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New polls show race tightening after first debate

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    All-Star panel weighs in

  • Duration 7:48
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People wonder why it is that so confident we're gonna win.

I'm competent because I see you here on a day like this is an unbelievable back inside.

That was they.

That was a good debate I enjoy that debate had some of the places we agreed we're we're associated with the fact that we would take America in different directions.

And everybody hears is incredible professionals there there's such great friends and they just perform flawlessly.

Night after night.

I can always say the same.

President Obama out in California making fun of himself at a campaign event last night he's out there again tonight and Mitt Romney today talking about the debate as some new polls.

Are showing a big bounce after the debate the Pew Research Center has a new poll out tonight among likely voters and look at this bounce this change.

From September 12 to sixteen he was down eight now up for among likely voters this is pew.

That.

Is looking at again that's about 11100 likely voters.

As you take a look at another -- the Politico GW -- choice for president.

This is one point.

-- Obama over Romney this was October 1 through the fourths -- the does not.

Really get a full sense of the October 3 debate that you have -- this is post debate and -- you see the before and after.

Tied it again now that's registered voters not the likely voters -- hasn't changed that and one more about that Politico.

Voter voter look and this is likely voters and you see the split among supporters and again some of that up hole is before.

Of the debate so we're -- is starting to see some of the effect of what both sides are calling a pretty strong debate performance by.

Mitt Romney let's bring in our panel about the state of this race Steve Hayes senior writer for the weekly standard AB Stoddard associate editor of the hill and syndicated columnist rostrum.

Okay Charles we talk a lot about polls we talked to Joseph -- about the electoral map your sense of the status race and where things -- -- -- the macro view and the one that's sort of the simplest.

Is that Romney got nothing out of Tampa.

Obama got a bump maybe three to five.

Out of Charlotte.

And what happened when that debate is Romney got it all back in ninety minutes in one night and maybe even more.

I think it's very telling the pew poll actually has Romney ahead slightly beyond the margin of error.

And we were talking about the ones who are extremely likely to vote.

Romney among all of the voters are extremely tight to -- vote.

Is up by six.

And three weeks ago he was down by three that's -- nine point swing among people who surely be out -- -- election.

So I think right now the race is tied with Romney still I think having some of the momentum from the debate.

And I think the rest of the story will be determined by the remaining debates -- Obama -- trying to throw a lot of money.

At mitigating the effect of the debate by calling.

Romney a liar which is adjusting after a string of other excuses.

Week moderator the stresses of office and meet the demands like appearing on the view.

And raising a lot of money in Hollywood and of course altitude.

So now it's that Romney is a liar and Obama was so shocked by the -- that he couldn't speak on his own so now it's the the width of the staircase expressed in the commercials and -- Well I think I agree that Romney has gotten back tremendous momentum that he needed.

And I didn't think he was gonna get it until he did something to help himself and not too.

Just keep hacking away at President Obama when -- do the debate was you really sold himself.

As a viable alternative a reasonable replacement for the president someone with ideas someone.

Who understands.

Your problems.

And he needs to keep that momentum going most importantly it really energize is supporters and when you look at these polls.

The most important factors that enthusiasm gap so.

He does better among likely voters and that's what matters on election days so President Obama still has an easier path.

An Electoral College if you look at the states that matter the states where Romney's advertising he's still behind him.

But core of those voters more power than responding to polls and will -- actually get into the car they are energized on the democratic side after Charlotte.

Because -- President Clinton and because President Obama to some extent and other Democrats didn't blow it but now they're feeling deflated and so.

The debates and sort of attack the president takes in the remaining weeks and really important to close at a museum hasn't got because I think that's their greatest -- -- pew.

The poll before this the one in September was criticized by conservatives as being one of these that was leaning.

Democratic too much -- and was leaving you know being too close to the president's camp.

I look at the internals inside this new pew poll.

Romney now ties President Obama -- and being regarded.

As a strong leader and runs virtually even.

With the president -- willingness to work with leaders of the other party.

47 to 40% margin voters pick Romney is the candidate who has new ideas.

On the flip side -- Obama continues to hold leads as the candidate who connects well with ordinary people and takes consistent positions on issues and here's a real.

Interest in one Steve.

President Obama leads by ten points 49 to 39.

As the candidate who takes more moderate positions.

On the issues this is in this pew poll.

I find that the most significant and interesting aspect of the finding in this entire poll.

Because it suggests that the Romney campaign has an opportunity when you've seen in this -- a dramatic shift toward Mitt Romney.

Virtually everything even the places where President Obama continues to lead.

You -- to shift toward Romney he's now he's expanding his his.

His gaps on things like.

Jobs he expanded his gap on things like the deficit.

You've seen this the shift toward Romney and all these -- this is the one place where President Obama as this it's surprising.

-- finding 49%.

Half of the people poll likely voters think that President Obama is more moderate and Mitt Romney this is a president who.

Ran as a liberal has governed as a liberal has done more to expand the government in.

Three and a half years than any other democratic president since Lyndon Johnson maybe since FDR after the 2010 mid terms where he was repudiated.

He continued to govern as a liberal he's run for reelection as a liberal a problem liberal his convention advertised in as a liberal.

-- the Romney campaign has this huge opening in a country that is true to one's self identified conservatives to self identified liberals to say you know what.

Barack Obama is in fact an act.

In this liberal.

Quickly Charles to Joseph -- is -- earlier.

Polls are flashes in time when you get -- call you say who do you identify -- -- now.

Not -- you'll Republican are -- a Democrat which party do you identify with.

At this moment.

Well look everybody understands it's not a predictor.

Of Election Day but it tells you -- -- you compare today -- yesterday in the week for the week before which you see in the Gallup.

Is Obama was ahead -- before the convention.

And now time so you see actual it is not only static it shows that the movement if you compare a NB NC and the movement obviously used to round.

And he keeps it up the way.

That's up the runners for.

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