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Once again it's Election Day President Obama seems to be getting a bounce right now from the Democratic Convention we'll see how long that Al -- for graduate this everybody.
I'm generally I'm John Scott some new polls show the president.
Opening a narrow lead in a race that essentially was tied for months.
Rasmussen today Rasmussen Reports daily presidential tracker showing the president -- governor Mitt Romney fifteen to 45%.
That is the largest lead mr.
Obama has held over his Republican rival since mid march soul.
How Long Will the president's post convention balance blast Byron York is chief political correspondent for the Washington examiner.
Is it real first of -- -- this up presidential bounce in the polls.
-- well it is real the tracking polls that show the race essentially ties have separated a little bit and President Obama has moved up a little -- talk to Romney people.
They say look that's the definition of a bounce a bounce is something goes up then comes back down.
They're not worried about that and also as far as the conventions are concerned you know there were right back to back the Democrats -- second.
And Republicans will say look that the democratic convention essentially stepped on.
In -- Republican -- there might have been but but the fact is the president has been a little bit ahead.
In this race for most of the summer and it is now time if Mitt Romney's gonna change that dynamic it's time for me do it but.
This is seven -- Gallup tracking poll and I think we have the results to put on screen shows that.
The president is up 49 to 44%.
Now that's pretty significant.
This close to the election isn't.
Well it is and you're gonna hear a lot about the conventional wisdom that -- in the past the -- contender who was ahead in mid September.
Goes on to win the race.
So there's no doubt about that the Romney campaign.
-- concerned about that maybe not about the substance -- of that certainly about the coverage of it the pollster Neil Newhouse.
Sent out a memo this morning saying don't pay too much attention to these polls there's a sort of a sugar high.
Taking place after the conventions for the Democrats but they believe that the essentials of the economy.
The terrible unemployment rate the team and decrease in job participation.
In the population they believe those things are eventually going to take hold.
And make Mitt Romney the winner.
Well at the same time the president got those terrible -- employment numbers on Friday four times as many people leaving the workforce is actually got jobs.
Unemployment I'm sorry employment numbers that aren't even enough to keep pace with population growth it seems like kind of an odd time for his popularity to be increasing.
Well you know but as far as Republicans are concerned it appears that the president is is defying gravity right now.
It's just how how in the world is this happening if you read this Neil Newhouse memo again the pollster.
For the Romney campaign -- based strongly believe.
That the fundamentals of the campaign that is the unemployment rate to economic suffering.
And in the lack of improvement.
In the -- -- several years will eventually take hold they also think obviously that the the first debate between the candidates October.
Third in Denver is going to be hugely.
Important in the last thing is in a Mitt Romney has a ton of money for the general campaign that he has not spent.
And there are going to be releasing advertising blitzes against the president not only nationally but in all the key states and I think one thing we learned from the Republican primary.
Is it Mitt Romney knows how to carpet -- an opponent.
And Republicans like to compare this administration to the economic.
Situation during the Jimmy Carter years and worth noting that at this point Jimmy Carter led Ronald Reagan in the polls by about ten points.
Well we didn't have done a number of examples from the past in which the leader at this point didn't go on to win the race so.
There's there's no reason for anybody to suggest that the race is locked up but.
In the next few days Romney is gonna have to deal with a lot of doubters who are saying -- you're doing it all wrong.
You need to change your campaign that this is not working out and it's going to be real test of his patients and his determination.
Byron York from the Washington examiner Byron thank you --
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