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Where do voters in swing states stand?

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    A look at findings of new poll

  • Duration 4:19
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But we also have some new polls just out that shed some light on the state of the race for the White House.

According to Gallup a majority of voters in the important swing states 56%.

Say they are not better off now than they were in 2008 that's up slightly from a year ago.

Gallup focused on these twelve battleground states the -- you see -- yellow there on your screen.

So let's talk about it with Stephen Hayes a senior writer for the weekly standard and a Fox News contributor that is always a key question come election time are you better off than you were four years ago.

And -- -- 56% of the people in those critical swing states saying they're not that doesn't bode well for the Obama administration does.

It sure -- and I mean it's theoretically that is.

There's a strong tide against the -- and it tracks pretty closely with this right track wrong track questions.

That most pollsters believe is the best single indicator of the likely outcome of elections so present Obama.

Is struggling at least on that one on that one finding.

Well President Obama when he talks about the condition of the economy he he always talks about the very deep hole.

That the nation was in when he assumed office again Gallup asked voters if you know who do you blame.

For the condition of the economy 20%.

Said its president Obama's -- 15% said George Bush.

14% actually said it's it's a little bit of both of them so.

Our unity I guess you could say according to this poll he owns this economy in the eyes of most voters.

Yeah you know and I and that's a number -- we've seen steadily.

Move towards President Obama as people come after three and a half years to blame him more -- the economy.

And they did initially when they blamed George W.

Bush we now and I think that's fair -- even Paul Ryan when he speaks on the stop and Mitt Romney will say.

It's clear that President Obama inherited a bomb economy this was not a good economy that the guy.

Was he -- but of course if you look back at the arguments that President Obama was making in the final six weeks of the 2008 campaign.

He laid out specific.

Plans and policies to remedy.

What was wrong with the economy and I think you know what we're seeing in these polls is that most voters believe that that's not actually work.

Well and then there's this question the Gallup also last about how old President Obama has performed regarding his handling of the economy and essentially asked.

Has President Obama.

Would -- -- as it has he done as well as expected as you expected.

52% yeah I'd -- he's done about as well as they expected.

46%.

Say no.

What do you make of that quest.

Yeah that's it's it's it's it it's a weird question I mean I think it's a weird question it because.

It of course the unknowable there -- what did people what -- people's expectations before I mean you could ask somebody who's very skeptical of the job the President Obama has done.

Did he do as well as as you expected him to do and they would say well yeah I think he did as well as I expected him to do because I didn't expect him to do well I didn't agree with the policies that he had laid out.

So I'm not sure we can draw as much from that question as we can't from the first few that we talked about.

But again you've got a lot of people in very important swing states saying that they are not better off.

And there were four years ago and you know those are the people who are going to be making the decision really you know those swing states are going to be deciding.

Who the next president is going to be.

It's an absolute tie there in this USA today Gallup poll 44%.

For President Obama 44% of governor Romney who would you feel better off with in four years.

Right and that's I mean that's the thing I think that you've seen especially over the past about week with.

Mitt Romney having chosen Paul Ryan as his running mate trying to lay out the case that this is.

Something Republicans will do we are going to take you on a different path as Republicans.

Then then President Obama -- I think that's what you're hearing Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan trying to say.

And it's something that they hadn't done nearly as much.

Over the the first several months of the general election campaign something that I think that will -- quite a bit more about.

At the Republican Convention in Tampa next week all right Stephen Hayes from the weekly standard's Stephen thank you.

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