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What states do Obama, Romney need to win?

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    Crunching the numbers on the electoral map

  • Duration 4:37
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-- thirteen days on the -- Ed Rollins Fox's contributor national director president Reagan's reelection team of 84.

Veteran of many presidential -- how you doing -- -- morning good morning -- are you I'm doing -- wanna have a little fun with this right now -- -- what we're gonna go to the -- show -- the map here.

And just to remind our viewers he's an eleven battleground states in gray there too close to call.

-- what.

Is the state of the race today.

I think the president's team is on the defense and I think the Obama -- the -- Romney -- on the offense.

And that's a very difficult place for an incumbent president to be.

I think where we're gaining in places like Florida.

Virginia and North Carolina which -- key states force.

Ohio as the ultimate battle -- ever ask you now as a dead even.

You know my sense is that -- it's it's building and building and building for Romney.

And I think he can have a victory and then they -- may even expand beyond the 271.

Rooms okay that may involve may be Wisconsin and Pennsylvania Michigan if the rumors are true that listen I -- to go to the results in 2000 and OK because.

This is what President Obama is doing over the next two days now.

He will make stops in the following states all states by the way that he won four years ago he'll be an Iowa.

He'll be in Colorado.

Nevada and then Los Angeles in California for a four Jay Leno that he takes an overnight plane and Air Force One down the Florida.

Then Virginia that he goes to Illinois to vote and then Ohio to end the day.

Eight states two days.

I took it.

What what does that mean -- that he can win two of me to -- Illinois and when California everything else he's battling for and I and I think at the end of the -- it is that positive -- or it is that desperation -- -- how would you analyze analyze it is desperation I think at this point in time this is a president who.

Had hoped to end on a positive note is now still trying to portray.

Romney is someone that he's not he has very little to talk about his own record.

He's that it was this stance -- piece out of camp but that he sending out saying here's my -- -- more of the same.

He's -- at the three and a half -- and targeted voters.

And it's just like him direct mail piece is nothing new.

It's is it OK don't come back to the what if because -- what Mitt Romney is doing at least today anyway on the what if column here go back to where eleven states up for grabs.

He'll be an Iowa six electoral votes will be -- about a six electoral votes you like to win both but you probably have to win at least one right now.

Face some appalling when -- you say I'm an analyst -- -- your scenario that Romney's gonna blown out.

Well I think I think both those states are in play obviously you can still win it without it.

He wins Florida.

North Carolina Virginia Ohio he's got a -- when something else could be New Hampshire.

Could be one of those states my sense is they're all in play they're all very close to being even if not -- around in the slight edge so why not just keep Busch and -- And no other is a Washington Post -- came out yesterday and showed voter enthusiasm the Republican side.

-- 45 points higher now than it was four years ago so we're gonna see how that plays out.

Here's a what if scenario for -- had okay because there were rumors that Pennsylvania that Romney could put that in play that hasn't voted that state hasn't voted for Republican since 1988.

But here's your 270 that you need at right President Obama is a 201 Mitt Romney right now 191 -- our map.

If President Obama wins Pennsylvania UCL these numbers add up if he wins Ohio you see the numbers he picks up right now is at 239.

So then for governor Romney let's say he runs the south here -- Florida 29 and Virginia fifteen and then -- Virginia thirteen and North Carolina fifteen -- get out.

It is it to 48.

So you have 123456.

States in play.

-- -- let let's say Nevada to be the economy's poor out there the foreclosure rate side maybe Mitt Romney takes -- that.

And maybe also takes Colorado still doesn't get a marries it to 63 -- He is why you see the importance of Ohio don't have Ohio is ground zero -- -- need you need to hide it becomes very difficult for anybody and the president included.

To put it together without Ohio -- Kyle has basically been the -- what his state.

Whoever wins Ohio -- the last several decades has won the presidency.

No Republican has ever won -- without Ohio where did even in Ohio is no reason we can't win Ohio -- -- great governor there governor Casey.

-- my sense is we'll do well well.

Ted thank you my pleasure to 65 for the president because I just -- -- Wisconsin and Michigan.

That does not account for New Hampshire which could put in the 269.

That's enough now that -- that.

Beyond that or even Iowa if you throw that in the -- you -- to 71.

And now you see how that map fills in Ed Rollins thank you so much nicer --

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