New polls show low Obama approval in 37 states
What does this mean for re-election?
- Duration 3:53
- Date Aug 2, 2012
What does this mean for re-election?
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Fox News is America's election headquarters less than 100 days to go now until Election Day.
A new poll finds President Obama has his work cut out for the Gallup poll finds mr.
Obama's job approval rating.
But low 50%.
In 37 of the fifty states.
That's significant because post World War II incumbent president's above the 50% mark on Election Day were easily reelected those below that mark.
Have more uncertain prospects.
Let's talk about -- would Jonah Goldberg the editor at large for the national review he is also a Fox News contributor.
37 states mr.
Obama is under the 50% mark what does that say -- you Joan.
Without it it's it's bad.
News for Obama but it's not it's it's not up -- of doom either.
Historically under the general rule of thumb is that.
-- come Election Day if you're below 50% that the undecideds are going to.
Tend to break for the challenger as people know Barack Obama is they've gotten to -- -- he's not an he's not.
Unknown quantity any more and what -- what basically voters are waiting for it to be persuaded to vote against him.
And so the longer he goes under 50% more likely it is that those people can't be persuaded to vote for him and that they'll go to Romney it also says.
That Obama has probably though not definitely probably wasted.
Over a hundred million dollars on ads trying to demonize Mitt Romney that don't seem to have moved the polls very much.
And get considering his burn rate.
Liberated his campaign how much money that this spending that should be pretty worrisome -- as well.
Well three of the states where he is under water include Florida Pennsylvania and Ohio he is a loaf.
He's in the mid forties in those states forty.
Four to 46%.
Those are critical states in the Electoral College.
Yeah although you know to be fair there are other polls -- New York Times just came out with a -- with quinnipiac and I think CBS.
Having Obama above 50% and a lot of -- swing states.
I think that poll was deeply flawed he claimed to be polling likely voters but it's green had way too many Democrats -- it and a better -- forum.
In 2012 and -- what I had in 2008 of these same thing that the flawed poll but the same time.
You know in the -- and some of these swing states like Ohio Mitt Romney still has a lot of his work cut out for him.
And it may be that some of these negative ads that Obama has blown a lot of money on.
Aren't moving the national poll numbers but they are moving.
Some of these numbers in the state by state but still at the end of the day what would Obama is desperate to do is to have this be a choice between.
Obama and -- and they demonize Mitt Romney if it's a referendum on Obama.
Obama -- in a lot of trouble particularly given how the economy seems to be stalling out again but you say that voters tend to break you know -- -- They know old the president they know the job he's done late decider is tend to break for the opponent is.
That's right the latest -- and most elections late this understand the -- opponent by a wide margin.
Most voters see these elections as referendum on the incumbent how is the president doing his job.
And that's how Mitt Romney wants to make this race that's why he doesn't try to take a lot of the debate about always distractions.
He wants to have this be a referendum on the economy a referendum on -- Obama's job performance vis a vis.
His promises in 2008 where he was gonna make the -- turn around and recycle unicorn -- for renewable energy and all that kind of thing.
And I think you -- keep the focus on whether Obama has done what he promised he's gonna do and whether -- been good for the economy.
Then I think Romney wins by default and I think that's basically their strategy right Jonah Goldberg from the national review.
That's a new phrase to me -- look at the I think there because that thank you thank you for waking up my Thursday.