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Battle for swing states: New Mexico

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    Poll shows Obama's lead over Romney shrinking in Land of Enchantment

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You're inside America's election headquarters and we are looking at the all important swing states the states that will decide the results of this election President Obama won the popular vote in New Mexico by nearly 15%.

In 2008 but this time around.

It looks like things could be a lot closer let's take a look at New Mexico and some of the stats that are determining this election.

-- New Mexico has five electoral votes a relatively small number out of the 270 needed.

But both candidates are fighting over them very very.

Hard.

The unemployment rate in New Mexico six point 6% it's actually a lot better than the national average in large part because of the energy industry at work there.

Gas prices of 369.

A gallon.

In terms of the number of visits each candidate well Mitt Romney has been there once President Obama not -- all.

Since April now in large part that may be because.

The Obama campaign has thought that they had him New Mexico pretty well locked up.

The latest real clear politics polling average for that -- gives the president a ten point lead forty.

I'm sorry fifties for the president to forty over governor Mitt Romney if I can bring that up in the polls there it is.

Fifty for the president to forty for Mitt Romney.

Michael Coleman is the Washington bureau chief for the Albuquerque journal and Michael is my understanding that the poll that your newspaper.

Put together has the number is a lot closer than that.

That's right -- -- the ran last last weekend.

Had had.

President Obama up by just five points over Mitt Romney so it's a lot closer than the than the national polls are showing.

And I think part of that tightening of the of our poll has to do with the fact that 80% of the respondents to our poll.

Our proven voters they're not just people who say they're gonna vote of people who have actually voted in past elections.

New Mexico is always just has historically been very close in the presidential race and this is -- and -- of the close of the national polls are showing.

One of the interesting aspects of this -- race is a guy named Gary Johnson who was in the Republican race for the presidential nomination.

Didn't do much didn't get a lot of attention so now he's running as a libertarian he's a former governor of your state.

Which candidate is he hurting I would presume Mitt Romney.

That seems to be -- -- commercialism but our poll actually showed something different he's he's pulling equally.

From both candidates he he -- about 7% and our poll which is higher than he's doing the most national polls.

And that he he -- equally from Democrats and Republicans.

Governor Johnson -- he's a very fiscally conservative politician is also very socially liberal he wants to legalize marijuana.

He supports gay marriage he wants to get out of Afghanistan -- those sorts of positions are appealing to Democrats and it remains to be seen exactly how he'll break in the selection but right now he's politically from both sides.

Mitt Romney is in California making.

Pitched -- Hispanic voters he's not gonna win California but how is he doing among Hispanic voters in New Mexico.

Not good enough he's our poll President Obama have 46% of the Hispanic vote that Romney had 26%.

He needs to improve on that dramatically if you dose of when New Mexico.

I imagine he's gonna be relying on our governor very popular governor Susanna Martinez.

-- obvious Hispanics he pulled a 69% popularity in our poll.

So I would assume that in the weeks and in the weeks ahead we're gonna see her a little bit more active for Mitt Romney in New Mexico.

The president's numbers the president seems to have you know widened the gap of between himself and Mitt Romney just a bit since the conventions is that the case in New Mexico or is this race getting tighter.

I think it has got a little bit tighter.

You know one of the things that we've seen in previous election cycles in the Mexico is lots of visits from the from the candidates.

I didn't show you said President Obama hadn't been to New Mexico he actually was -- New Mexico earlier this year he went to oil and gas country and and I gave a speech about energy policy.

So just one visit a piece for both of them this cycle which would seem to indicate that maybe we're not that important of a state but.

With the polls tightening I would expect another couple of visits maybe from both candidates.

Yeah I should've clarified I think we're talking about since April of this year -- was that when I was cut off date.

At any rate.

It's certainly going to be interesting a very tight race in New Mexico and and bringing a lot of attention to your state Michael Coleman from the Albuquerque journal Michael thank you.

Thanks.