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But we can't kill our way out of this mess.
What we're gonna have to put in place a very comprehensive and robust strategy.
To help that the the world of Islam and and other parts of the world reject this radical violent extremism which is it certainly not on the run.
That why is Willard Mitt Romney the Republican Party nominated him to be their presidential candidate in the third.
And final debate showdown with President Obama.
-- governor Romney struck a moderate tone.
On foreign affairs spoke in conciliatory language and praised in fact many of the president's policy points.
As he sought to cast himself as a steady hand.
On the tiller of the ship of state and this is power play and I am Chris -- -- and my hand is very steady on the tiller of the dominant.
Eleven be dominant Internet political telecast of the 1130 half hour helping me navigate the stormy seas Michael Barone.
Whom you are very fond of a -- fond of him because he's the senior political analyst for the mighty Washington examiner.
But he's also a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
Which is a pretty big deal and he is also the architect of the principal -- the cooled off.
The Bible of the political learn the almanac of American politics with a break and we welcome you don't always -- -- -- -- -- Chris we'll see.
Somebody else you might -- Internet.
Is Jason -- this.
He's a congressman from you -- And he is down in the sunny climes of Boca Raton where Florida where he was doing his due diligence spinning it.
And talking to everybody about governor Romney's performance in the debate last night because he's a Republican -- wanted Romney to win.
Congressman welcome back.
It takes her membership.
Aaron we certainly appreciate your time today the Internet as a grown very fond of you.
So and by the way we always point out your Twitter handle at Jason in the house which is kind of down you know you're -- All right so the question congressman is this.
Last night the snap polls and everything said that the president -- On the debate inside the debate but there -- some interesting stuff which said that Romney's.
-- countenance and that is cool demeanor one him.
Points on seem implausible as commander in chief did governor -- get what he needed to get out of the debate.
-- absolutely like I think the country -- recognizes that it's off track.
He wants to make -- change as long as it feels comfortable with the challenger in this case Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan.
Offer the steadiness that I think America deserves it I think going into the debate there was some concern the president Obama's gonna try to paint.
Mitt Romney is some sort of war monger but he proved to be this steady hand he proved to be the reasonable one.
I think he came across is the commander in chief if you I think it was Chris Wallace who said if you just drop down without understanding where these two gentlemen or.
He would have come away looking at this and feel like Mitt Romney was actually the -- the United States.
And President Obama was more the desperate challenger looking for some sort of dignity -- get in some sort of one liner.
They can -- some points but in doing so I think President Obama.
Really hurt himself particularly probably in Virginia.
Well now we know congressman that poorer and you mentioned Virginia because of the defense cuts that are part of the sequestration and also president Obama's.
Proposed budget in the out years.
We know though that the effort that was made in the debate on the president's part to show.
Mitt Romney is unfit for command may not have worked there but you're gonna hear a lot of that in the two weeks to come out on the campaign trail.
What's the message that you and the good folks of the Romney campaign are gonna put out there to try to counter that.
Well -- just watch the debates you go back to the first debate the second of a polarized debate.
No doubt that the president has spent hundreds of millions of dollars trying to paint.
Mitt Romney is unreasonable but the steadiness.
That -- -- -- the offers the presidential for our approach to this.
The reality that we can't afford four more years of -- President Obama that.
What President Obama says and what he does are actually two different things.
He made off you know he basically promised as candidate Obama.
That he's gonna put a -- fair and every drinking found that that hasn't happened to country understands that we can't deficit spend three billion dollars a day.
The country smarter -- that.
Root beer in every drinking fountain we all know that would be pretty cool though.
Congressman enjoy your remaining hours in sunny Florida.
Have a great and the Internet -- you.
Michael would be pretty cool what kind of root beer would you like in your drinking fountain well I think it's going to be decaffeinated.
That's movie that's like it was.
That's why it's popular and you -- for example is because -- there is.
A non caffeinated beverage.
Hot hot hot -- -- so you can have your birch beer you can have -- ginger beer go crazy to stay away from the -- and a well that's right there's quite so now I wanna play for -- What encapsulated the president had showed.
Contempt for Mitt Romney last night and I'd -- -- on the Twitter.
Which was this that it reminded me of John Roberts and his portrayal of Michael Dukakis in the 88 debates.
Where he's looking over at George H.
Bush saying I can't believe I'm losing to this guy.
And you could see the president this like it was beyond that it was in two distinct don't want you to hear what he said about eight minutes.
Q you mentioned the navy for example -- the we have fewer ships than we did in 1960.
Well governor we also have fewer horses and -- and that's.
The nature of our -- change we have these things called aircraft carriers where planes land on -- where.
These ships that go underwater nuclear submarines.
So and I was plugging -- to -- Internet sorry.
So the present president there I was pointing out that.
Mitt Romney is not just from the bush here.
He is in fact from the Coolidge -- I guess when it comes to.
The defense but there was real hole.
And a -- in the president as he was delivering those lines and as he was sort of growing I don't think -- really work.
Because you know if you're gonna put out of an attack like that if you asked with some level ring true and I think it did in this case and -- Glenn thrush Politico reported some months ago that the Obama and his team have quote contempt.
For Mitt Romney.
The New York Times reported after the first debate that that when President Obama has quote disdain unquote for Mitt Romney.
Look I used to be a political consultant.
And one of the things that I never tries to candidate to do.
Was to risk under estimating his opponent.
I never liked the political strategy where one of the essential steps was step three the other guy screws up.
Right because sometimes it doesn't happen assume that your opponent is capable it will maximize.
His -- his position.
In any way that he can't.
And that's much the better way so I think that the Obama campaign.
They -- a whole pile of money.
That they spent on Florida Ohio and Virginia on negative Romney -- they felt confident apparently that they could sustain that attack.
That strategy seems to have been destroyed and the first debate about Romney subsequent performances in the next two debates.
Heavy contempt for your opponent is not a Smart way to run a political campaign.
Yeah and you know the other thing we talked about this before Internet.
Win the man at the top as -- -- -- for his opponent.
It seats and everything that they do and it -- what it seems to have done that the perfect attack.
On your opponent is one that rings true.
Is one that is that reinforces what people already think about somebody but in this case Michael it seems like people knew relatively little about Mitt Romney.
The president -- him in the absence of knowledge of him and then when he walked out on the debate stage people said -- he's not a vampire and a I don't understand what you were talking about what is this -- -- the president's credibility in the closing.
Two weeks to attack well I think it's hurt the president's credibility in issues in my own boss Peter Hart and pulling this is -- champion always reflects the candidate in this case the candidate evidently has contempt for Mitt Romney.
It's better to size up your opponent if you can make -- -- think about Ronald Reagan in the 19842.
Debate with Walter Mondale.
Where he's -- where Reagan you know.
Pull them away by saying look I think the age issue I will not it capitalize on my opponent's youth and inexperience.
That -- work but it worked because.
Everybody recognize that Walter Mondale was affecting mature person and experienced person if he had been.
What people thought Dan Quayle was in 1988 that comment would have seen too harsh and don't wedge.
Reagan possessed his opponent.
Ably in that case and I think Obama.
Has misled himself.
By some -- contempt.
For Mitt Romney.
Yes and it -- president that would be our place as this while the president may have won the debate inside.
The debate beyond -- did not achieve his larger goal which was to reset the race when the trajectory favors Mitt Romney.
The president that's probably why he was glowering so much and swinging hard -- that he needed to change the trajectory of the race as we talked about congressman that didn't happen.
That didn't happen I don't think in -- are you going to be you know if you notice the split screens there when Obama was talking Mitt Romney had that kind of tight but not disrespectful smile but evidently he's practiced.
For golf says this is -- -- right it's the smiley also practiced for fifteen months.
In the Republican primary process.
He looked at Herman came that way he looked at Newt Gingrich that -- Rick Santorum and Rick Perry -- the President Obama it was it was not look.
-- down as he wasn't the first debate making notes but he was he had this glowering there was there was sort of anger.
Do you know President Obama throughout the performance of the debate any kind of signing this.
From Mitt Romney and an assertion directed I think -- women voters that he wants peace peace peace peace.
He's we cannot kill our way out of this nor can we kill our way out of the fact that we are going to take a break but when we come back we're going to have a -- of cornucopia.
-- swing state polling and we're gonna break down the states that really matter will do it we know you're pulled junkies Internet so stick around.
I will not cut our military budget by a trillion dollars.
Which is a combination of the budget cuts the president asked as well as the sequestration cuts that in my view is make -- this is making our future less certain and less secure probably.
Going to comment on this first of all this westerners.
Not something that I propose something the congress has proposed it will not happen.
And that was President Obama changing his -- -- on what is.
Awkwardly called sequestration.
-- it was a gas emission.
But he's in fact mandatory reductions to future spending.
In the military and and social programs that were triggered by the failure of congress do its job and all that stuff.
This is power -- welcome back.
Now what Mitt Romney and Barack Obama look like they were doing there.
I was having a discussion about defense sequestration but what they were really doing is saying hey Virginia.
We -- W Virginia with all of your defense contractors and military -- we think you're swell and win Mitt Romney talked about Castro.
He was saying hi South Florida you are my -- we think that you are great too and there were embedded messages in the talking points for both candidates whether it was on defense cuts whether it was on China for longer -- Ohio.
-- or autos for Michigan as -- as it is disembodied voice you just heard it told you -- was all about this -- -- so you know who else is over and states is that disembodied voice now embodied in the person of Michael Barone.
Michael let's go through we've got four states I want to go through your.
Your knowledge is so vast that we are going after each channel I didn't choose for places -- OK we've chosen for states.
That and by we I mean -- New York Texas and New York Texas Alabama and California now we've chosen for states that basically he told us how these days we're gonna vote.
We get pretty clearly tell yet.
And here's the real clear politics average of polls in Florida that Ronnie now up one point eight points which puts him into the lead.
Four Florida this increasingly looks like.
What we thought was going to happen -- happened which is it's falling into the Republican column.
Chris basically Florida's 49 electoral votes it's the biggest electoral vote -- of any contest seriously contested -- -- in this race.
And I think that it is going Mitt Romney's way you can add David -- Talked to Major Garrett of National Journal former Fox News when you lose it hardly myself.
And so forth where he he left Florida in Virginia off the list of states where -- seriously contrasting that.
Represents I think an abandonment of the firewall strategy right which Florida was just about half the electoral votes sixty.
Electoral vote firewall what -- -- happy Florida.
Rob Obama has lost some ground among Jewish voters that's important to Broward and Palm Beach counties with the Democrats to get the largest popular fold their margins that they do in any part of the state.
You've got the could lead the elderly population of Florida has not gotten -- scared they're sticking with Mitt -- state voted against Obama last time.
And I think that that Mitt Romney had to call a shout out as you say to -- I think that Florida is is really.
-- is headed off the list of seriously contested states and is headed towards the Romney column as things stand now.
They'll let -- sprint now from the sun -- to the Rust Belt as we look at Ohio State that if you know only twice in the last century.
Internet has anybody won.
Or -- anybody won the presidency -- failed to win Ohio.
And that of course is Michael knows that show up anyway.
And -- that was Richard Nixon in 1960 income is he doing in -- 48.
But Ohio now stands at one point nine percentage advantage for President Obama.
This is a good news bad news Michael for Mitt Romney the good news is he's cut the margin dramatically he's -- advice to exert yourself.
But he still trails and he can't get elected president pretty well without winning Ohio right.
I think he did he needs Ohio he needs Florida more than he -- Ohio -- old rule about Ohio.
Was contracted mostly during times when Ohio admitting more electoral votes in Florida and 1960s of 126.
Electoral votes Florida at fourteen now it's Ohio 18429.
Mitt Romney made a point if you projecting an overriding Bob Schieffer to -- in his defense of the auto industry.
Bankruptcy and his position on -- he was clearly thinking Ohio there.
I think another issues that the Romney people are exploiting is -- The hydraulic fracturing.
Because you've got that -- and the shale natural gas well Ohio is suddenly.
Triggered a pool in northeastern Ohio doesn't upset you literally you steel plants -- -- they've reopened to steel plant in Youngstown to make pipe.
For the gas natural gas -- and I think that there's -- you know Romney's gonna argue.
That Lisa Jackson CPA.
The second Obama term.
Is gonna stop tracking -- gonna stop this economic growth and in northeast Ohio.
One factor is this Cleveland.
Cuyahoga County -- 6832.
For Obama last time.
Population is down in Cuyahoga County -- voter registration is down and Cuyahoga County Democrats have to do better.
-- and other places to compensate for that because they're just a lot of folks that are not that would be their.
Barack got to where we've got -- -- First worry whatever that means down to the Old Dominion Virginia what used to be southern state.
Which is now mostly a mid Atlantic northern kind of state and there you see a -- a straight up tie this is must win for Iraq right.
It's a must win for Romney and I think it is headed in his direction I think that Obama's comments on the navy in the cuts there are probably gonna hurt him in Virginia.
Here's another point Virginia.
People when they talk about the immigration issue are always talking about Latino voters.
Asian voters are also concerned Romney's answer in the second debate and immigration was tailor made for Asian voters the Romney campaign has been doing a lot of outreach in Fairfax County.
Two Vietnamese they've been going to Korean churches they spent establishing.
Links with those communities there.
In that's going to be important Obama did very well with those Asian voters in Northern Virginia last time I think he's gonna do not as well this time.
Hello -- -- and last last -- Colorado a state that.
Look like it would be a tough to vote for Romney.
-- -- moving into a statistically significant but emotionally significant probably for the Romney campaign.
Two tenths of a percent lead in real clear politics average -- what's going on there are.
I think one of -- going on affluent voters last April I sit there one possibility this campaign is that Romney would look a lot better among affluent suburbanites in the northern suburbs and Republicans have done what has set -- years and so you're talking about Jefferson County you're talking about arapahoe county and Chris Douglas County the ex urban -- heavily Republican.
-- if you look at the 2008 exit poll Obama carried white voters.
In Colorado he got sixty -- did not have a huge majority from from Latino voters of that state not as big as he did in places like California New York.
I think that he is losing those I think the Democrats were showed weakness in the 2010 election -- Republicans screwed up the top of the ticket.
And I think Colorado affluent voters are headed toward the front.
Washington examiner American Enterprise Institute almanac of American politics.
There are places where you can soak in the excellence of Michael -- just as you have in these -- -- -- brown thank you.
Well thank you -- all right Internet we've got to take a quick break but when we come back we'll have an all star -- perhaps more but stellar.
And we will also have some power points for you you'll enjoy these things -- stick around.
What we got from President Obama were mostly attacks on Mitt Romney that's not an agenda and we really.
Didn't actually get an agenda for how we should move our country forward that is what Paul Ryan said in an effort to prosecute President Obama.
And claimed victory kind of for Mitt Romney in last night's foreign policy debate -- this power play.
Guess what it's a two week sprint.
Catch your breath but it's a two week sprint to the finish line where you're gonna hear the same stuff over.
Over and over again because while the president would like to change their trajectory of the race at this moment.
Neither candidate is going to be inclined to take very many risks so just get ready as you're gonna hear a lot of the stuff over and over again so why wait.
Why wait to start hearing the same things over -- -- you can say that you heard it here first.
And so we welcome you -- -- -- who is the chairman of the American Conservative Union.
Coming to us from his natural habitat.
Down in Miami Al welcome back to the show.
Hey great to be with you again.
Okay thank you for sending some sunshine our way and you know and like.
-- -- now he is a former top talker for a house Democrats -- the and he is now strategist which.
Probably pays better but maybe it's it's fun every day sometimes it SKD -- -- -- which is a big democratic firm.
-- welcome back Chris great to be here we stipulate as always go to these individuals are patriotic love America and our fair minded as much as their partisanship will allow so we thank you for that.
Give us Al.
In the quickest relief that you can.
What is the closing argument going to be from the red tape.
Well look it's very simple I thought Mitt Romney's closing statement last night said it all we've got 23.
Million Americans suffering their pain so unemployment we've got to American families had to work.
Making 4000 dollars less a year and and striving to do -- -- worst as we move forward we have a country that whose GDP is stymied and heading in the wrong direction and frankly last night we talked about.
About the national debt and the reason why that was important just as Hillary Clinton herself said -- greatest restore America's national security start -- When countries are trying to figure out who were best -- -- that France are whether it's China Russia the US.
We're in such simple -- that it makes our bargaining power that much smaller when you take our energy policy that's lacking -- this precedent.
Well you know that means 500 billion dollars or going out to countries many of whom are not -- French like Venezuela and others and so.
You know we're lacking in energy policy we're lacking and immigration policy were lacking.
A clear mission for the next four years and -- Mitt Romney frankly he's got it right on target twelve middle -- jobs.
And their prospects who have better America not only here sooner brought.
So so we're gonna hear -- -- -- it's a god.
We can't afford four more years basically the closing argument for the Romney campaign that started really right before the first today.
We can't afford four more years right what are we gonna what's the closing argument from Obama.
We can't afford to go back to the policies that got us.
Got us in this mess in the first place and that we need to grow the economy from the middle out not from the top down -- that Mitt Romney's to be your risk both.
From domestic standpoint on jobs and the economy and from a foreign policy national security.
-- standpoint we can't gamble on him we know what.
The Republican ideas have brought us under George Bush.
And the president's keep moving us forward we need to do more and we will do but the president's got the plan he's got that agenda.
Two to keep the country moving in Mitt Romney is basically gonna take -- backwards.
Al the question for Romney is this he has some momentum is from wind it is back but it's not exactly a gale force wind.
Is there a danger that it Peters out before Election Day that he peaked too soon.
All to the country look what are the measuring sticks for intensity.
Attendance at these rallies everywhere -- -- they're more more people showing up after ten or 151000 people.
Going -- rallies were just a few months ago there five under a thousand.
Look our absentee ballot returns look at the intensity of our volunteers and and and campaign workers and frankly.
You -- they -- measuring stick that's not part of polling processes intensity.
There are three things that are win this election for Matt Romney won he's tied or ahead and some of the key states suing states in the -- number two.
The intensity factor will be like 2004 we ought to have as significant edge and intensity and number three undecided voters.
Normally go -- to two to one margin to the that to the challenger not incumbent whom they know best and so we're pretty comparable where we are they key is to keep the momentum going.
But if you ask anyone who knows about politics which side would you rather take too late heading into the final homestretch and have to say that Romney's camp.
-- you -- -- that it's equivalent.
Guy like scrappy Obama he's fighting like he's five points down I think it's -- -- more pathways to 270 than governor Romney does he has a better ground game.
He's he's got some advantages on absentee ballots and Ohio.
In Iowa so it's going to be very close fight we all knew this but I think the president is gonna come out towards.
You've now heard the closing arguments from choose Smart decent human beings who have told you that became very clear relief.
So feel free to ignore all the campaign ads from here out on from here in from here out on in the election.
You've heard it perfectly rendered by these two gentlemen so be satisfied Internet dug -- Al we thank you very much for your time cooperation thank you Chris you.
On the hunt Jonathan Hunt will.
Happen to you momentarily Internet you know that your bracing yourself for that that before you do let's talk about some power points.
Change -- -- moments.
Is the theme of the power points now.
On the calendar.
Of the election we have known for a year.
Or most of the year wins some of the big hit it moments would be that it would be conventions or that it would be in these debates with -- scripted stuff is over now.
There were some momentum changes the president got a bounce out of this convention Mitt Romney got bigger bounce.
Out of his first debate performance but we're past that now and now it gets weird because you've just got two weeks left you just -- fourteen days to hold on -- brace yourself Internet.
So what could possibly happen in this -- change the race -- what's going on number one thing to watch for is as George Washington would have said foreign entanglements.
Whether or not.
We bomb somebody somebody bombs something happens.
That changes the dynamic of the race could be very good for the president could be bad for the president.
Foreign entanglement number one that's the first thing to look for -- to surprise it's October.
October surprise is the oldest one of the oldest traditions in politics vote buying but yes you could certainly -- October a shocking revelation about either candidate but now we've reached the point where you have to be pretty shocking.
In order to change perceptions because -- become selling grain they've baked into the -- so myself but I.
Both candidates have a penchant for GAAP for rate Mitt Romney particularly has I guess four in artful phrase -- So something could be said as they talked so much over the next fourteen days.
That could change -- the race those are three things to look for that could change the trajectory of this race.
Indeed very few closing days we thank you for your time Internet and now.
As we like to do every day we want to leave you with the word from our.
But I think what's happening tonight.
Is that Obama has -- -- Romney has the momentum.
And as long as he realize even tonight just -- have to win.
If he draws even tonight the momentum continues.
And I think that would carry him.
Victory so he just has -- -- says he doesn't have to hit a home run to make seven scores and doing medical.
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