it wasn't as sharp.
The economic disaster we have right now I think you cannot makes -- so that you can't compared to carry bush.
It's totally different now we're looking I have to look more Carter Reagan because what was happening back then in the current economy was really suffering and that so that's why I think it's a better comparison right now I don't -- guarantees any kind of victory for army -- -- clearly.
But I think you have to really compared to those that dynamic back in the late seventies and in the way things are now and I think.
It's -- -- close at Larry seven I was saying we could be looking at another 2000 election outcome which of course is nightmarish.
That it would be that close.
I I eight in this sense and we've talked about this here many times the sense that I have increasingly is that.
-- -- -- are an aero but clear Obama victory where you win Ohio where he wins Ohio and gets it over the -- by -- 100000 votes for.
Is pretty substantial Romney win -- the tide comes in for Romney and goes up and he sweeps through the Rust Belt just like Republicans did in the 2010 house elections.
He he could be poised for a pretty -- -- -- is true I contend that if that is the case the latter's case it will be it will only be.
If the economy is still really struggling into the fall.