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Battle for Swing States: New Hampshire

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    What's moving voters in key state?

  • Duration 4:39
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-- welcome back we are your election headquarters and -- just more than a month until the big day.

We're taking a closer look at some of the key battleground states that could decide the race for the White House.

Today we want to take a look at the state of New Hampshire the yellow states all twelve of them those are battleground states let's examine -- Hampshire now.

The economy.

Is five point seven unemployment rates of that as well below the eight point one national average -- of a gallon of gas double what it was.

When the president took office.

The fifteenth highest foreclosure rate in the nation won an 800 and 94 and Mitt Romney is visited three times as many as the president.

The population fairly small state one point three million -- -- votes for out of 270 may not seem like a lot.

But in 2000 if Al Gore had won New Hampshire there would have been no hanging Chad.

The democratic governor and the major industry tourism and agriculture here's the latest.

Real clear politics average of polls and you can see.

There's roughly -- three point difference between the president and Mitt Romney with Barack Obama on top.

-- Kevin Lander again is the senior political reporter for the Nashua telegraph newspaper joining us from New Hampshire.

You know the folks in your state are fiercely independent any way to gauge.

How those independent mining folks -- or leaning.

They're great that's a great point and New Hampshire is independent population makes up 40% electorate by -- the the biggest and in the holy Grail.

Of winning New Hampshire for electoral votes in the last several weeks.

We've seen Mitt Romney's support among independents sagged a bit independence here fiscally conservative and -- socially moderate.

So emphasizing that debt and the deficit.

Is very important for a candidate to appeal to independents Mitt Romney -- -- presidential primary here that he won convincingly.

Emphasize that a great deal and I -- I think it helped him a lot among independents we after all in the state went without a sales tax on income tax.

People here understand that financial decisions have consequences.

Like -- -- on -- I don't -- 2000 when John McCain talked about the debt the deficit -- -- bush keep the bush campaign at the time said what's he talking about well John McCain.

Beat George Bush here by twenty points -- -- primary.

Bush we pulled his message and barely won New Hampshire by talking about that.

-- deficit now Kevin into it 2010 the last election there -- as I understand it if I recall correctly.

-- Republicans won almost every office.

But that doesn't mean it's gonna happen that -- the issue of the pendulum could begin to swing in the other direction.

That's correct I mean we had of the largest Republican.

Sweep.

For a legislature of any statement country 2010.

Yes the -- years earlier 2006.

The Democrats took control of the legislature and all levels of power for the first time since -- civil war.

So -- we're used to this.

Pendulum swinging back and -- 2000.

Goes to George W.

Bush narrowly 2004 John Kerry wins the state -- It was an anomaly when Barack Obama won in 2008 by almost ten points against John McCain.

But it was because he talked about taxes and a deficit I go back to these independents.

-- not -- -- that I won't raise taxes for people over 250000.

Dollars he set up cut the deficit in four years right independent -- that is fiscally responsible.

That's why many independents are disappoint and Barack Obama on that issue.

And that's an opening for Mitt Romney to exploit over the next last question Kevin -- she you know governor Romney of course owns.

A pretty nice vacation home in your state spends a lot of time there.

He's open nine different offices throughout New Hampshire.

He's been campaigning heavily there of course during the primary was very important foreign.

Juxtapose that to President Obama how -- his ground game and Hampshire.

His ground game is very good and particularly in the last six months the president has been here three times vice president Joseph Biden's been here seven times in the past year.

-- every week they've they've had dozens of staff on.

On the ground in New Hampshire for Obama for months and months got a real head start on canvassing phone calling.

And motivating that democratic base that had been.

Sagging a year ago that's very that's almost up the same level of intensity of Republican support -- and Mitt Romney and that's what makes this race so close and I think you'll stay close all the way to November 6 Kevin Lander again great to see -- thanks so much for your insights thanks.

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