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Hi I'm Bill O'Reilly thanks for watching us tonight the big debate just about one hour from now and that is -- subject of this evening's talking points memo.
There is no question that this verbal shootout at Hofstra University on Long Island is vital for President Obama.
He has another shaky performance the odds are you'll lose the election when he backed that up with some polling.
According -- excuse -- -- -- the Rasmussen daily tracking poll among likely voters Mitt Romney now leads the president by two points.
Also Gallup daily tracking has Romney up by four points the largest lead the governor's hand in the poll.
-- -- swing states are also trending toward governor Romney in New Hampshire now a tie in the Suffolk poll in Iowa according to the ARG Paul it's also what top.
And in Pennsylvania quinnipiac says President Obama leads by four -- was up by twelve.
About three weeks ago -- can see that all over the USA Mitt Romney surging while the president is having problems.
Tonight's debate takes on a huge importance as does its town hall format.
There will be about thirteen questions asked whether regular folks who were selected by the Gallup agency.
The moderator CNN correspondent Candy Crowley -- then -- follow up questions to candidates will have about six minutes to address each situation.
Questions can be anything but they have been that it.
Crowley knows what the questions are apparently nobody else does we hope that's the case anyway.
Pres Obama will most likely try to convince voters have been Romney is simply blowing smoke but he is no problem solving capabilities.
That's what I expect Barack Obama to do tonight simply turn every question into this quote.
So what's governor Romney got to do -- adults.
Like Joseph Biden the president will try to diminish.
Romney should be prepared for that -- should begin unfolding some specific plans to deal with the economy.
And the chaos overseas if Romney does not get more precise this evening.
He will likely lose the debate but even if the governor stalemate the president he wins.
Barack Obama has to dominate the town hall.
Or we may be looking at a new press.
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