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New polls put Obama ahead in some swing states

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    Assessing candidate strategies in battlegrounds

  • Duration 3:25
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What polls just out show President Obama with a five to seven point lead over governor Mitt Romney in three key battleground states the polls.

Taken in the days immediately following the Democratic National Convention.

In Florida President Obama leads governor Romney by five points 49 to 44% this according to the new NBC news Wall Street Journal Marist poll.

Of likely voters.

In Ohio the president leads by seven points fifty to 43%.

And in Virginia the president also leads by five points 49 to 44%.

What is now national political reporter for real clear politics -- -- pike.

-- some would attribute this to the post convention bounce for the president is that what it is.

It absolutely is we're starting to see that now and some of these state polls but these are just.

The -- single poles in each of these states we're looking at is the real clear politics polling average of some of the states.

And it's -- a much tighter race in states like.

Virginia and Iowa where the president just leads by a whisker under -- points in each of those states the most important one you -- you mentioned there.

Is Ohio.

And that's the state where President Obama has been throwing his lead he now leads a Mitt Romney by more than four points.

And I think that's what it's going to be most important here to see.

How Mitt Romney handles that we should see him pick up his campaign schedule in Ohio I would imagine and spend more money on -- traffic and well we you -- you hear Joseph Biden say that a General Motors is alive because of Barack Obama is that.

Is that a point that is selling well on on in Ohio.

That's certainly is and one thing I would point out too is I covered Mitt Romney in Fairfax Virginia yesterday.

And he added back to his stump speech some pretty tough talk on China.

And that also resonates in Ohio and I think we're going to be seeing him change his messaging a little bit.

And tailor it specifically to Ohio as he did yesterday for that same reason.

We've also heard -- governor Romney talking about the fact that that what he proposed for the auto industry was an organized bankruptcy was which is essentially what happened to General Motors.

That's right -- you're seeing the Obama campaign use that against him and do it very effectively.

We're seeing that they -- media and Ohio the editorials seem just -- the president on this point so he's going to have to tailor his message a little bit more specifically to that state.

In order to cut the president's lead there the astounding thing is how few voters in this race are undecided you know with the economy -- it is.

There aren't many people out there -- who are.

Ready to have their minds changed.

That's right it's about five to 6% of the electorate right now and what strategists I've talked you have told me and posters who are analyzing this race say.

Those five to 6%.

Are unlikely to break for President Obama because they know him so well and understand where he stands it's Mitt Romney who has a better chance of getting those voters to his side.

At the very end which is why he's.

More and doing a persuasion campaign right now where is you see the president and the First Lady and the vice president in more of a mobilization -- just telling people to get out to vote whereas Mitt Romney's trying to convince them to come to his side right now.

Well these debates could be -- -- start in Denver I think October 5 Willie watch and I'm sure you will be too Aaron pike from real clear politics -- thank you --

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