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Inside look at closest swing states for 2012

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    Candidates targeting key battlegrounds

  • Duration 2:44
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Presidential candidates are spending most of their time and money on those swing states we are talking about.

Let's take a look at some the closest tossup states and which way they're leaning.

Larry 70 is looking into his crystal ball for -- he of course is director of the center for politics at the University of Virginia.

No surprise that President Obama and governor Romney are in those three states today Colorado Florida and Virginia.

Let's take a look first at Florida you say Mitt Romney cannot win this election unless he wins Florida why is that.

If you look at the Electoral College.

G additions and contractions John I just don't see any way for him to get over to seventy and I don't think his camp sees any way for him to get over to seventy.

Without winning a Florida.

You know John despite the current polls.

My gut feeling is that in the end Romney will win Florida it may not be worth much.

Although as I as I get older my gut is expanding there's more substance -- to my gut feelings.

But I do think Romney in the end will probably have the engine for.

All right Florida out of Florida you say.

Likely Romney in North Carolina is a state that President Obama won the last time right.

Yes and Democrats just insist that they can do it again.

At the crystal ball we we just don't see -- we have that leading Romney.

We do admit it's it's very close but we think in the end Romney will probably win North Carolina after all.

President Obama only won it by 141000 votes it was his closest win.

Nationally and there's just no question.

He's not going to do as well in the popular vote or Electoral College vote.

This time is in 2008 despite the fact that the Democratic National Convention is to be held there well we'll see if that changes anything.

You -- changed a few states Indiana and Missouri you said were leaning Republican now you say they are likely Republican what does that do for Mitt Romney.

Well it's a boost for him clearly you know they -- two X two of the 39 states that we pretty much put to bed.

That's that's kind of sad and away is meant that in the mid summer.

We can say a pretty definitively.

-- 39 of the fifty states are going one way or the other so I think Missouri and Missouri course went to McCain narrowly.

Indiana was the biggest surprise of election night in going to Obama I think it's completely over and Indiana it's completely over in Missouri.

Both of those are in the Romney camp.

And one that to you now have likely democratic New Mexico going for the president Larry -- we have -- -- -- -- it's going to be fun to watch this election -- the over the next hundred days or so.

Thanks -- thank you John look for.

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