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Dick Morris: Poll numbers are not accurate

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    Can Mitt Romney regain his lead?

  • Duration 3:06
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President Obama she's she's going to head into key swing states and factor in Virginia -- probably three.

In Ohio for example eighteen electoral votes at stake President Obama leading Mitt Romney 5244.

The Washington Post ball.

And in Florida electoral votes say the as has a lot at stake.

29 in all.

-- on top excuse me Romney trails 5147.

So commit Romney regain his lead -- is -- is only going to get worse and what's causing this trend.

Dick Morris is a Fox News contributor and the author of screwed it.

And a former advisor to President Clinton Dick you believed is not your -- your -- there's the -- this story is what's behind the numbers.

Will.

I don't think the numbers are accurate I think that.

The there it's a fundamental error going on in the polling this year by the media organizations.

Not by Scott Rasmussen who.

Has a different technique and -- recent shares Romney won behind in Florida one behind in Virginia in two behind in Ohio.

And Obama well below 50% of the vote which means that he probably gets the undecided vote -- this could actually be -- in those states.

The difference is that.

These these posters are using the 2008.

Turnout model that was -- totally unique chair elect.

Huge African American huge Latino huge college students.

Relatively fewer elderly.

And that model happened for one year only 2008.

It didn't happen in ten it didn't happen for it didn't happen -- -- our.

And they're wrong for applying it is true that the same people vote in twelve -- voted -- -- Obama's gonna get reelected but it's not gonna have.

Filed with the enthusiasm in those groups is way down does it explain kicked a trend though there -- a lot closer a month ago even with the same science.

Well I don't believe that.

I believe what -- doing is re waiting the data and and that wouldn't establish a trend I mean it's not such thing as a trend in a bad poll.

The the accurate polling which there's no reason to go to those -- go to the accurate ones resolution -- of this race within a point -- In each of those states and by the way the trend.

-- -- Where it went in my own polling what we say is that Romney was doing fine and eight in August.

I fell back a little bit because the Democratic Convention.

Recovered at the end of last week and now it's pretty much even for and I think that's the reality.

I think if the election were held today -- let me say flatly.

That Romney would carry Ohio Florida.

Nevada Virginia and a shot at Wisconsin where I am today.

And would win over 300 electoral votes.

I think the media is either deliberately or inadvertently harm -- -- wrong -- -- showing this race to be very different than it really yet.

The New York Times Washington Post said basically using that science -- them by him -- meant rowdy Chile and all three but nationally just about everyone says it's a dead heat.

Dick stick around --

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