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Will Paul Ryan help Romney win Wisconsin?

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    A look at battle for swing state

  • Duration 4:10
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Exactly four weeks until election today -- taking a close look at some of the key seats in the race for the White House today returning to Wisconsin home of the Green Bay Packers of course if -- football fan.

-- voters there have gone democratic in six out of the last eight elections but remember.

Governor -- is vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan is of course a native of Wisconsin so is -- a factor there.

We're gonna take -- looks in the latest polls and maybe you can make up.

Your own mind and that.

If you take a look at Wisconsin the unemployment rate is -- below the national average.

And it's right in line with what we see for gas prices across the country now we're seeing -- in California but across the country.

The number of visits for the president.

And mr.

Romney -- their Wisconsin both and visited twice.

As far as it's his -- a couple of things to point out to you ten electoral votes are from the state of Wisconsin the state governor Scott Walker -- -- that mean well we're gonna talk about.

That factor the factor of a Republican governor.

With our next guests in just a moment also as you as far as polling -- This is the latest real clear politics average the president pulling away a little bit for Mitt Romney not as much as before the last couple weeks but up by six points and the state of Wisconsin joining us now Craig Gilbert the Washington bureau chief national.

Local reports for the Milwaukee.

Journal sentinel so Craig you've covered seven presidential election so far it hasn't -- compared to the past.

Well everything is so different in terms.

Way to campaigns work the way the media works you know.

Everything is in the moments.

The pace is much different in terms of Wisconsin's -- we've had cycles where.

Wisconsin was really at ground zero particularly in 2004.

And this year what's it's obvious he jumps out about it in terms of Wisconsin's role.

Is Paul -- presence on the ticket and how big of a factor has that -- Well he every I think everybody expects him to help on the margins but he can't buy himself you know close.

A three or four or five point gap so it really does if he really is a case where Mitt Romney.

Has to close the gap in Wisconsin may be happening we only have one post debate poll that shows -- narrowing but.

If this is you know close to a 5050 race nationally than Wisconsin is very much in play and Paul -- could be a factor.

I was so fascinated -- your recent articles where you really to collect.

At seven the key voting groups -- state and he found something -- really interesting that there are voters in this state that.

Fully approve of Governor Walker and even supported him.

I when he came to the election for governor but also fully approved for the president and -- to vote for him so they voted for Governor Walker and also tend to vote for the president.

And that might be counter intuitive to some of us from the outside looking and Craig tell us a little bit more about that.

Well what's interesting about it's about 10% of the electorate that has told posters all year that they approve.

Republican Governor Walker but they also approve -- democratic president.

Obama and these voters when you look at them in the -- there -- a little bit younger.

They're obviously less partisan than -- less ideological but they're more optimistic about the economy so it makes sense that -- more positive about the two incumbents even though they come from.

Different parties so I think this is an interesting group because if you're Mitt Romney and you're trying to you know close the gap with Barack Obama.

These are voters aren't necessarily in the bank for Obama but they're positive toward him but they're they may be available because they're open to a Republican message -- If your governor Romney.

Then how do you speak to people that are less than happy with the way things are in the country right now what do you think is a key message -- may resonate with Wisconsin.

Residents specifically.

Yea -- right I mean it's a harder sell in some ways because they're less negative about the economy and also.

When you look at the date of these are voters that are that have not been pre debate to positive.

About governor Romney but it may be that first debate where he cast a more moderate image that may be an effective sell.

For these voters because they're -- only about a quarter of them are Republicans they're they tend to be there heavily independent heavily moderates so.

He's not gonna get them by ideology not gonna get them on the economy but if he can redefine himself like he seemed to have done in the debate that could be.

Helpful going to be interesting to watch Craig you know -- appreciate your insights thank you again after joining us here we look for to have -- back.

Thank you.

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