Tight races in battle for US Senate control
Which states are up for grabs?
- Duration 3:39
- Date Jul 26, 2012
Which states are up for grabs?
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There's 103 days until we all go to the polls the balance of power on not Capitol Hill.
Is in large part focused on the senate after the election right now Democrats rule -- roost with 51 seats along with two independents on their side.
33 seats though are up for grabs most of them now held by Democrats and the seats in six states.
Are thought to be very much a toss up.
Of those six Massachusetts and Virginia as well as Wisconsin.
Could hold the key.
Larry 70 is director of the center for politics at the University of Virginia Larry it was interesting to -- before we talk about those three states.
You say that Nevada.
Michigan -- I'm sorry I'm Montana and Missouri.
Nevada Montana and Missouri all our.
Ever so slightly leaning Republican right now.
Yes -- -- course you have one Republican incumbent -- Dean Heller in Nevada but he was an appointed incumbent.
But now we think that race is tilting to him a bit.
Did the Democrats control both Montana and Missouri with incumbents John tester in Montana Claire McCaskill in Missouri.
In particularly in the case of Missouri will be very surprised if it Claire McCaskill reelected that's a tough state for Democrat.
And Montana you know my guess is that Mitt Romney will -- you have Montana.
By ten or twelve percentage points well it's tough to get reelected on a ballot.
Where the opposite party's nominee for president is doing so well.
It's also tough to get elected in Massachusetts if you're a Republican president.
You're darn right and that is Scott Brown's great challenge if this were a mid term election John I think he'd be in pretty good shape.
But it's not and even the Romney people privately say.
That former governor Romney of Massachusetts will be -- the top 40% in Massachusetts.
That means is Scott Brown has to win hundreds of thousands of voters.
Who are casting a ballot for Barack Obama they have to cross the aisle and vote for him for -- is it possible sure is it tough you'd better believe it.
But you still have that race is a toss up.
We still think it's a tossup because brown is a very good candidate them okay let's talk about Virginia you've got a former governor of running there.
Who's looking at Virginia knows that it's a real tossup we -- sometimes we call things that really -- toss -- -- This is a toss up.
Two former governors who are very evenly matched Tim -- for the Democrats George Allen for the Republicans.
-- -- at 5050 in virtually every survey.
This should be determined by the results of the presidential contest if Obama wins Virginia -- will win.
If Romney wins Virginia.
Alamo win so it's like the party that carries the presidency in Virginia will get a bonus senate seat and finally in Wisconsin you've got -- -- another ex governor there potentially running.
Yes if Tommy Thompson the former governor Republican governor of Wisconsin gets the Republican nomination.
We think -- be favored over Democrat.
Tammy Baldwin and that's even if Barack Obama manages to carry Wisconsin again.
If it isn't Tommy Thompson it'll probably be businessman Eric -- Then if Obama wins Wisconsin it's possible that the democratic candidate for senate will be carried in office.
But it's too early to say one way or the other lots of interesting developments yet to -- that's why you watch politics so closely Larry 70 from the University of Virginia.