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November surprise in October?

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    How will early voting impact presidential election?

  • Duration 2:44
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It is away from the November election but according to some campaign analysts we.

-- wait until then to find out who the next president of the United States is.

We could find out as early as October so what the world was going on here joining us now from BC -- more on how early voting.

We'll play into the election is -- sold this pollster and political strategist he's also the vice president of the Winston group Kristen nice to see this morning.

Glad to be Clayton also happening so is diving to somebody states these are some key battleground states with early voting dates beginning as early as September.

September for voting -- and -- you see some of these battleground states Florida Ohio.

You assess and yet North Carolina and Nevada all in in the early fall so we may know this thing -- before.

People line up and go in November.

Well you may not know that the campaigns may have a pretty good idea of how they're doing in some of these key states.

On one -- the -- it's a bit ironic about the selection is these campaigns are gonna have so much money to spend.

Persuading voters to vote for them and turning them out and if they're also able to be incredibly efficient about figuring out exactly where the voters are that they need to get.

And exactly how to get them to the.

What are standing in line early is -- all exit holding and they have access to that data.

And there are incredibly sophisticated data systems on both sides of the aisle both Romney and Obama campaigns.

Have huge huge huge amounts of data about voters and they're able -- use it not just to figure out who's likely to vote for them.

But -- ask you early vote there is some of that becomes record in some seats and you can see who's already cast a ballot.

So we know in September as one of the states -- September voting.

That they may then Marshal the resources and a different way if you suddenly see them pull up stakes and move out of Pennsylvania you can pretty much say when -- -- the Obama campaign knows something about Pennsylvania the rest of us don't know.

Yeah -- that may be one way to sort of determine how states think they're doing.

But look what's important to keep in mind is that with this early voting who you're gonna mostly feet -- are.

Our base voters on the if you're Republican or Democrat if you're a liberal or conservative.

You've probably decided by September who you're gonna vote for over two thirds -- of folks who are partisans.

Already know we are gonna vote for its independence to wait until the last minute -- to really make up their mind.

So even though you'll you'll have a lot of early votes cast -- -- primarily be from folks who've already decided if there Romney or Obama voter they still have to wait until that very last Election Day to persuade those independent.

It's fascinating approximately 30% of all votes in 2008 were cast before Election Day and it's expected to be the same this time around Chris insult us.

Do GOP pollster thanks so much for joining us this morning really fast and it happened.

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