Diplomacy destined to fail between Israel, Iran?
Author Aaron David Miller explains
- Duration 3:27
- Date Aug 27, 2012
Author Aaron David Miller explains
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A disturbing new report on Iran's nuclear program that they are accelerating your -- uranium enrichment efforts right now.
But even amid these reports the administration believes there is quote time and space to achieve a diplomatic solution.
Aaron David Miller is a former advisor to six secretaries of state and author of can America have another great president.
Thank you so much for being -- this diplomacy.
Is you know requires at least two rational participants.
Given Iran is stated desire to murder millions by quote wiping Israel off the map they say that all the time.
The ruling mullahs would appear to be anything but rational is diplomacy therefore destined to fail.
Well -- you'll succeed if you have a basis to reach a deal and here.
There is no basis to reach a deal the fact is the Iranians want the capacity develop a weapon.
They wanted to hedge against regime change they want it to cover whatever.
Regional expansionist designs they have.
And if the -- to go down as they certainly will.
The Iranian efforts will only accelerate because they're gonna feel.
Even more -- diplomacy is not going to caught it certainly not in the next several months.
And neither will -- so you really left with a very unhappy.
Default position which is what you're hearing about.
Forget diplomacy you know what an -- -- -- you fight follow your line of argument here then there would be three options.
An Israeli tactical strike an American strike.
Or a nuclear armed Iran which is it going to be.
I think it's bomb or ultimately except the -- There's only one country that is going to or can't stop Iran from acquiring the capacity to produce a weapon.
Or the weapon itself and that is Iran.
Should it conclude that the cost of acquisition of such weapon or 200.
It's just that the four countries outside of the five permanent members Security Council that have nuclear weapons.
The Indians -- pakistanis north Koreans in the Israelis.
All wanted nuclear weapons.
And -- frankly all have them so you're left with.
A very unhappy situation.
Because whether the Israeli strike unlikely in my judgment by the end of the year.
Or whether the American strike also unlikely by the end of the year.
At a mirror and you're just going to retire or delay the program and therein lies the real problem it's -- -- four are our.
-- for those who want to prevent the Iranians from acquiring the capacity or the weapon itself.
We're short on time so I got -- quick question here.
But are you convinced that President Obama believes that deterrence and containment as as we knew -- with the Soviets will work.
Will work with -- -- and -- so that's his direction.
Now I think they've got to look two things the guys too Smart to -- draw a conclusion.
That contained is going to work the question is whether or not he's prepared under those circumstances -- -- own rhetoric I will not allow Iran that would prevent Iran from acquiring.
A weapon the question is whether or not he's prepared to use military force.
And the answer that question right now it seems to me is up.
Is no the -- vs the return ratio on this.
Is not a terribly productive ones -- we're gonna have to live with a lot more and certainly great I suspect at least until the end of the year.
Aaron David Miller which we had more time lots of breaking news this hour.
Thank you for being with us always a pleasure Greg thanks for being -- well coming up new mandatory.