How close is the White House race?

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For the race for the White House battery -- critical phase now as we approach the first presidential election.

Look at this the latest Fox News poll showing President Obama holding his lead over governor Mitt Romney let's bring -- Our campaign insiders representative John -- -- -- former Republican congressman.

For New York packet -- Fox News computer former pollster for president Jimmy Carter prepped him for his debates.

And Doug -- also Fox News contributor and former pollster for Bill Clinton -- good to see you positive.

-- -- The numbers that you just on the screen since the conventions the president is -- for Romney's loss to that's a swing of six points what's up of that.

Well I think that's where the racism -- there are some media polls particularly in swing states showing.

-- leads for Obama I think there in accurate I think -- over sampling Democrats think the mainstream media is getting.

Away from what the race really is a great with the race really is is a close contest the presidents and about 4849.

Percent approval and vote share.

The governor's campaign has lost support in -- he's down around 43 now.

And the 47%.

Comment combined with the -- in this campaign has reduced his vote share but Greg it's still a race and the debate Wednesday will be critical.

Here's the Gallup daily tracking poll and let's take a look at that President Obama 4944.

At that can change and in nano second that really -- mean.

All dependence.

And some members of the media who have already written governor Romney's top political obituaries -- premature.

Well I -- personal media polls and in them mainstream media issues in the state polls like.

Other -- new form of elect called negative advertising or any negative campaigning against Romney.

Always news organizations that are broke spending thousands thousand dollars on the state polls every week to show to help push Obama.

Look the fact is galloped out at five Doug is exactly right with situation is rest -- and has him up to among.

Likely voters you know my theory split the difference it is somewhere close Romney has lost ground he has a -- of -- -- ground.

That that we hear the more most importantly the presidents of 50% approval in Romney's unfavorable -- going up this debate is the game.

It you know it's not a national popular election which brings me to be real clear politics elect -- -- that when the states he got when the ones that have the big.

Numbers attached to them now if the election were held today based on the polling data here's what you've got.

Up Obama at 265.

That's five shy of what you've got to get Romney at 190.

-- Greg Richmond I'd say these polls and that electoral map is the best thing that could happen Iran why.

Because -- it was basically tirades his natural.

That instinct to play it safe a long road everything back.

Now there is no doubt that he is behind not fatally behind this -- Doug just said but he is -- He's got to change course obviously Wednesday night is the last opportunity to change course I think he started changing last week took all his ads off.

Put a new -- and just himself talking more American wanna play that let's play the new ad with governor Romney just talk into the camera.

President Obama and I both care about poor middle class families.

The difference is my policies will make things better for them.

We shouldn't measure compassion by how many people -- on welfare.

We should measure compassion.

By how many people are able to get off welfare and get a good paying job.

Better go that well.

It's a better -- that he's been running that the reason for that that is the 47%.

Video so hurt and and reinforce this idea of coal.

You know you Wall Street baron on any who doesn't care almost exactly forget the exact number but more than 70% of Americans in green did too many people are dependent on -- and you know want.

There aren't too many people depend.

But we're not a country of working people and dependence.

We're a country of one nation and a lot of people -- dependent work very hard.

And they care about uplifting themselves they don't see the way Ricardo -- began a lot of Republicans felt gotta -- I wanna be -- here wanna play the new operas or Obama -- here it is.

We have much more to do to get folks back to work -- and make the middle class security and now governor Romney believes that would even bigger tax cuts for the wealthy and fewer regulations on Wall Street all of us will prosper.

In other words he double down on the same trickle down policies that led to the crisis in the first place and so what's my plan.

First we create a million new manufacturing job.

What do you think of that ad and then the larger picture of the amount of money the -- spent on advertising and the production -- well first of all let me just say.

The Obama campaign is outspending the Romney campaign.

By gigantic amounts of Romney campaign especially in swing states -- states yes or wholly owned their money for some reason which I don't get.

But the second thing is look I've looked at all the ads.

Qualitatively.

The Obama campaign ads I think are generally better.

And they're more on target I think the Romney campaign's -- all over the place the -- that we show wasn't a bad bad that was defensive in nature.

Did they really this is not about advertising now they have this is about getting to be definition which you said.

Which is important great.

70% of people think the government should be spending -- Republicans have a twenty point lead -- have -- the little philosophical question of more government less government and they can't get an -- -- equation.

Yet congressman you wanted him.

-- -- First -- one of the reasons the president is running that -- -- is that estate closing and that you news to see in the last ten days of the campaign but now with early voting beginning in half the states.

He's so far down the curve in his campaign he's making closing argument to those who break.

The president was able of that -- to be comparative and to attack Romney.

Defensively and aggressively.

Romney was just playing defense advantage President Obama.

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How close is the White House race?

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