How much do polls matter as election winds down?
Our Campaign Insiders weigh in
- Duration 6:52
- Date Oct 16, 2012
Our Campaign Insiders weigh in
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Just two days before the second presidential debate for new polls showing governor Mitt Romney is now in the -- the latest Reuters it's so poll shows.
Romney leading the president by three points the UP IC voter poll.
Also shows the governor had by three points while the latest Gallup poll shows -- two point spread Romney in the lead and the investor's business daily.
To poll shows governor Romney leading by one point.
Let's bring in our campaign insiders -- absolutely a former Republican congressman for New -- packet -- Fox News contributor former pollster for president Jimmy Carter Doug shone into a Fox News contributor and former pollster war.
Bill Clinton Doug -- is Romney now front runner.
Hum I think it's moving in that way.
It's clear he's got the momentum -- But bottom line we need Tuesday night and a good debate performance.
For that to confirm it right now this race is too close to call the momentum with governor Romney.
The Reuters it so poll came out.
Barack Obama leading Romney 59 to 31 among early voters -- -- -- well -- -- -- -- -- online -- -- We tried to sentimentality I don't know if -- -- Chicago war war.
But it's you know it's a small number of people but it's being height today.
By a lot of news organization -- you might notice of stop doing their state polls.
Now -- Obama's not doing so on the mainstream media hyping this clearly the Obama campaign federal organized.
We don't know what it means in states like Florida and North Carolina.
Do we yet know the world we know the numbers -- absentee ballots and who we know Republicans have more than Democrat.
-- -- I'm glad you brought up Florida was put it up there in the real clear politics -- whole -- bridge.
And there it is governor Mitt Romney is ahead by roughly three points -- but more than that and why.
The trend line was completely in the opposite direction not long ago John.
What was happen obviously the first presidential debate is what.
Caused a bigger explosion than that guy a break in the sound barrier that is really think that -- that Israel thinks a lot of that turned the campaign upside down.
And I think the three of us -- of all believe that everything's waiting for Tuesday night and it is conceivable Tuesday night.
That Romney if you were to have another decisive victory he's going to be the next present lives but if Obama does well -- -- night.
This thing used to jump ball ball I think that I think that that's the.
If it's close.
But Romney is now in the driver seat he needed that debate.
This look this is next 1980 in my opinion the most decisive debate because it helped Romney with people about -- him all.
Now we have the even terms presently do well but Q -- Joseph Biden didn't put this kid's on the momentum becoming -- Mitt Romney I don't think he did I think.
Ultimate take away is why.
Was Biden so animated a little weird with some of his facial some people said men like them may -- but -- bottom line I think.
By comparison the president looked weaker more unfocused.
-- -- Seen good nerve a lot of people but some people enjoyed it a look I wanna put up -- -- I'm -- I was wrong about Florida a moment ago and actually the Miami Herald Tampa Bay times a poll came out and Romney has in Florida 87.
Point lead but go to Ohio let's put that up on the screen because this is interesting.
The president had a substantial lead there and now look at it within the margin of your problems -- -- Governor Romney can win those states and the president will be reelected if he holds Ohio.
Ohio now was the key if the race freezes right now the president and our screen the real clear politics elect -- map because this is really what.
Counts folks in not a national poll yet when the stage you get a win the electoral votes.
-- talk to us about this -- -- what what's happening.
I want to go look at the old -- government what is happening we've been having national movement.
We've -- now the Wisconsin Michigan which -- ball was and was solid for Obama is now undecided so was Pennsylvania.
Maine is mostly -- Wisconsin has been a battleground state.
But here's my theory.
We're seeing faster movement in states that have had no advertising.
And have been left decide.
And that means that I think the problem with the Ohio for Romney made me.
This 49 million dollars it's been spent.
By Obama he's in and how early in the Obama ground organization it may be in this -- just a theory.
That I have it may -- didn't -- that certainly the velocity.
In the Michigan the Pennsylvania's.
Are just faster and even in Minnesota.
Than it is in Ohio and tell me meaning could make it different combination -- -- -- it was.
On that electoral map just to point out Obama now drops all the way down to 201 are gonna have 272 -- -- Russia -- -- -- been recently and again and Romney moves at one any one.
Look I want to ask you congressman is your real political for all this what is now being referred to even by the Washington Post is being -- games and and the White House and the president's response to it which is then.
Heavily criticized here's what to -- -- -- columnist New York Post put it the same government that apparently leaks secrets to make the president look tough.
Evidently loses falsehoods to keep him from looking weak in short people died.
Obama line it is a huge and growing problem is sought and the vice presidential debate the other night was the first question.
Between Biden and Ryan it's gonna come up quickly Tuesday night there's no question and the president having watched.
-- and flounder around on this thing.
Better come up with a better answer or he'll start this debate.
Losing again -- -- this could've knocked this out of the right ballpark yet the moment but he didn't do and the Democrats are trying to run out the clock.
25 days it's not truth it's not -- solid.
It's get through 25 days quick question it clearly the president Tuesday -- going to be far more aggressive when he was in his first debate how does Romney handled.
Well I think in several ways first of all I think -- -- the Mitt Romney needs to have.
And what I've said this before look cute but all of them as you have people called Myanmar but you don't -- -- that you were elected.
Tune to for hope and change you were elected to change the tone you promised people and now you attack everyone -- -- you attack me I wanna know right in my this year -- pulled.