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Breaking down the numbers in tight WH race

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    Where do candidates stand in polls?

  • Duration 4:25
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Well all of this comes as a new Associated Press GFK polls shows President Obama and Vice President Biden.

Edging governor Romney and congressman Ryan 47 to 46%.

In -- head to head match up.

But of course it's inside the margin of error and according to a new NBC news Wall Street Journal poll.

Mr.

Obama leads mr.

Romney 4844%.

A margin of error of 3%.

Taking a look at the real clear politics polling average President Obama leads governor Romney by just under three points.

Joining us now to make sense of all this political reporter for real clear politics -- -- pike.

-- so essentially they are tied in these polls have you seen much movement -- Now Mitt Romney is gaining a little bit on President Obama but yes as you mentioned the race is tight it will probably beat tight.

All the way until Election Day but the popular vote which is what these national polls preview.

Doesn't much matter in the outcome is you mentioning need 270 electoral votes to win and so the state polls.

-- what is more important and we're see some movement and in favor of Mitt Romney in the upper midwest Republican National Committee sent out a couple of memos yesterday saying -- new polls in Michigan and Wisconsin that show that it's tightening up President Obama is losing some ground up there.

And that's very important because states like Michigan and Wisconsin are states that President Obama have to win.

To maintain control of the White House.

Well -- in a couple of those -- -- one of the questions asked was does President Obama deserved to be reelected only 43%.

Said yes that's pretty tepid support.

For a guy running for reelection.

There's no question about that obviously he wants that number to be 50% plus one -- 51%.

To show that he can beat Mitt Romney.

Yeah president Obama's numbers haven't been great and -- now we're seeing that Mitt Romney introducing his running -- -- Paul Ryan's so.

The next couple of weeks with the conventions -- It's really important to see how the Romney campaign -- introduce Mitt Romney -- Paul Ryan.

In camp -- and then if they can keep president Obama's bounce after the the following week at the president's convention.

Kind of -- it was it's going to be a tight race going into the debates which start October 3.

I imagine -- be a fairly leveled playing field going into October.

When you look at those polls there is some good news for each candidate first of all when asked which candidate has the better ideas on the economy and how to fix it.

Mitt Romney wins out in that 138%.

To I'm sorry 38% for President Obama 44%.

For governor Romney in that NBC news Wall Street Journal poll most most experts say -- of the economy is gonna be issue number one.

If that's the case.

It sure looks good for governor Romney in this particular question.

It -- and don't forget that's been the crux of his message all along that he is the one who can.

Come in and and fix the economy but in the past couple of weeks we've seen.

A focus on Medicare and entitlement reform as opposed to the economy so.

Mitt -- gonna wanna get back to that message that he's the -- you can fix the economy so that he didn't try to maintain.

That specific polling lead on that.

-- but then on a separate question the president comes out it had the question being who is more in touch with.

Average Americans and their needs you see the numbers there President Obama wins with 54%.

Positive rating -- to 44%.

For governor Romney.

Although it what what is that -- I mean when when the undecided go into the voting Booth are they gonna be.

Are they going to be swayed by the first polling question the economy or the second polling question who's more in touch.

That is a great question -- and obviously both campaigns had a different take on that right I mean.

President Obama has been trying to show that -- -- out of touch because he wants voters to like him more when they go into the voting Booth.

Where's the Romney campaign.

Is making the calculation that voters simply care about their pocketbooks and they don't care as much about what they think of these of these people as characters as people so.

The campaigns are are.

Going in different directions on -- we'll have to see what happens in November well in -- And interesting if as you say the Romney campaign sees the upper midwest as a possibility they are going to be spending money there are forcing the Democrats and the president to spend money there and right now the money advantages with Mitt Romney.

Apparently a fight from real clear politics -- -- honor thank you thank you.

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