Twitter Town Hall: Joe Trippi
Democratic strategist joins Bret to answer viewer questions
- Duration 25:43
- Date Sep 4, 2012
Democratic strategist joins Bret to answer viewer questions
Also in this playlist...
This transcript is automatically generated
Welcome to this Twitter town -- here at the Democratic National Convention thanks for joining us.
-- try this again we have received hundreds and hundreds of tweets already were going through them.
We'll answer as many as you can in this time joining me now here alongside democratic strategist Joseph Trippi thanks for doing this.
Got around pretty -- So.
Joseph Trippi is his handle that -- there is my handle.
And tweet away with some questions and we'll try to get to as many as we can.
We just -- by the way behind us from -- Charlotte mayor Anthony -- and now you see behind this the senate majority leader Harry Reid getting ready to speak.
So with that let's start Jerry Larson says.
Joseph which states if -- all is Mitt Romney more likely to carry Michigan who.
For me without a doubt it was -- I still think this is going to be along tough.
-- almost a trap for -- -- up a lot of money to -- into -- probably come up short and with Paul Ryan on.
On the ticket now you could seed Wisconsin has gone -- toss up and I think it really is a real -- been particularly when.
You saw what happened.
The recall up there and Republicans were able to.
Beat the Democrats on turnout and energy.
Despite all -- it and everything but the kitchen sink thrown in on both sides I think that's the place is more likely.
But Republicans are visiting.
Michigan they certainly think that they have a chance there they're spending money there something historically Michigan and Pennsylvania have kind of been more.
Fool's gold sometimes for Republicans.
That they think they have a chance I think they face could be again although some of the problem for Romney.
That could be the economy and every everybody on both sides really looking at Ohio and looking -- in work and watching it closely and I think there are a lot of people who wonder whether Romney.
Past -- go to miss.
Six to try to create open up another front in case -- doesn't improve room so.
But I think both of those states are in play I think the one that's most into -- -- Wisconsin Michigan in the indict dad if I had -- There's a strategists look at it didn't make the -- today that it goes with a because.
On the Ohio points.
You're hearing from the Obama folks is increasing confidence.
About Ohio that there are internals are shown on some stuff some big numbers there I mean outside the margin of -- they believe there -- there and not not just that they were outside the -- here but that it's actually growing even after the Republican Convention so -- if that's true and I'm night.
It on some of the suspend you never really know.
Some of good friends of mine up like to believe they worst enemy hit it down if you never know now lets you never know but it they seem to be -- very confident about Ohio and again their confidence in the -- -- Romney and Paul Ryan going to Michigan makes you wonder.
They know they've got to crash shot at Wisconsin if they could open up mission into that would give them some buffer in case Ohio does it worked out.
That rookie Tweeter any truth to the rumor that Joseph Trippi and Karl Rove.
A reprise in the roles of Felix and Oscar in the couple.
-- -- -- we definitely were definitely the if it would definitely be Yoshko blizzard and yet still no doubt about that Segway -- a -- -- the you know we're we had some fun yesterday on the sideways.
When what was today the trombone in the area -- in a marching band today.
Who knew that the two -- -- would be getting along so famously well you know it could mean it's actually something I'd like I'd personally like to see more.
Carl I don't agree on a -- Ideologically here in on a lot of policy stuff but.
You know I've been I've tried -- field -- many times that pride that try to creative people who disagree without being disagreeable and it turns out.
-- the same way and I think did.
I think that matters -- -- -- -- so we can have a real honest discussion about.
Which states -- -- -- and and look at the Iowa returns as they were coming in in the -- argue about the numbers but.
It's pretty good thing but -- definitely beyond the green you are -- both conventions and one of -- didn't -- that the other what is it you guys didn't go into yeah that is letting them.
Which leaves us in the the next question that plays sites.
Asks which presidential candidate has the best chance of cool what they cooperating congress.
Isn't that important.
It's important and I don't think either food as much of -- chances -- -- really pathetic things about the about the way the campaigns have been developed but don't you think -- Mitt Romney wins that's like leaving the coattails in order for him.
Would mean that Republicans -- probably.
Climbing would hold on to the house and would have at least an outside shot at the senate.
Well it would be I think.
The house is likely to stay Republican regardless of who wins it you know it close up -- -- this -- the Republicans may lose some seats.
Who's a few more of Obama wins reelection -- but I don't think.
It's gonna change the complexion of the house.
So if Obama is elected.
We have the same.
The same gridlock that we have.
And that's not it's really caused by John Boehner the speaker -- him trying to hold its caucus together as a problem.
It's if you thought you know credits and who is the scenario works out the way you you're talking Romney wins.
The problem is I don't see a big -- change in the senate to stop Democrats from having.
The -- capacity really to the Republicans have had in the senate over during most the Obama.
Administration which is to shut down any -- they wanted to with a filibuster -- some other procedural.
News affront to millions in the senate floor.
Democrats even if they -- before we lose the senate.
We'll definitely have the same ability would filibuster.
It's not that I I don't think it's possible.
I think I think it's gonna happen because the American people demand it if Romney or Obama -- president.
It's the American people are going to be working on their senators and members of congress saints stopped doing some an -- there are a number of moderate Democrats.
Finishing number but there are a number of them.
The gang of fourteen you may remember -- out all the folks who weren't working on the deficit and debt deals a gang of six.
Potentially there's there's potentially you could reach.
Which comic compromise with some of those books right and I also take -- -- -- it -- I think you'll be compromise could still have to be compromised because look there's probably is a compromise on the taxes on the rich issue -- looked.
Cockpit you know the if the Democrats say no.
No extension anybody over to 250000.
To Republicans say.
No we're not available for any any break.
So they -- both being in the go to negotiate.
-- you know some kind of compromise that 500000 there's no one's gonna say that before this election I mean they're both big and hay out of their constituents he's done so far no public -- activists say they're gonna raise taxes allowing that happens that's -- in the lame duck congress looks like it's going to be.
It was stocked full of things that have to get dumped.
But the lame duck congress may actually ever been the best shot you have of those moderate Republicans and Democrats actually getting together and say.
Let's get all the and by the way the new -- coming all along congress and -- may want them to do that take on some of -- bad -- that have to happen.
And then they get the blame it on the guys it's just not gonna get them in the clean and -- it their -- you weigh in their business it's still to be very difficult to govern regardless.
Whether Romney or Obama.
-- I think its own people underestimate houses on both sides held up.
-- -- Michael -- on.
Asks are there any.
The -- -- us.
Well we're sitting in line if North Carolina somehow stayed -- Barack Obama like -- 20081 time.
Mean with the Democrats three years.
I'd be shot and putt and I say that Nelson admits his convention knowing that they held it here to try to build an organization meeting again.
But I think I think North Carolina going for -- -- one it would be Romney was.
Definitely -- not gonna win but second I think you'd be a big surprise and on the flip side of Michigan or Pennsylvania or really in Pennsylvania -- -- Pennsylvania.
Would be describing.
It did the catastrophe Obama would be kind I don't think there's any way we.
We could survive that Michigan's.
Would be another one I think it would be quite a Pennsylvania would be much more shocking -- -- There -- right now we're.
Listen to economy built to last -- that education.
Will keep continue at Arizona Shane.
Ten President Obama lose Florida and still win the election posture.
Yeah I mean anyways yeah there's that's a good opportunity to have this talk about the apps -- the -- -- Did the you decide you -- wanna go to the you decide.
Map badly that we have the fox.
And download the map.
Create your own and we'll we'll we'll start talking about a big gathers.
We have you know a lot of ways for Obama to win without Florida there's really almost no ways.
That Romney can win without Florida and there's no way you can win without Ohio but -- a -- to win without gas Florida's 29 electoral votes Ohio State team it's it's just so big immediate.
It's -- difficult for Romney to win the house without Ohio that's -- bit.
-- we had.
Line Collins a map.
Showed up on Twitter -- A few days ago that he put out -- showed.
State of Ohio goes you could make it up now with Wisconsin in the databases are combinations -- -- add up there.
Close to what.
Ohio adds up to you start blowing off the states -- -- 93 -- for Romney.
-- nine electoral votes it's very very very tough to make up and particularly with Ohio on the -- That's that's problematic for.
As you know we talked about the 321 strategy in the two.
Is Ohio and Florida -- he's got I mean if he wins those two.
Any -- three Indiana North Carolina and Virginia if he pulls that off he really is on his way -- -- upsetting.
To have a real shot at it.
But Florida's -- I don't see.
-- -- Joseph -- president Obama's touting automobile.
Industry saved by his action.
But GM is teetering on bankruptcy again is that saved.
I guess the question is.
I'll rephrase it is.
Yeah I mean that's part of that this is actually one of the deciding kind of features they may decide this and because -- pulled this -- -- in Ohio and for for summary.
More so in Ohio where one out of every eight jobs.
As the Obama people pointed out compound earlier today whenever you need jobs -- pilots the auto industry related.
It's not lost I've seen focus groups in my words not -- on those people who.
Barack Obama wanted to bail out or help the auto industry and keep plants open.
Romney said let it go bankrupt now.
And it's having an effect that that's one of the things as a whole that's running back the shorthand dad obviously he wanted to see -- managed bankruptcy to go -- yet processes and yeah all fit in a bumper sticker -- -- yeah yeah I'm not trying to.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- But what I'm saying is when you see voters in focus groups talking about it that way that's the message that they are you know he wanted -- to go bankrupt me that's what you're hearing voters say.
-- problem because I mean regardless of what the reality on policy is there's a real problem of perception.
There are good people have particularly in Ohio for some reason.
Also in Michigan I mean you you know here's his dad was governor of the state he should -- -- the reason -- having a tough time.
If you don't the issue of whether she ends on the brink of bankruptcy and save with a one thing.
-- saved me Barack Obama hadn't done.
IBM and more people out of work you know in the auto industry doesn't mean that they wouldn't.
The auto industry wouldn't have been able to go through bankruptcy and restructure and become -- trying to make it come down right now but -- It feels far worse today than it is right now and I think voters understand that.
Just one -- do you think that from being sheriff.
For -- I think the DNC Tony twelve looks to a -- -- -- and then look out of touch with the well that's you -- big cheer for the US house.
Where that's what I think both parties says who had that.
You don't demand that their problem with the conditions of -- you don't do that it's particularly through -- -- -- coming around on the golf.
The Republicans at the same problem how to -- We celebrate.
That happened so -- the 55 through.
Definitely have -- And the environment.
2008 and I don't think -- gonna see as much.
For the celebratory and also we were celebrating history in 2008 and yet.
You're going to a -- weird weird you know at beginning of the season either.
We were gonna that was the party that was either -- -- be nominating the first woman or the first African American.
In history it would be fit at the top of the ticket and so when we got to that convention -- -- and goes really to.
And the delegates -- The energy -- Nowhere near that.
Today and there's no way it was going to be given the difference for the environment and.
-- -- put out this is.
Pretty small arena.
For conventions as conventions go there.
We allowed this yet you and so that could also graduate.
And -- Stern's ass I heard undecided voters.
To go with challenger.
Other times I hear they -- being -- -- what's the answer.
Isn't -- they a percentage that they averages like sixty plus percent are usually go towards say the challenger if you truly undecided.
As you get to a two -- and.
Undecideds if -- your running incumbent's campaign for president or just about any other office is if he.
If you do what I do for a living is in -- the campaign.
You basically know the feel -- the size of a great defense they they they -- to -- like he said Fred.
Two to one and it you know 6040.
-- in favor the challenger.
The problem we got this year it's worth thinking through that is it is when you look at these.
The numbers were you see.
Obama at 47.
-- 48 -- Romney 47 and with a forty prisoners by -- and great.
-- 39 you know I mean it doesn't.
So if he won -- -- dead beat the matter how you can.
Those undecideds and -- the pistons -- dead yeah that's why -- More now.
Into a -- -- about four.
Can help people.
Say they're going to -- -- eventually getting them out to globes like the likely likely voter -- ones who actually show up as a whole different deal.
-- mean it's ground game.
Right getting getting the -- Got no that's that's the -- site I mean I think we reallocate -- and aside -- still haven't hit Niedermayer didn't even mean you know some -- -- You guys.
Song was awesome what happens when both parties went to war in terms of getting -- code out including their operations in that you know full force.
And the Republicans I think surprise a lot of people by giving the job that they did okay.
In Wisconsin in the in this special -- in the recall election.
The question I've had his -- in -- confidence from knowing how the Obama's.
Structure of the Internet in their arms and there on the ground organizational ability.
Very confident that they're able to replicate that in every steal any state that they wanna do that the real question being.
In the Romney campaign and Republican replicate what they -- in Wisconsin.
Across eleven states where we're at thirteen states as some -- he's been an organized it's really difficult to do.
The way they do it we've paid paid staff -- In the structure.
It doesn't mean they can't they've proven that they -- -- for an immediate candidates -- -- -- I think that's going to be the big question -- -- election.
Here's -- -- and fifty ass as a former campaign manager.
How would you handle strong personalities.
On your staff other people forget that.
Running this thing is it's like running a business.
But but this is a lot of moving parts in the campaign.
Especially when you get to this point.
Oh yeah look good that is it is our first -- it's very difficult this side of the presidential campaign is.
His home there are a lot of sharp twelve -- Your first ball.
If people are convinced that -- People in there inside that campaign.
All the stops me from doing or where they're gonna -- shut down to the right answer yeah exactly or.
First swimming doesn't matter sample size.
Part of the reason -- -- all campaigns like.
Like George Bush's.
Good workers because -- in front end to some extent the reason Romney doesn't.
Because those guys have been together for so long it's already been worked out we know you can count me in the -- -- who's in the challenger Karl Rove wasn't gonna happen.
Would you campaign like Howard Dean -- the united even really know each other -- no one else did either.
You know they start everybody starts playing for -- and things that you did much you can get much worse.
Let's -- do you think Paul Ryan at Marcy -- do you think Paul Ryan will help Romney.
With his dander who think you'll.
Oh that I was one of the people I thought before you pick Paul Ryan has aligned with the proper my -- it wasn't because I was a Democrats -- about how we even go after one minute I really side he had zero -- He's young need heat illness and he brings it is the first person from his generation to be on the war on the ticket any.
-- They -- they really fit together they're now he's gonna bring the negatives.
The fight over me.
But I thought I really side.
When I was looking at the polling numbers.
In the midwest Wisconsin.
Floating away from Romney.
It's now across.
Michigan was floating away.
Romney speak clearly they're looking added.
Ohio I can't tell yet who's dating who or who's wrong or.
But I definitely think Ronnie if he had picked up Tim Pawlenty or somebody like that I think as much -- I I think of some of those is officeholders and the jobs they've done -- the they've taken the party down off.
I don't think they would have been near the hot that they feel that or brought -- anywhere near the interview are Ryan did.
Okay a couple more here at misses like the soup.
There could be Chris Wallace's wife Lorraine I'm not sure it but the evidence is like the -- Are there any good models for what turnout will look like -- when he twelve broken down by party.
And how does that compare event.
Think are there models turnout models that.
Then are feasible to put -- into this election just.
At what we're looking at.
I don't know wounded did did he really hasn't.
Outfits and I think the -- -- so -- indicate that there's there's there's clearly more energy and you don't just -- you see it.
More energy on the Republican side through.
-- -- -- -- And I also look good -- Excitement it was clear Obama talked about that earlier this -- at the convention with Clinton and Obama -- the energy that was here among African Americans.
Among young people.
That dad just exuberance and really make history together.
Do you know you can't make history twice I don't think there's any way that and he's going to be there and they replicated by eight.
Really jazz thing up their get out the vote in you know counting on more doors and in making those calls I can -- make up some of the drop off.
But I don't think there's any way they make all of its in my I suspect we're gonna on the democratic side really drop off from the 2008 -- -- On the Republican side I think you did you may have a slight increase over 2008 and that's what makes this such a close race.
It could be here I really think there's a chance it we can have a couple 23 states.
That are not quite as close as.
Florida was in 2500.
Votes but but decided by.
You know thousands of under 101000 votes and we were up all night in Duncan -- And then there's the nightmare scenario of one of those maps came back to 69 to CC nine a time electoral colleges -- -- manner that would need.
For a little IV positive particularly depending on how the house for and I'm Melissa they're tough guys usually go to their room at the it's the election were held today at love Stein says that the election held today.
Who did you think would win.
Posts today I think I don't think -- I don't think -- -- Right now Obama still has.
He had slept poorly.
When you look at a couple of what states are processing he has slight leads in part in most of them.
-- you've got you have to think they'd be voted -- you know.
At least today they were smarter -- we would go as well forward without.
Running right now has -- almost on the table so today.
I'd still give the edge to Obama but it has been tightening Qualcomm.
It's -- -- three or four times between now and November.
And I wouldn't hazard I guess right you know I'd still give Obama slighted because of the way the Electoral College.
The last thing.
That's DNA -- he says why did Democrats remove god from their platform.
And on that point you know listen we talk about how platforms don't you really need that launching very modern day and -- Raised eyebrows not what you're insinuating that democratic party's got a -- -- They don't believe in yeah.
That it is all like yourself I have no idea why it happened and I and I also them understand what I mean look -- I don't know that I know.
And in the last three -- classes.
-- Don't mean anything anymore neither party -- terms of the unity and his view of reality reality is no candidate who uses convincing and worried about a word in the news in the classes.
Which means saving out of walks.
To take those words hi I have I have no idea but it's like a lot of things could be seen.
The question of are you better off we're.
-- -- -- -- -- It seemed to being ready for the quest for a logical questions.
Right after the year.
You're right after it came and I mean it's it's.
Strange that's that I don't -- know.
This is fun thing I don't really enjoyed it thank you for joining us we.
We'll do these Twitter town hall from time to time -- Joseph Trippi that -- there people on tweeting thanks for equity and get a lot of questions today.
And we'll see you last night primetime coverage on Fox News.