Moving parts in presidential race
What's next in competitive battle?
- Duration 3:39
- Date Oct 18, 2012
What's next in competitive battle?
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Less than three weeks ago now before Election Day and it has been a topsy turvy race so far with the president holding a slight lead in the run up to the conventions.
And while governor Romney got a small -- post convention.
The president's lead expanded then came the first debate and got -- governor Romney surged in the polls.
So what's in store for the final stretch of the race joining us now Larry 70 director of the center.
City of Virginia he's got his crystal ball out Larry what are you seeing it when it comes to the presidential race.
John I'm seeing nineteen of the longest days of our lives.
Between now and the election and -- let's just hope it doesn't go in overtime which I don't think it's good for the country.
It -- it's it's certainly possible this is a close competitive race President Obama has dropped Electoral College votes.
Since the convention he was once as -- -- 290.
Now we've -- -- down below the 270 -- it to 67.
Governor Romney has been adding Electoral College votes he's up to 235.
There -- four pure toss ups Virginia Colorado.
New Hampshire and we've added Wisconsin which is also gotten really really tight again after being not so tight.
For awhile and -- are states like Ohio that are so strongly in contention.
They can also switch.
We're going to be talking specifically with Syria Denver Post reporter about the Colorado situation a little bit later in the hour but interesting that -- Wisconsin has been added to the mix because that was a solidly blue state before a well before the addition of Paul Ryan certainly.
But that's right Paul Ryan has made a big difference of course Scott Walker working hard for the ticket -- -- I think is making a difference.
The Republicans also have a strong senate candidate in Tommy Thompson.
And they are some indications that after having been behind in his senate race he is now drawn even or maybe even a little ahead.
So there are a lot of things happening there are so many moving parts.
In all of these swing states or potential swing states and they number around ten you can argue about which ones -- -- and which ones are out.
But those swing states.
Are are seeing dynamics and they will continue to see interest in dynamics for the next nineteen days -- mentioned earlier that this race is in some respects like a kids roller -- what do you mean by that Larry.
Well in the -- roller coaster doesn't have.
Quite as high a peak as the regular roller coasters or quite as -- valley.
What I mean by that is while we are seeing shifts from state to state and also in the national polls.
Since you have the vast majority 90% at least locked into their choice.
You don't have massive changes the way we've had in some elections you don't have millions of people shifting sides changing sides after each debate.
So it's smaller shifts but because this is so close and competitive.
There -- that will determine who becomes the next president well after the first presidential debate we saw Mitt Romney you know go -- I mean we saw that -- the rollercoaster was on the way up.
Have you seen any effect yet from the second debate.
Now and you know one of the most frustrating things about this profession is now that we have all these tracking polls.
It takes 35 -- seven days to really see the ripple effects from a major event.
It's so John this is horrible to say I regret saying it but we're just going to have to be patient oh my goodness -- a man with a crystal ball urges patient -- -- a Larry shadow at the University of Virginia Larry thanks.