Polls tightening in key swing states after debate
Pollster Scott Rasmussen on new numbers
- Duration 4:37
- Date Oct 5, 2012
Pollster Scott Rasmussen on new numbers
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Well the battle is on in battleground states the president and governor Romney campaigning in Virginia today.
Just as a new poll shows Romney op -- in Virginia today.
But will this post debate.
Balance stick France's return -- -- presents thanks for joining us got these are interesting numbers coming up.
About big big movement in in the post debate numbers that is there or not.
Well there's a movement I don't know I'd call it big but in a close race any movement is significant right now.
Virginia shows Romney up by -- point.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Virginia specifically right now Virginia had been fairly close going back and forth -- now you have.
Right we have Romney up by one point averaging 4948.
-- pre pre debate.
Were those two stand.
It it has been fairly close for a while a month ago we showed Barack Obama up by a -- or two in Virginia.
It's been consistent there has not been a blowout in Virginia all the way through this OK let's move on so let's where they were seeing there.
All right let's move let's just go through one by one and and -- you each -- Florida to talk to us -- about Florida now it shows your poll again this was her polling that came out this morning brand -- you know.
Shows Romney 49 President Obama 47.
And it's important to note that this -- all the ones we're talking about we did last night after the debate was finished.
A month ago President Obama was leading by two points in the great state of Florida this is a state Romney has to win.
So again we're seeing a modest shift away get a four point shift and it goes from Obama up by -- to Romney up by two it has a significant impact.
OK let's move on to the great state of Ohio.
All I've seen pulling -- Ohio was was Obama as much as eight or 9% now you have President Obama fifty governor Romney 49.
Right and look that you know there is some volatility in all the state polling eight years ago when President Bush was running for reelection.
There were poll showing him up later Kenton Ohio he won by his.
President Obama has been consistently ahead.
In Ohio it is a state that Mitt Romney has been struggling -- so right now Romney still down by a point there but it's a competitive situation.
And the fact is all three of these states have nobody really in the -- they are pure toss ups at this point in time the question.
Is whether this is just a balance that will -- or -- something that Mitt Romney can build upon.
And carry through the remaining month of the campaign.
-- Scott and I spoke to some from real clear politics earlier.
-- said that may be some of the jobless numbers today made the benefit president bomb a little bit.
But give us a sense of how long these things last how long the bounces last and where we should what we should look -- -- I guess the next maybe week -- so.
-- bounces last these days less than a week so if it's just a -- it will fade and they also last only until there's a better story.
The jobs numbers today give president Obama's something new to talk about a more positive direction.
I think most voters are skeptical of good economic news and what there's Republican president for democratic president.
It's repeated so the next jobs report is good -- the next series of economic reports are better.
That will definitely help President Obama if this turns out to be a one off number and the rest are contradictory.
Probably doesn't have as much of an impact.
But for right now president Obama's awfully happy to have that seven point 8% unemployment number.
Rather than something above eight.
Again the key is the -- will -- Eric.
But -- Mitt Mitt Romney does have a chance -- re engaged he's established himself at least for now is a plausible alternative.
And he is gonna have to find a way to get that message out in Ohio in Virginia.
And consistently present a positive message because heading into the debate.
Even people who are uncomfortable -- Barack Obama.
Weren't convinced that Mitt Romney would be any better Scott very quickly on about thirty seconds or so it 67 million people watched that debate.
Again that was Wednesday night and Thursday Thursday night you -- is there's still some room for movement in your poll from the -- It's absolutely.
There's about 10% of voters who say -- one of their candidate or the other but who could change their mind.
So there's room for more movement in either direction at this time Hart Scott Rasmussen thank you very much I appreciate your time and I guess right next couple of days very important in the poll most.
That's for sure -- Scott thank you okay.