Game changer? Why Romney won, Obama lost 1st debate
Dick Morris breaks down Round 1 of the presidential debates
- Duration 6:14
- Date Oct 4, 2012
Dick Morris breaks down Round 1 of the presidential debates
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You might imagine Republicans are cautiously licking their chops hoping after just one debate the governor Romney has reset his race Tennessee Dick Morris author of the new book here comes a black helicopter joins us.
Nice to see -- That -- -- -- being Richmond where Mac campaign.
And I worry our campaign okay 67 million people watched last -- show I suppose what really matters most of laws of the 67 million how many are how we're undecided last night our company -- -- -- -- to -- -- either way.
And what would be the result -- of what they saw last night.
-- may mean at the way for another debate or two your thoughts.
I think this debate was worth about four or five points to Romney nationally.
And equivalents and each of the swing states.
Now the polling that we've discussed in the past is very biased in favor of the Democratic Party.
I went to Ohio Michigan and -- -- Florida and John McLaughlin the pollster helped me go through the data.
And in those for those three states in the last four elections there was one point more Democrat than Republican that actually voted in the exit polls and yet.
The thirteen polls in those states have a combined bias -- eight points -- Democrats so -- basically five or six points too much for Obama.
So I believe right here in Virginia where they sure Romney tied or slightly behind I think he was significantly ahead now I think he's very far ahead.
Ohio which wasn't which which they had Romney behind I think -- it starts up and now I think -- can be ahead.
I've said from the very beginning granted nobody else has said it but I do.
That I've always thought this election would be a solid Romney victory on the order of magnitude of Obama is defeated McCain a near lands.
I found with tomorrow morning the jobs report comes out and on the serious set of course it's that the so many Americans who are without work who -- work and that is enormously distressing.
There is a political -- part of this.
If that number tomorrow morning and stays the same as national average -- -- gets worse.
Is that -- any appreciable affect do you think -- on the campaign for the president.
Well I think.
It'll have the same deflating -- -- the jobs report right after the Democratic Convention last time did last month you remember came at the day after Obama's speech.
And I think it took some wind out of its sales.
But I think they were very specific things Romney accomplished in this debate that's important to focus on number one.
Obama agreed there was no difference between them on Social Security.
And Obama agreed that neither of them Medicare plans.
Would hurt any existing elderly or anyone about to retire they disagreed on the 716.
Million that Obama.
Cut on current retirees.
But the -- scare in the Social Security scare tactic now can't be used because -- -- that stipulated that that's not going to be a problem.
I think that by failing to raise the 45%.
Of the Cayman Islands the tax return to keep mean capital.
-- -- which basically conceding that those aren't legitimate shots.
How can you go out and spend 200 million dollars advertising to push these acts and then when you finally confront the guy you don't mention I think that's.
Hurt him badly.
I actually thought that that was Smart because he looks like soda above this city's more president -- -- -- early -- well dirty work to somebody else doesn't it fingerprints on -- if they are done in campaign -- and certainly have done in in pac ads rather than done by his own campaign.
That's precisely the point Greta if the president says this is not worth signifying and making it an issue.
This is not worth the dignity of a presidential race how people can -- based on.
It's basically dismissing -- the importance of your own campaign by not alluding to it.
And I think the final thing is that Romney put Obama care back on the map in the selection.
This election was all about the economy now it's about the economy and obamacare and particularly the health care rationing board.
I think that was very effective and I think those strategic adjustments.
Are far more important than the good feeling that you have -- Romney after this debate.
What should we expect to see these new poll results that that reflects -- of the response.
To the debate.
Yes they will now you got to remember -- -- who's the polling I think is the most accurate to say moving five -- sample.
So it's gonna take a week before we have the full post debate poll.
But they'll be other polls out you will see a big shifting in the -- And I don't think that it's retrievable by a -- I don't think that you ever get a second chance to make -- effect a first impression and I think that Romney really scored.
I thought that when he explained to people -- tax cut on the rich.
Was not on the rich it was on a tax increase on the rich with tax increase on small business employers.
That that 3% employs 50% of the American workforce.
And by raising their taxes you're undermining their ability to create jobs I thought that was brilliant.
And I thought that really he took -- you all kinds of arguments from Obama.
And while Obama can always wait until the performance wears off and people forget how stumbling and -- he wasn't attached.
What will remain is the ground that he ceded to run.
Hit I've got a significant -- that I'm 67 million people watched as the largest numbers that since I think 1992.
Which was a measurement to me out of the enthusiasm in the country for the elections -- -- which which way it's gonna fall but certainly showed.
Interest by the country.
Well I think the same reason that they watched in 92 there and pain.
Because of the economy and getting ready to reject the incumbent president because of it.
I think that when the debate is and watched by many people it's a sign that things are okay in the incumbent probably can stay there.
But I think that that the.
Is this the voter turnout in the absentee balloting.
The Republican edge in registration changes.
-- -- for a very significant Republican wins.
Both in the senate and in the White House.
-- -- -- Thank you got.