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Rasmussen poll puts Obama, Romney in statistical tie

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    Scott Rasmussen breaks down latest national numbers

  • Duration 3:28
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-- Fox News alert now brand new poll numbers just coming in and they show governor Romney closing that gap nationally.

Now in a statistical dead heat with the president let's take a look at the latest survey from Rasmussen Reports.

The governor with 46%.

To the president 47%.

That is within the margin of error and Scott -- and and it -- president of Rasmussen Reports dot com also the author of the people's money joining us right now as you can see thanks for being with us.

Patty and it's great to be with you and what we push those uncommitted voters and asked them which way they're leaning the results could even closer 48 to 48.

And to put this in context.

When we go back over the last 100 days of tracking.

The two candidates have been within three points of each other gaining nine times out of -- -- this race is very very close and very stable.

Yeah that's for sure so that's your daily tracking Romney at 46 Obama 47 let's look now at President Obama is our job approval rating.

You say now total approval rating 51%.

Disapprove.

49 how has that changed.

That has been inching up slightly in fact for most the last three years the president has been around 47 or 48%.

He's been gaining a little -- in the last few weeks due to consumer confidence going up.

And patty and very important to note since last Friday's job approval.

Jobs report consumer confidence has really spiked.

And it's especially notable among unaffiliated voters.

Before that report two out of three unaffiliated said that the economy is getting worse it's down to 45%.

Today.

So the president getting a little bounce -- his own from the jobs report.

Interesting let's look at the all important swing states now are the daily tracking poll for the seven days ending October 7.

Romney at 47%.

Obama at 48 still very tight.

That's right and what we're gonna see going to be my definition swing states -- the closest ones -- going to be close to the national average.

So if the national numbers stay close the swing states will stay closed.

If I was the Romney campaign the one -- worrying about still is Ohio.

Because that's a state where President Obama is still outperforming his national numbers and Ohio could be the decisive state once again in the Electoral College we -- -- let's look specifically at president Obama's approval rating and the swing states it's 5050.

Right down the -- It is right down the middle and this is still primarily an election about the incumbents -- referendum on him.

Last Wednesday in the debate Mitt Romney presented himself as an acceptable alternative.

And that is helping his numbers overall.

But the president is still the defining factor in this race and right now how Americans are split right down the middle on whether they want to keep them.

Or -- And let's talk about that so called debate balance that Romney got -- looking back historically when a candidate is perceived to have one.

A debate how long does that bounce last.

You know there -- not really any record of any event like to -- the debate we had last Wednesday night four years ago there was absolutely no debate -- eight years ago very modest.

Because we haven't seen a challenger wins so decisively.

We do know that most balances in and of themselves last less than a week in today's 24/7 news environment.

All right and we'll have to see what happens after the upcoming vice presidential debate and beyond what I era and yet how that's -- -- Thank you as always for joining us with the very latest numbers.

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