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Rove: The final two weeks
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Former Bush senior adviser with an electoral college map prognosis for the end of the race
- Duration 5:43
- Date Oct 23, 2012
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Former Bush senior adviser with an electoral college map prognosis for the end of the race
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Back -- bush segment tonight a we will look in our third debate analysis with the guys closely following every aspect of the race and Harry as Carl -- Okay I want to advance the story you know.
You're rooting for Romney to win your your Republican partisans on -- without obviously we've but it.
What I saw last night is that Mitt Romney could have put President Obama away and did not looked almost like a prize fight it just.
Didn't take him out.
Because he avoided the Libyan situation do you agree with that aren't I don't look at it's always easy to say it's it's easy to put amount politics of one punch.
These debates a lot more complicated than that did did did look he's won the issue of Libya if you take a look at the president's ratings on the handling of foreign policy.
Just before September 11 there were -- there -- a national poll asking it.
And compared to today his ratings have dropped dramatically and that's because events have driven his numbers down -- -- need to do much about it except do what he did last night which is -- in -- You've missed on the hill would it would it have been on presidential in your opinion since you worked for president.
To show a little bit of -- Concern.
That we don't know Ole hole after all of this -- -- at twice he said last night.
And in his long explanation of what you know here's how bad the region -- -- here all the bad things to tell I don't know what I would be afforded to Americans we don't and that's ever happened towards a -- -- -- last night and look.
The fact of the matter is he's won that debate is gonna continue to win that argument which is -- to be -- look at their same President Obama doesn't seem to -- on top -- -- at all what that was -- -- And out there can't lie I think Romney could've gotten a point across item in a much more.
Dramatic way than he did all right you played it safe.
And now you say going forward.
I think that debate last night was a wash it's not gonna matter -- that's right you agree with me well of look historically the third debate unless you're making critical mistake.
Does not change the -- of the narrative the first debate establishes the American narrative by the -- third debate my -- agreement -- -- -- -- yeah do you feel bad agreeing with me does it hurt.
No -- I agree with what you're right now disagree with you when you're all right that's Moses are well I accept -- -- -- your -- overly sensitive about it.
Let's get your map -- -- hit the road map up there because this is what going for the next two weeks it's gonna really map.
Now you have that basically.
Romney -- 169.
Obama at 184 these are electoral votes to seventy needed to win.
Lean Obama.
53 leading Romney 3795.
Tore us up.
Looking at this -- you think the President Obama still has the advantage to win the election but I see it.
As Romney has now has the advantage -- what you.
-- -- Take a look at that -- Virginia is where we're doing a two week rolling average for our Monday -- bear special on on the Electoral College.
But you look at Virginia last week there -- five polls Thursday Friday Saturday.
Romney won four of them by next Monday those thirteen electoral votes in Virginia I think are going to be pointed towards Romney.
We have Tennessee which is that's light peak giving a leg no positive and that's that's -- thanks so I don't like Carolina there's North Carolina -- -- going to be for running.
So it's really gonna come down to Ohio and one other state.
Today in Colorado Romney leads today in New Hampshire Romney leads.
The race is dead even at my suspicion by by two by Monday in Ohio and we got a barber okay but you're united and talk about Florida which I believe ago plus Florida Florida -- -- talk about -- I think it's weakened in the Republican column saying -- Virginia.
45 holes between for Thursday and Saturday of last week.
-- -- -- -- And and -- the momentum in Virginia and Florida and -- this is just this is fair and balanced is going the governor's way right now we don't know about the third debate.
But the instinct is not going to be doing very much however.
If President Obama wins Ohio that.
It becomes problematic for the governor right he has to do an extraordinary amount.
Of winning the Kraft told -- you have to win Colorado Wisconsin or Colorado Nevada and New Hampshire or cholera I don't know why is Nevada -- with the highest unemployment rate in the country.
Still so steadfast for Obama -- -- think that that's they would go republic two reasons one is.
Big as unions in Las Vegas culinary union in -- Clark County Clark County right very good thank and the second thing is a substantial Hispanic population all right and that's -- through New Mexico into the democratic precincts is well they Hispanic right in flux and it.
Where do you see as far as a Hispanic American vote.
How much is -- the president going to take of that well I think the president's gonna get.
Slightly bigger -- -- got four years ago but I think the interesting thing is it's gonna flat line as a percentage of the electorate and he sold fewer voters as well as flat line but basically the same number -- and he's counting on being bigger as it has been for thirty some odd years Hispanic vote has been increasing since the 1980s -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- wanted -- -- Women to vote for him.
Women and independents he wanted to be presidential he understood that in the second debate President Obama wanted it to be confrontational.
To draw him off of the podium and down into the mud.
It's sort happening recognize it was better for him to appear to be an adult let the president be the one who was overly think that was -- -- I think it was the right strategy look we look at these debates two ways one way is.
As the Olympic judge -- -- to give points for being in the aggressive guy.
The other way we look at it as we look at it on the basis of who won on substance and every indication is that last night.
Mitt Romney narrowed the gap which is difficult to -- on the issue of could be commander in chief and came out looking like he was on the up there -- scheduled press Carl Larry one fact it took it today.