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107 counties could decide the election

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    Swing counties voted for Bush in 2004, swung to Obama in 2008

  • Duration 4:05
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This is -- first that was credence Clearwater survival right.

-- I'm not saying -- -- my friends -- -- G-7 data on the Electoral College in the White House to get the G-7 you may have done a 170 counties.

Nine Kevin its -- states bush won these guys in 2004.

Obama took them 2008 and the battles -- -- -- act in 2012.

Let's take a look at state of Florida who just aren't nearly three states here and gets the other states is in that we can -- -- -- actually.

In Florida you could see most of those counties are are in the center of the state.

And that's where extradition of the -- been held in Florida it's known as the key corridor the champ recorder.

And that's where Obama upset.

Expectations what it's a state of floor not big in this -- the Democrats to win this out they.

The -- Republican who in the north big it's a central part of the state but in orbit around well yeah that's right all right let's take a look at Virginia.

-- -- He was -- -- -- are not out yet but can I ask you about it and -- -- -- And make a point about a lot of these -- -- -- you're gonna see it on -- on a map our suburban counties right and I think that match for two three reasons one is your house is probably worth less than you when you bought it.

And there's anxiety that tied up in that.

Second -- gas prices are so much higher than there were four years ago you're paying more to get to work every day -- -- third thing is -- and Ronny touched on at her convention speech which is that.

Moms and those suburban counties are just looking for one thing.

A little bit more comfort and that would like a little bit more time and not have to worry so much.

About the security for themselves and they're taking care of their kids and their parents and so I think that.

The suburban.

Moms have to consult back -- that are still -- the key most important things and why these counties matter.

And -- that is a lot of those -- for Obama in Virginia was the question for the state.

It was subdivision new strategy to go western -- don't normally do well there goes a very rural counties and I think that the chances of Obama -- as well they're probably not is good.

-- -- I would like to go to my three I've been looking a lot of polls.

-- three theater polls first one.

That's North Pole odds where Santa lives one of my favorites my neck to my next favorite Paul fishing poles -- I easily catch fish which I don't eat I'll just watch them die.

And my favorite poll.

John Paul the second greatest Pope ever at least its -- Great great thing about can't -- go to Ohio -- probably isn't really big strides in this entire.

Election in Ohio you can see that they are not as many suing counties in that state.

If you look down the south west corner.

-- Hamilton County around Cincinnati which is traditionally been a very Republican Larry Obama did very well in the suburbs.

-- -- -- -- There's a suburban problem I think for Obama in -- -- worry about the other of course is around Cuyahoga County which is going to be heavily democratic.

The question is you got to -- the democratic -- had the last time these big democratic.

Well you hear a lot on the on the democratic side about Obama's turnout game which is pretty impressive from what I understand that one point.

That independent voter that swing voter.

The reason the president's having a lot of trouble is because suburban women make up that voter and rural men.

And that's why I was so baffling this whole time he was talking about birth control and not other issues.

-- looking at Ohio very quickly Ohio is actually doing really well people go why is Ohio not.

On the president's checklist I know monitors assesses Kimberly I didn't -- polls right on these in these states what do they tell on its.

Significant because now we've seen where Obama was holding as much as a ten point lead that's been cut in half so sadly trending Romney Romney and battleground states swing states as a new -- announces -- -- he.

In Ohio SL whether or not -- going to be able to overtake him and get -- beyond the margin of error in the states we'll see but there's also -- -- that you know housing once they get into relieved frankly right now -- -- --

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